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Thread: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

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    Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict | The New York Times

    The party formerly linked to the Irish Republican Army is expected to get an equal share of votes to Prime Minister Leo Varadkar’s party and the main opposition group.


    Mary Lou McDonald, center, is the president of Sinn Fein.

    2/8/20
    Support for Sinn Fein, the former political wing of the Irish Republican Army, surged in Ireland’s national elections on Saturday, according to exit polls. Prime Minister Leo Varadkar’s party, in power since 2011, was weakened but the result left open the possibility that he could still hold onto his office. If the exit polls prove accurate, the vote boiled down to a three-way tie in a three-way race between Sinn Fein, Mr. Varadkar’s Fine Gael party and the leading opposition party, Fianna Fail. This would give Sinn Fein a shot at joining the next coalition government. A joint exit poll commissioned by The Irish Times and state broadcaster RTE showed Fine Gael at 22.4 percent, Sinn Fein at 22.3 percent and Fianna Fail at 22.2 percent. Analysts said the center-left Sinn Fein was boosted by younger and urban voters angered by austerity policies implemented by successive Fianna Fail and Fine Gael governments following the 2008 financial crash. It capitalized on frustrations over housing and health care crises largely blamed on Mr. Varadkar’s party. Still, this result would offer a political lifeline to Mr. Varadkar who had been expected to finish third.

    It could be a mixed bag for Sinn Fein and its leader, Mary Lou McDonald. If the exit polls are correct, the party won its highest-ever share of the national vote. But it chose to run only 42 candidates for the 180-seat Parliament and may have been able to take an even greater share had it fielded more candidates. “People think the government has taken a deliberate decision to favor landlords over house buyers and fair rents,” said Jane Suiter, a professor of media studies and politics at Dublin City University.
    “Sinn Fein have been getting young progressives on board, people who think the number of homeless is morally bankrupt, and who feel they have been left at the mercy of landlords and vested interests, free to charge what rent they like because ordinary people can’t afford to buy,” Ms. Suiter added. Before the election, Mr. Varadkar said that if his party lost, he would seek to retain the leadership of Fine Gael as head of the opposition or as a junior partner in a coalition led by one of the other two largest parties. However, he could face internal party unrest after leading such a lackluster election campaign, with opposition likely to crystallize around his deputy leader, the present foreign minister, Simon Coveney.
    If the exit polls are accurate, it would appear Ms. McDonald was too cautious in only fielding 42 parliamentary candidates. Then again, hindsight is 20/20.

    Related: Irish general election: Exit poll predicts 'tie' between three main parties | BBC


    He was only supposed to kill one guy in the middle of Fifth Avenue. Not 240,000 across America.

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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Another populist rebellion against elite-driven, status quo politics is brewing and this is just the first "blurp" in the brewing process.

    Cheers.
    Evilroddy.
    Last edited by Evilroddy; 02-09-20 at 05:54 PM.
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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by Rogue Valley View Post
    Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict | The New York Times

    The party formerly linked to the Irish Republican Army is expected to get an equal share of votes to Prime Minister Leo Varadkar’s party and the main opposition group.


    Mary Lou McDonald, center, is the president of Sinn Fein.



    If the exit polls are accurate, it would appear Ms. McDonald was too cautious in only fielding 42 parliamentary candidates. Then again, hindsight is 20/20.

    Related: Irish general election: Exit poll predicts 'tie' between three main parties | BBC
    Sinn Fein will be kicking themselves for not fielding more candidates. But as you say hindsight is 20/20. They did poorly in recent by-elections and the MEP election. Because of that, it seems unlikely they can be the majority partner in a coalition. Greens and Labour probably won’t get enough seats to be able to form a left wing alliance coalition. One of Fine Gael or Fianna Fáil will have to be a part of it. FG have repeated their pre election stance of not doing business with SF but FF look like they might. Still waiting for all the results to come in.
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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict



    He was only supposed to kill one guy in the middle of Fifth Avenue. Not 240,000 across America.

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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    isn't this the anti-eu left wing party in ireland?

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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 View Post
    isn't this the anti-eu left wing party in ireland?
    Nope, at least not anymore.

    They've changed their position from opposing EU integration to "critical" support.

    Without that they wouldn't have come as far as they just did, seeing how the Irish are vastly pro EU-membership.
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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by Chagos View Post
    Nope, at least not anymore.

    They've changed their position from opposing EU integration to "critical" support.

    Without that they wouldn't have come as far as they just did, seeing how the Irish are vastly pro EU-membership.
    Well, it'll be interesting to see how they deal with brexit negotiations then. It would be funny if this ends up causing a no deal brexit if they refuse any trade deal with the British.

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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkWizard12 View Post
    Well, it'll be interesting to see how they deal with brexit negotiations then. It would be funny if this ends up causing a no deal brexit if they refuse any trade deal with the British.
    Sinn Fein will do what it takes to get into power (just like 90% of all political parties anywhere in the world) and second whatever it takes to create a united Eire.
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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by Evilroddy View Post
    Another populist rebellion against elite-driven, status quo politics is brewing and this is just the first "blurp" in the brewing process.

    Cheers.
    Evilroddy.
    And yet everyone insists that moving the center ground is the way to win elections.

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    Re: Sinn Fein Surges in Irish Elections, Exit Polls Predict

    Quote Originally Posted by Red_Dave View Post
    And yet everyone insists that moving the center ground is the way to win elections.
    Red_Dave:

    Rather than shifting the centre about, Irish politicians should do something about runaway rents and very high real estate/home prices in Ireland, especially in the Dublin area. Jobs for young people under 25 is a big concern too.

    Cheers.
    Evilroddy.
    "At the heart of quantum mechanics is a rule that sometimes governs politicians or CEOs - as long as no one is watching, anything goes.”
    ― Lawrence M. Krauss

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