- Joined
- Jul 19, 2012
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- 14,185
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- Libertarian
In 2002, John Judis co-authored “The Emerging Democratic Majority,” which argued that the growth of minority populations—ultimately leading to an America in which whites will no longer be a majority—would be among the factors providing a sustained advantage for the political left and specifically the Democrats. Now Mr. Judis writes in the New Republic that the book “laid out an overly optimistic forecast of the party’s prospects in an increasingly diverse America.” According to Mr. Judis:
On one level, there’s no arguing with the math. If you take the percentage of Americans that the U.S. census defines as “minorities” and project their past voting habits into the next decade and beyond, you’ll come up with a very sunny version of the Democrats’ prospects. There are only two problems with this line of thinking, but they’re pretty big ones. For starters, the census prediction of a “majority-minority” America—slated to arrive in 2044—is deeply flawed. And so is the notion that ethnic minorities will always and forever continue to back Democrats in Obama-like numbers.
As it turns out, as Asians and Latinos blend with the American population many of them change their identity to "white". And Asians in particular increasingly go with the GOP.
Judis thinks Democrats ought to give up identity politics and focus on economic justice for all. "I said that demographics favor Democrats, and I was wrong," he writes.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/coalition-of-the-descendant-1505487105