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Thread: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

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    No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Well now. This may cause a stir. Here we have a research result suggesting there has been no significant surface warming for the past 170 years, and there is no temperature correlation with atmospheric CO2.

    Land Surface Air Temperature Data
    170 Years of Earth Surface Temperature Data Show No Evidence of Significant Warming

    Author: Thomas K. Bjorklund, University of Houston, Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences October16, 2019 Key Points 1. From 1850 to the present, the noise-corrected, average warming of the surface of the earth is less than 0.07 degrees C per decade. 2. The rate of warming of the surface of the earth does not correlate…

    Author: Thomas K. Bjorklund, University of Houston, Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences
    October16, 2019
    Key Points
    1. From 1850 to the present, the noise-corrected, average warming of the surface of the earth is less than 0.07 degrees C per decade.
    2. The rate of warming of the surface of the earth does not correlate with the rate of increase of fossil fuel emissions of CO2 into the atmosphere.
    3. Recent increases in surface temperatures reflect 40 years of increasing intensities of the El Nino Southern Oscillation climate pattern.
    Abstract
    This study investigates the relationships between surface temperatures from 1850 to the present and reported long-range temperature predictions of global warming. A crucial component of this analysis is the calculation of an estimate of the warming curve of the surface of the earth. The calculation removes errors in temperature measurements and fluctuations due to short-duration weather events from the recorded data. The results show the average rate of warming of the surface of earth for the past 170 years is less than 0.07 degrees C per decade. The rate of warming of the surface of the earth does not correlate with the rate of increase of CO2 in the atmosphere. The perceived threat of excessive future global temperatures may stem from misinterpretation of 40 years of increasing intensities of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern in the eastern Pacific Ocean. ENSO activity culminated in 2016 with the highest surface temperature anomaly ever recorded. The rate of warming of the earth’s surface has dropped 41 percent since 2006. . . .

    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    The link is to the classic reply to the Consensus Enforcement Squad. Here is the concluding passage.

    Aliens Cause Global Warming


    Thursday, January 31st, 2019

    ". . . Of course, any scientist can be charged as Galileo was charged. I just never thought I’d see the Scientific American in the role of Mother Church.
    Is this what science has become? I hope not. But it is what it will become, unless there is a concerted effort by leading scientists to aggressively separate science from policy. The late Philip Handler, former president of the National Academy of Sciences, said that “Scientists best serve public policy by living within the ethics of science, not those of politics. If the scientific community will not unfrock the charlatans, the public will not discern the difference — science and the nation will suffer.”. . . "
    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    I wonder what the AGW religious types will say to this?
    The left says the right is full of racists and bigots and have no tolerance. Nobody from the right organizes interference with gay pride parades, or other leftist events. The left however always has a group interfering with events organized by the right. Who are the tolerant ones I ask? Most certainly not the left.

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Lord of Planar View Post
    I wonder what the AGW religious types will say to this?
    We shall see. I suspect that some will try to ignore it.
    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    From Watts Up With That?

    The planet is no longer warming

    February 6, 2019

    Guest Post By Javier

    Excerpt:

    We define “warming” as a positive rate of temperature change over time. According to the main hypothesis, warming since 1951 has been due almost exclusively to the increase in GHGs (greenhouse gases), of which CO2 is the most important one. The IPCC does not find anything else that has contributed to the observed warming.

    According to the IPCC at least 77%, but more probably 120%, and up to 200% of the observed warming, has been caused by GHGs.

    The rate of CO2 change (the atmospheric increase in CO2 every year) has been increasing almost linearly since 1959 and is currently ~2.4 ppm/year.

    If the IPCC hypothesis was correct, the warming rate should increase (accelerate) if CO2 is increasing rapidly. The warming rate can only decrease (decelerate) if CO2 is increasing more slowly and can only turn into cooling (negative rate) if CO2 is decreasing.

    But the hypothesis doesn’t fit the observations. The HadCRUT 4 rate of temperature change (°C/year) is no longer increasing. In fact, it stopped increasing ~1994 and has been decreasing since. Global warming has been decelerating for over 20 years despite CO2 levels increasing at the same rapid rate.

    LINK

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Hays View Post
    We shall see. I suspect that some will try to ignore it.
    Several have already visited, so far silence.....


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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Finnish Scientists: Effect of human activity on climate change ...

    https://www.helsinkitimes.fi › finland › finland-news › domestic › 16562-f...





    Jul 14, 2019 - Jyrki Kauppinen and Pekka Malmi, from the Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Turku, in their paper published on 29th June ...
    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Still crickets.
    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Run, do not walk to the next climate conference to present this info! Call up Inhofe! Tell Detroit to forget about fuel standards! End this foolishness!

    There. Now that I got that out of my system, simply get this circulated. Add it to the literature on climate change so that we can adjust policy if necessary.

    Or... continue going “Nyaa Nyaa, we were right and you were wrong.”

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    Re: No Evidence for Significant Warming for 170 Years

    Quote Originally Posted by Nickyjo View Post
    Run, do not walk to the next climate conference to present this info! Call up Inhofe! Tell Detroit to forget about fuel standards! End this foolishness!

    There. Now that I got that out of my system, simply get this circulated. Add it to the literature on climate change so that we can adjust policy if necessary.

    Or... continue going “Nyaa Nyaa, we were right and you were wrong.”
    I await reasoned discussion.
    "Waste no more time arguing what a good man should be. Be one." --Marcus Aurelius

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