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Trump ratings soar.

Its Republican Report.. err Rasmussen Reports. What you expect? They lost credibility long ago with their methodology.
 
PeteEU said:
Its Republican Report.. err Rasmussen Reports. What you expect? They lost credibility long ago with their methodology.
Click to expand...

Oh they did ,did they ? Says who? some liberal media source?
to 44 percent.

If Rasmussen Reports is a "Republican-leaning pollster," then what exactly does that make everyone else? While it's true that they consistently find more favorable approval ratings for the president than other polls, including Gallup, it's also true that they have established a more accurate track record of gauging his true level of support among the electorate.

Gallup tracks adults, not the voting electorate.
Let's take a look at the top 10 pollsters aggregated by Real Clear Politics (RCP) in 2016 regarding the national popular vote, using a measure of accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott and Kennedy and used by the American Association for Public Opinion Research to rank accuracy.


Pollster
Clinton
Trump
Odds Ratio
Accuracy
Rasmussen Reports 45% 43% 1.00 0.00
UPI/CVOTER 49% 46% 1.02 0.02
CBS/New York Times 45% 42% 1.02 0.02
Politico/Morning Consult 45% 42% 1.02 0.02
McClatchy/Marist 44% 43% 0.98 -0.02
Bloomberg/Selzer 44% 41% 1.03 0.03
Reuters/Ipsos 42% 39% 1.03 0.03
Fox News 48% 44% 1.04 0.04
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce/RKM 48% 44% 1.04 0.04
Why aren't those who performed more poorly than Rasmussen referred to as "Democrat-leaning pollsters"? How about "less accurate-leaning pollsters"?

After its monumental failure in 2016, we had high hopes the polling industry would finally engage in a long overdue exercise in introspection. The 2016 presidential election wasn’t the first major polling blunder in U.S. politics, but it does appear to be the one in which media pollsters lost the public trust.

A meager 26% say they trust most political polls, while 55% do not."

Results Matter: If Rasmussen Is ?Republican-Leaning,? What Does That Make Everyone Else? - Rasmussen Reports®

Can you answer the question in bold?
 
PeteEU said:
Its Republican Report.. err Rasmussen Reports. What you expect? They lost credibility long ago with their methodology.
Click to expand...

Which was the best poll in declaring Hillary the winner ?
 
KLATTU said:
Oh they did ,did they ? Says who? some liberal media source?
to 44 percent.

If Rasmussen Reports is a "Republican-leaning pollster," then what exactly does that make everyone else? While it's true that they consistently find more favorable approval ratings for the president than other polls, including Gallup, it's also true that they have established a more accurate track record of gauging his true level of support among the electorate.

Gallup tracks adults, not the voting electorate.
Let's take a look at the top 10 pollsters aggregated by Real Clear Politics (RCP) in 2016 regarding the national popular vote, using a measure of accuracy proposed by Martin, Traugott and Kennedy and used by the American Association for Public Opinion Research to rank accuracy.


Pollster
Clinton
Trump
Odds Ratio
Accuracy
Rasmussen Reports 45% 43% 1.00 0.00
UPI/CVOTER 49% 46% 1.02 0.02
CBS/New York Times 45% 42% 1.02 0.02
Politico/Morning Consult 45% 42% 1.02 0.02
McClatchy/Marist 44% 43% 0.98 -0.02
Bloomberg/Selzer 44% 41% 1.03 0.03
Reuters/Ipsos 42% 39% 1.03 0.03
Fox News 48% 44% 1.04 0.04
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce/RKM 48% 44% 1.04 0.04
Why aren't those who performed more poorly than Rasmussen referred to as "Democrat-leaning pollsters"? How about "less accurate-leaning pollsters"?

After its monumental failure in 2016, we had high hopes the polling industry would finally engage in a long overdue exercise in introspection. The 2016 presidential election wasn’t the first major polling blunder in U.S. politics, but it does appear to be the one in which media pollsters lost the public trust.

A meager 26% say they trust most political polls, while 55% do not."

Results Matter: If Rasmussen Is ?Republican-Leaning,? What Does That Make Everyone Else? - Rasmussen Reports®

Can you answer the question in bold?
Click to expand...

So, you're saying that Gallup is partisan? Seriously?
 
i'm looking forward to the poll this coming November. i hope to participate in it.
 
KLATTU said:
Are they the same ones who predicted a Clinton Victory? GUFFAW
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They are the ones that said Clinton had a lead among voters which she did. Recall she did have more votes than Trump, just lost the electoral college
 
This is not surprising.

His ratings have been steadily improving for about a month.

No shock here at all.......he's just gaining ground and the Media are losing ground.
 
This is because the only opposition to the Orange in Chief are hysterically raving about taking away the second amendment and comparing his election to 9/11 (where in case you weren't born yet THREE-THOUSAND PEOPLE ****ING DIED) exploiting those and 17 others who died recently that were children. Children.
 
leekohler2 said:
So, you're saying that Gallup is partisan? Seriously?
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Of course. Everybody is partisan to one dergre or another . Very stupid question.

The better question is- do they let their partisan bias skew their results.
Probaly not since these pollster have a vested interest in being viewed as being accurate.That goes for Rasmussen as well.
Then the issue is- is their methodology flawed
 
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KLATTU said:
Are they the same ones who predicted a Clinton Victory? GUFFAW
Click to expand...

She did win by 3 million votes. What they could not predict was 80k votes in 3 swing states that gave those states to Trump instead of Hillary. Those 80k votes were wayyyyy within the margin of error. Even Rasmussen predicted a Hillary win, like everyone else.

Point is, Rasmussen methodology gets more and more suspect as the years go on. They only use landlines... which favours older voters, who traditionally are conservative. Young people dont have landlines (relatively speaking). To compensate for the youth, they use "online polling" which is a load of crock to be frank. It is easily manipulated and hard to control who clicks what and where. On top of all this, they are using 37% or so as the base of the GOP in their polls... that is extremely high and suspect.

So you have a polling company that uses old time landlines which favours older people aka conservatives, and on top of that they also overrepresent the GOP.. based on its own research, which is suspect already... I mean on what planet is 37% of the US GOP? Every pollster I have ever read up on, says the independents are the biggest group, followed by the Dems and then the GOP.

Hence I have issues with this polling companies methodology.
 
It'll be interesting to see how the polls respond to Trumps brilliant idea of arming teachers. What could possibly go wrong?
 
PeteEU said:
She did win by 3 million votes. What they could not predict was 80k votes in 3 swing states that gave those states to Trump instead of Hillary. Those 80k votes were wayyyyy within the margin of error. Even Rasmussen predicted a Hillary win, like everyone else.

Point is, Rasmussen methodology gets more and more suspect as the years go on. They only use landlines... which favours older voters, who traditionally are conservative. Young people dont have landlines (relatively speaking). To compensate for the youth, they use "online polling" which is a load of crock to be frank. It is easily manipulated and hard to control who clicks what and where. On top of all this, they are using 37% or so as the base of the GOP in their polls... that is extremely high and suspect.

So you have a polling company that uses old time landlines which favours older people aka conservatives, and on top of that they also overrepresent the GOP.. based on its own research, which is suspect already... I mean on what planet is 37% of the US GOP? Every pollster I have ever read up on, says the independents are the biggest group, followed by the Dems and then the GOP.

Hence I have issues with this polling companies methodology.
Click to expand...

translatuio- they come up with reulsts liberals don't lik e . LAFF
 
KLATTU said:
translatuio- they come up with reulsts liberals don't lik e . LAFF
Click to expand...


da5c269fbb7b95d0da3d0ba3ca5fee9b.jpg


LAFFRIOT
 
PeteEU said:
Its Republican Report.. err Rasmussen Reports. What you expect? They lost credibility long ago with their methodology.
Click to expand...

It's funny how Republicans complain about the MSM but all conservative news, radio and even polling is completely fake.
 
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