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My post was really about my thoughts based on my own research:
Fox News Electoral Map
the link above is my starting point and my conclusion is derived from the most recent polls available.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Iowa: Trump vs. Clinton IOWA
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Arizona: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ARIZONA
RealClearPolitics - 2016 Latest Election Polls NORTH CAROLINA
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Ohio: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein OHIO
alclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson-6004.html NEVADA
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...rump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5974.html COLORADO
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...rump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html FLORIDA
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-georgia-president-trump-vs-clinton GEORGIA
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/georgia-election-forecast.html GEORGIA
You said that CO is currently a tie and the average has Clinton up by 7%.
Eva, you can't take an outlying poll in every state and use that to conclude that it's a close race. That's not how any of this works. As soon as you start picking polls by which one makes you feel good you have left the land of "reality" and are going in to "dream land". Out of a hundred polls, yes you are going to be able to grab a few out-liars and make it seem very close. But that's just not how it works. Like I said, the election isn't over til every vote is counted, but when 538 has Clinton at 80%, they are giving you a very conservative estimate. The other poll aggregates being done give Clinton anywhere from 90 to 95%. But I agree with 538 that you have to be conservative on this cause anything could happen. I think 80% is plenty fair, because Trump is in deep ****. The only way you are going to see that 538 number go in trumps favor is if you see a majority of the polling turning in his favor, not just a single out-liar in a few states.