- Joined
- Jan 25, 2010
- Messages
- 30,790
- Reaction score
- 15,089
- Gender
- Undisclosed
- Political Leaning
- Undisclosed
That is odd, as leaving the group decision making mechanism always alters the group's decision making by rebalancing. In the case of the EU with its mixture of majority criteria this is especially the case. And as the organization is at the cusp of change, these balances will have the potential of massive impact. Even were the UK to abstain, its very membership would almost certainly change the results of decisions compared to its already having exited.
As the 5 alternatives imply very different paths of development of the EU, untimely exit would be utter negligence.
I think you overestimate what changes the UK will be able to push in the next few years. Yes the act of leaving is going to cause the EU to change that goes without saying (or should have), but it is unlikely it will be towards something the UK wants as opposed to what the larger remaining EU members will want. Unless they are the same thing the remaining major members will stall any significant policy changes the UK wants but they do not.
The longer it stays in the more likely the Brexit supporters become upset at the lack of progress, and vote out the current leadership.