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Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disapprove

Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Like... For example...

Not quite.

I expressed a personal opinion based on personal observations of her health and demeanor during the campaign season.

She is no longer in the public eye, is she? So who knows what her medical condition and/or current treatment's might be? Time will tell. :coffeepap:
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

I expressed a personal opinion based on personal observations of her health and demeanor during the campaign season.

"Yeah I'm a Trump supporter, yes I'm attacking people for buying into propaganda and yes I did buy into propaganda myself, but that's different because it was my... wait for it, personal opinion" :lamo, yes, personal opinion right champ:

First, I find this video analysis compelling:



This gentleman has years of experience dealing with Parkinson's Disease. According to him, Ms. Clinton appears to be exhibiting most of the symptoms of Parkinson's Disease, which he points out via examples.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Trump is a salesman. I think a lot of people are coming around to the fact that he isn't actually doing what he said during the election. He promised health care for all and then pushed the AHCA, he promised to "drain the swamp" and then immediately hired people from Goldman Sachs, jobs were going to come back in a gigantic way and then there was no noticeable change in job gains. Granted, the jobs thing will still require time to truly analyze, but I can understand why people don't believe in him anymore.

One reason is that his only mentioned economic plan is cutting taxes, mostly on the wealthy and corporations. This does not create jobs or increase growth since only demand will do that., GW proved that mightily. I think most people know that fact by now.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Not quite.

I expressed a personal opinion based on personal observations of her health and demeanor during the campaign season.

She is no longer in the public eye, is she? So who knows what her medical condition and/or current treatment's might be? Time will tell. :coffeepap:

LOL So when she dies at 95 you will say "See I told you so"? Too funny.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

There's numbers that impact the long-term, and numbers that impact the short.

The immediate numbers that can effect Trump are GOP rank & file approval. If he's strong within them (he is), then he is immune to any immediate threats to his Presidency, legislation, or agenda. With strong rank & file numbers, the GOP establishment will never move against him, and he is essential immovable. The Dems of course, are completely impotent against him. He will last his term, unless they (GOP rank & file) turn against him. As of now, his support is still very strong there - in the mid 80's.

Then, there's the longer term. I too have seen his numbers slip amongst the Indies, and that (if it continues) bids him vulnerability in 2020 for re-election. Besides turning out one's base, nothing sways elections more than Independents. So he has a problem here, especially consider he barely squeaked-by in 2016, and I suspect the Dem base is going to be a bit more active due to anti-Trumpism.

So in essence, his popularity amongst the GOP will determine his intra-term fate; his popularity amongst the Indies will determine his inter-term fate. He has no immediate problems (yet), but he is looking at possible re-election problems.

That's my opinion.

All Trump has to worry about is him becoming a liability for the "rank and file" in Congress. The only thing they like less than impeachment is losing their jobs. I'de say 10 points lower and he is toast.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

"Yeah I'm a Trump supporter, yes I'm attacking people for buying into propaganda and yes I did buy into propaganda myself, but that's different because it was my... wait for it, personal opinion" :lamo, yes, personal opinion right champ:

Always remember to quote accurately:

After a recent video showing Hillary near-collapsing during a 9/11 even, a report went out she is suffering from Pneumonia. Many supporters are grasping at this straw to keep from sinking under the manifest weight of evidence indicating that even if true, this is merely a symptom of a much more serious medical issue.

First, I find this video analysis compelling:

This gentleman has years of experience dealing with Parkinson's Disease. According to him, Ms. Clinton appears to be exhibiting most of the symptoms of Parkinson's Disease, which he points out via examples.

The doctor also points out that the symptoms include loss of automatic movements, as well as difficulty swallowing (or dysphagia) causing food to stick in the throat or liquids going the wrong way. The symptoms may also include Dysarthria.

These symptoms can eventually cause "Aspiration Pneumonia." Meaning that Ms. Clinton's doctor may not be lying about her currently suffering from "pneumonia," but it is only a partial truth hiding the real truth of a more serious condition she wants to keep hidden from the electorate.

This second video shows that Ms. Clinton's coughing issues have been around at least since 2008:

Now is anyone REALLY going to argue she has been suffering from pneumonia for eight years?

Finally, this last video of her recent incident on 9/11/16 indicates there is something else going on...perhaps even evidence of a hidden catheter which adds further support to the Parkinson's hypothesis.

There is something physically wrong with Ms. Clinton, whether Parkinson's or some other major problem, but it isn't a simple case of pneumonia. Talk about heads in the sand. :roll:

So yes, I was offering MY personal opinion based on clear evidence available to anyone. She was exhibiting signs of an ongoing problem, signs evident over eight years. Not being a medical practitioner means my layman's opinion has about as much merit as anyone else's opinion.

Again, since she has been out of the picture for several months and is no longer the focus of public attention, we may never know until some future date if there was or was not a problem.

Meanwhile, this has nothing to do with the OP, and is one of your typical red herring arguments. :roll:
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

"Yeah I'm a Trump supporter, yes I'm attacking people for buying into propaganda and yes I did buy into propaganda myself, but that's different because it was my... wait for it, personal opinion" :lamo, yes, personal opinion right champ:

Don't hurt 'm, Hammer!

I'm saying 'Uncle' for him!

This is so humiliating, I feel embarrassed as a bystander.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Always remember to quote accurately:

So yes, I was offering MY personal opinion based on clear evidence available to anyone. She was exhibiting signs of an ongoing problem, signs evident over eight years. Not being a medical practitioner means my layman's opinion has about as much merit as anyone else's opinion.

Again, since she has been out of the picture for several months and is no longer the focus of public attention, we may never know until some future date if there was or was not a problem.

Meanwhile, this has nothing to do with the OP, and is one of your typical red herring arguments. :roll:

How to Dig a Hole: 12 Steps (with Pictures) - wikiHow
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

All Trump has to worry about is him becoming a liability for the "rank and file" in Congress. The only thing they like less than impeachment is losing their jobs. I'de say 10 points lower and he is toast.
O.K., but the Congress directly responds to the voters in their districts. So it is the rank & file that do determine Trump's viability.

But yes, you distilled much more succinctly what I posted above. Agreed.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Approval of President Trump drops to lowest since inauguration: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters

Trump's approval rating is down to 38%. New poll





Trump losing ground with Republicans, 2 points shy of 1/4 of Republican disapproval.

Everyone's starting to see Trump for who he is. I understand giving someone the benefit of the doubt. But, if anything the past 100 or so odd days, have only confirmed what we already knew; impulsive, self-centered, egotistical, dishonest.

Once again, we have a poll with screwed up sampling.

R - 36%

D - 40%

I/O - 23% (I/O = Independent and Other)

Sorry folks, but this is NOT a representative breakdown. See here: Party Affiliation | Gallup Historical Trends

Republicans - oversampled. Democrats - oversampled more. Independents are GREATLY undersampled.

Bogus numbers = Bogus poll.

Dismissed.
 
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Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Once again, we have a poll with screwed up sampling.

R - 36%

D - 40%

I/O - 23% (I/O = Independent and Other)

Sorry folks, but this is NOT a representative breakdown. Independents are GREATLY undersampled.

Bogus numbers = Bogus poll.

Dismissed.

Trump's down 14 points with Independents since January.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Trump's down 14 points with Independents since January.

How do you know? Are you going by some bogus poll?
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

How do you know? Are you going by some bogus poll?

Yeah.

Taking his support on RCP with Independents in January, vs. where he's at with Independents today. he's down 14 points. Or, to put it differently, 14% more Independents disapprove of Trump today than in January.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Once again, we have a poll with screwed up sampling.

R - 36%

D - 40%

I/O - 23% (I/O = Independent and Other)

Sorry folks, but this is NOT a representative breakdown. See here: Party Affiliation | Gallup Historical Trends

Republicans - oversampled. Democrats - oversampled more. Independents are GREATLY undersampled.

Bogus numbers = Bogus poll.

Dismissed.

Weighting by Party ID is poor polling practice still. It's why the good pollsters don't.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

Yeah.

Taking his support on RCP with Independents in January, vs. where he's at with Independents today. he's down 14 points. Or, to put it differently, 14% more Independents disapprove of Trump today than in January.

How do you know he's down 14 points? Frankly, all the recent polls I've seen have been just like the polls during the campaign season...bogus. I don't think anybody really KNOWS what his approval rating is.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

How do you know he's down 14 points? Frankly, all the recent polls I've seen have been just like the polls during the campaign season...bogus. I don't think anybody really KNOWS what his approval rating is.

When pollsters conduct polls, they include an approve, disapprove, and 'not sure' option. Since Jan. among independents 14% of them switched their answers from 'approve' and 'not sure' to 'disapprove'.
 
Re: Trump's Losing Support With Everyone: Including Republicans Close to 1/4 Disappro

How do you know he's down 14 points? Frankly, all the recent polls I've seen have been just like the polls during the campaign season...bogus. I don't think anybody really KNOWS what his approval rating is.

If the polls during the campaign season were bogus, why were they so accurate, (outside of the margins in a few upper midwest states)?

Weighting for Party ID is a horrendous polling practice for a few reasons. One of them being many states don't keep Party ID statistics so we actually don't have national data about Party Registration. And another being that people frequently change how they're feeling about a Party. Registered Republicans will report themselves as independents when they don't feel positive about the National Party. Conservative and Liberal unaffiliated voters will sometimes report themselves as Republicans or Democrats if that's the party they support more. And it's very fluid and constantly changing, because people are constantly changing their perceptions of the parties.

Trying to weight for something fluid and dynamic, rather than static like race, age, or gender, corrupts the data rather than enhances it.
 
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