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Fed's Rate Hikes Are Really A Bullish Validation Of Trumponomics

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from: Fed's Rate Hikes Are Really A Bullish Validation Of Trumponomics | Stock News & Stock Market Analysis - IBD

Editorial 3/15/2017

...the Fed's decision to raise rates is a nothing-burger. It takes the benchmark fed funds rate only to the 0.75%-1.00% range, a level that is almost negligible compared to the past norm for interest rates. By way of comparison, from 1992 to 2017, a period of abnormally low interest rates, the fed funds averaged 2.74%.

And that may be the point.

Investors know that, with a change in the presidency, the economic future is likely to be much better than the recent slow-growth past, and they're putting their bets on the table now.

The Fed's measured, quarter-point hike is a signal that policymakers might have learned their lesson, and won't make the same foolish mistakes that they did in the recent past. That's why most market indexes on Wednesday closed near their highs for the day...


...the deregulated, low-tax Trump economy will grow, and grow fast. There are going to be more jobs. They fear that strains will emerge on labor and raw resources, pushing inflation above their 2% long-term target. And they're afraid of getting way behind the curve.

In short, the Obama era of slow growth is finally ending. Investors know that's not a bad thing. As long as the Fed doesn't push the growth-equals-inflation panic button and ratchet up interest rates, as it has in the past, the Trump economy's future should be very bright indeed.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *​

Stocks are soaring and the reason is that Yellen's made it clear that the Fed's not raising rates any more. OK, so they're not raising 'em any less either but that's not the point.

Yeah, we all agree that Yellen's got a lot of short comings. She's a typical extreme left-wing loopy Princeton Democrat w/ politics to match. She's unable to lead and for years she's utterly failed to get a concenessus of policy opinion at the Federal Reserve. imho the only thing she's good for is monetary policy which I'll concede she does perfectly: we've had stable price growth well under control. Come to think of it, that's really what her job is all about.

So while her politics are dumb, she's got a super good understanding of what the Fed must do. Her control of interest rates (about the only thing the Fed can do) kept them as low as possible to prevent a replay of the serious deflation that hit at the end of '08. When things calmed down (it took years and years until 2015) she tried raising rates and she immoderately saw that the O economy was still on life support and the rate hikes stopped.

Until now. She won't say it, but she knows that since the election we now got a great economy.
 
from: Fed's Rate Hikes Are Really A Bullish Validation Of Trumponomics | Stock News & Stock Market Analysis - IBD

Editorial 3/15/2017

...the Fed's decision to raise rates is a nothing-burger. It takes the benchmark fed funds rate only to the 0.75%-1.00% range, a level that is almost negligible compared to the past norm for interest rates. By way of comparison, from 1992 to 2017, a period of abnormally low interest rates, the fed funds averaged 2.74%.

And that may be the point.

Investors know that, with a change in the presidency, the economic future is likely to be much better than the recent slow-growth past, and they're putting their bets on the table now.

The Fed's measured, quarter-point hike is a signal that policymakers might have learned their lesson, and won't make the same foolish mistakes that they did in the recent past. That's why most market indexes on Wednesday closed near their highs for the day...


...the deregulated, low-tax Trump economy will grow, and grow fast. There are going to be more jobs. They fear that strains will emerge on labor and raw resources, pushing inflation above their 2% long-term target. And they're afraid of getting way behind the curve.

In short, the Obama era of slow growth is finally ending. Investors know that's not a bad thing. As long as the Fed doesn't push the growth-equals-inflation panic button and ratchet up interest rates, as it has in the past, the Trump economy's future should be very bright indeed.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *​

Stocks are soaring and the reason is that Yellen's made it clear that the Fed's not raising rates any more. OK, so they're not raising 'em any less either but that's not the point.

Yeah, we all agree that Yellen's got a lot of short comings. She's a typical extreme left-wing loopy Princeton Democrat w/ politics to match. She's unable to lead and for years she's utterly failed to get a concenessus of policy opinion at the Federal Reserve. imho the only thing she's good for is monetary policy which I'll concede she does perfectly: we've had stable price growth well under control. Come to think of it, that's really what her job is all about.

So while her politics are dumb, she's got a super good understanding of what the Fed must do. Her control of interest rates (about the only thing the Fed can do) kept them as low as possible to prevent a replay of the serious deflation that hit at the end of '08. When things calmed down (it took years and years until 2015) she tried raising rates and she immoderately saw that the O economy was still on life support and the rate hikes stopped.

Until now. She won't say it, but she knows that since the election we now got a great economy.

That's when you are supposed to raise rates when the stocks are soaring too fast so that you have somewhere to actually move when the economy is bad.
 
They need to jump to it on the tax reform.
 
...you are supposed to raise rates when the stocks are soaring too fast...
What private investors do should not concern the Fed. The Fed's job is controlling inflation and that's it. The only link between the Fed and stock prices is that whenever the Fed's gotten its act together investors notice, become optimistic, and create jobs. When the Fed screws-the-pooch, investors shut down factories.
 
What private investors do should not concern the Fed. The Fed's job is controlling inflation and that's it. The only link between the Fed and stock prices is that whenever the Fed's gotten its act together investors notice, become optimistic, and create jobs. When the Fed screws-the-pooch, investors shut down factories.

Not exactly, it's job it's also to prevent crashes, lessen recessions and speed recoveries. If the fed had raised rates a few more times during the housing bubble we would have been in much better shape
 
Not exactly, it's job it's also to prevent crashes...
The fed can't do anything about crashes --the bubble bust kind-- because they are by their very nature unexpected. Yeah, there are clowns that say they knew it all along and some even can show they said so just a month before that a crash was coming --just like they'd been saying so every month since January 1974.
...lessen recessions and speed recoveries...
That is in fact their official mandate, but what happens in real life is that their actions are only to control inflation --even like in early 1982 when it squashed a barely recovering economy and plunged the nation back into double digit unemployment.
... If the fed had raised rates a few more times during the housing bubble we would have been in much better shape...
Hmm. Here's what happened w/ home prices and fed action--
fedhsbbl.png

--can you still say when you'd have raised 'em how much and what would be different when?
 
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