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Climate change: warmer oceans could set off a year of extreme weather, US forecasters warn

JacksinPA

JacksinPA

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Climate change: warmer oceans could set off a year of extreme weather, US forecasters warn | South China Morning Post

The world’s oceans, especially the Gulf of Mexico, are warmer than average, as a result of climate change

The high temperatures have affected the Atlantic hurricane season, wildfires from the Amazon to Australia, and record heat and thunderstorms in the US

The world’s seas are simmering, with record high temperatures spurring concern among forecasters that the global warming effect may generate a chaotic year of extreme weather ahead.

Parts of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans all hit the record books for warmth last month, according to the US National Centres for Environmental Information. The high temperatures could offer clues on the ferocity of the Atlantic hurricane season, the eruption of wildfires from the Amazon region to Australia, and whether the record heat and severe thunderstorms raking the southern US will continue.
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This is the second forecast I've seen recently about a more active hurricane season this year.
 
Just in time for the 2020-2026 Convergence.
 
JacksinPA said:
Climate change: warmer oceans could set off a year of extreme weather, US forecasters warn | South China Morning Post

The world’s oceans, especially the Gulf of Mexico, are warmer than average, as a result of climate change

The high temperatures have affected the Atlantic hurricane season, wildfires from the Amazon to Australia, and record heat and thunderstorms in the US

The world’s seas are simmering, with record high temperatures spurring concern among forecasters that the global warming effect may generate a chaotic year of extreme weather ahead.

Parts of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans all hit the record books for warmth last month, according to the US National Centres for Environmental Information. The high temperatures could offer clues on the ferocity of the Atlantic hurricane season, the eruption of wildfires from the Amazon region to Australia, and whether the record heat and severe thunderstorms raking the southern US will continue.
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This is the second forecast I've seen recently about a more active hurricane season this year.
Click to expand...

Let me guess that if it turns out to be a more active (Gulf Of Mexico?) hurricane season this year (defined as ???) then you will say it supports AGW, but if it does not turn out to be a more active (Gulf Of Mexico?) hurricane season this year then that also supports AGW.
 
JacksinPA said:
This is the second forecast I've seen recently about a more active hurricane season this year.
Click to expand...

Of course it is.


More Than 400 News Outlets Partner With A Project Seeking Media To Beef Up Climate Coverage Amid Pandemic

From The Daily Caller Chris White Tech Reporter April 16, 2020 8:41 PM ET A project co-founded by the Columbia Journalism Review is asking hundreds of news outlets to focus their reporting on climate change on Earth Day as journalists focus primarily on coronavirus coverage. The journalist heading the effort believes the media should be…

3 days ago April 17, 2020 in Climate News.
 

Figure: Global Hurricane Frequency (all & major) -- 12-month running sums. The top time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached at least hurricane-force (maximum lifetime wind speed exceeds 64-knots). The bottom time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached major hurricane strength (96-knots+). Adapted from Maue (2011) GRL.

 
Jack Hays said:

Figure: Global Hurricane Frequency (all & major) -- 12-month running sums. The top time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached at least hurricane-force (maximum lifetime wind speed exceeds 64-knots). The bottom time series is the number of global tropical cyclones that reached major hurricane strength (96-knots+). Adapted from Maue (2011) GRL.

Click to expand...

This graph isn't effected much by human impact.
 
[FONT=&quot]hurricanes[/FONT]
[h=1]Climate goalpost migration: if you can’t prove more hurricanes, say it’s making them relocate[/h][FONT=&quot]From NOAA HEADQUARTERS (via EurekaAlert) and the “Climate Refugees” department comes this inane claim that can easily be explained by natural ocean current pattern changes such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Meridontal Oscillation, but instead get the universal boogeyman of “climate change” applied as the driver. Takeaway: “the global average number of…
[/FONT]
 
We hear this every year...and yet life still goes on.
 
LOL now its the Chinese who are posting climate change BS in an effort to distract blame from the virus they caused.
 
JacksinPA said:
Climate change: warmer oceans could set off a year of extreme weather, US forecasters warn | South China Morning Post

The world’s oceans, especially the Gulf of Mexico, are warmer than average, as a result of climate change

The high temperatures have affected the Atlantic hurricane season, wildfires from the Amazon to Australia, and record heat and thunderstorms in the US

The world’s seas are simmering, with record high temperatures spurring concern among forecasters that the global warming effect may generate a chaotic year of extreme weather ahead.

Parts of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans all hit the record books for warmth last month, according to the US National Centres for Environmental Information. The high temperatures could offer clues on the ferocity of the Atlantic hurricane season, the eruption of wildfires from the Amazon region to Australia, and whether the record heat and severe thunderstorms raking the southern US will continue.
================================================
This is the second forecast I've seen recently about a more active hurricane season this year.
Click to expand...

Shouldn't this have happened last year? and the year before? You know, hockey stick warming and all. Or is there a point where weather goes from normal to crazy and this year is the year?
 
KLATTU said:
Shouldn't this have happened last year? and the year before? You know, hockey stick warming and all. Or is there a point where weather goes from normal to crazy and this year is the year?
Click to expand...

You are already seeing the devastating effects of climate change all across the world.

"Impacts from climate change are happening now. These impacts extend well beyond an increase in temperature, affecting ecosystems and communities in the United States and around the world. Things that we depend upon and value — water, energy, transportation, wildlife, agriculture, ecosystems, and human health — are experiencing the effects of a changing climate."

Climate change impacts | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration


"Madrid, 3 December 2019 - The year 2019 concludes a decade of exceptional global heat, retreating ice and record sea levels driven by greenhouse gases from human activities. Average temperatures for the five-year (2015-2019) and ten-year (2010-2019) periods are almost certain to be the highest on record. 2019 is on course to be the second or third warmest year on record, according to the World Meteorological Organization."

2019 concludes a decade of exceptional global heat and high-impact weather | World Meteorological Organization

"“Average temperatures have increased by about one degree since 1950, while recent decades have also seen a trend toward lower winter season rainfall, particularly in the southwest and southeast of Australia,” Dr Hughes said.

“Controlling for all other factors, we estimate these changes have reduced average farm profits by around 22 per cent. These effects have been most pronounced in the cropping sector, reducing average profits by 35 per cent, or $70,900 per year for a typical cropping farm.

“At a national level this amounts to an average loss in production of broadacre crops of 8% or around $1.1 billion a year."

New insights on the effects of drought and climate variability on Australian farms - Department of Agriculture
 
[h=2]Schooled: Warmth-Sensitive Fish Teach Us They Swam In A 4-5°C Warmer Ocean About 5000 Years Ago[/h]By Kenneth Richard on 6. July 2020
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[h=4]Extensive hake (fish) skeletal remains in ocean waters too cold for this species to occupy today suggest past ocean temperatures were several degrees warmer.[/h]Fish habitats are limited by specific temperature boundaries. In a new study, for example, Wheeland and Morgan (2020) found there was a pronounced ocean warming from the 1980s to late 1990s off the coasts of Greenland. This temperature shift changed the distribution of halibut habitat. Since then, however, there has been no net warming in the study region (through 2016).
Recent-non-warming-Greenland-Wheeland-Morgan-2020.jpg

[h=6]Image Source: Wheeland and Morgan, 2020[/h]In a new study, Bas et al. ( 2020) document a large presence of a temperature-sensitive fish species (hake) at 53°S (southernmost South America) when current hake venture no further south than 47°S. This latitude differential for hake habitat suggests the ocean was 4-5°C warmer than today about 5000 years ago (Mid-Holocene). . . .
 
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