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Polar Bears Are Thriving

[h=2]Sea ice melt in the Arctic Basin leaves an area for polar bears larger than Greenland[/h]Posted on August 29, 2019 | Comments Offon Sea ice melt in the Arctic Basin leaves an area for polar bears larger than Greenland
Most polar bears that spend the spring feeding in the peripheral seas of the Arctic Basin (such as the Beaufort, Chukchi, Kara, and Barents Seas) remain on the persistent pack ice of the central Arctic during the summer and this August, that refugium is still larger than Greenland. Most of these bears do not use this July-September Arctic Basin ice as a hunting platform unless they are very lucky: the few seals available are hard to catch. For the most part, polar bears fast or eat very little during the summer whether they are on land or on ice (see references in this post).
svalbard-polar-bear-fall-2015_aars.jpg

Since early June, sea ice experts have been wringing their hands over the melting of Arctic sea ice and offering breathless speculation that this year’s September minimum could be – gasp! – as low as or less than 2012 or even less. But now, as the graph of ice cover at 28 August shows below, that outcome is looking not just unlikely but virtually impossible (the blue line is 2019 extent, red dashed line is 2012, and the brown line is 2016):
sea-ice-extent-2012-and-2016-vs-2019-with-2x-deviation-at-28-aug_nsidc-interactive-e1567094201814.jpg

As expected, the failure of the ice to remain on track to set a new recordSeptember low due to global warming is shrugged off with a reminderthat summer ice extent “is sensitive to changes in daily weather conditions.”
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[h=2]Sea ice melt in the Arctic Basin leaves an area for polar bears larger than Greenland[/h]Posted on August 29, 2019 | Comments Offon Sea ice melt in the Arctic Basin leaves an area for polar bears larger than Greenland
Most polar bears that spend the spring feeding in the peripheral seas of the Arctic Basin (such as the Beaufort, Chukchi, Kara, and Barents Seas) remain on the persistent pack ice of the central Arctic during the summer and this August, that refugium is still larger than Greenland. Most of these bears do not use this July-September Arctic Basin ice as a hunting platform unless they are very lucky: the few seals available are hard to catch. For the most part, polar bears fast or eat very little during the summer whether they are on land or on ice (see references in this post).
svalbard-polar-bear-fall-2015_aars.jpg

Since early June, sea ice experts have been wringing their hands over the melting of Arctic sea ice and offering breathless speculation that this year’s September minimum could be – gasp! – as low as or less than 2012 or even less. But now, as the graph of ice cover at 28 August shows below, that outcome is looking not just unlikely but virtually impossible (the blue line is 2019 extent, red dashed line is 2012, and the brown line is 2016):
sea-ice-extent-2012-and-2016-vs-2019-with-2x-deviation-at-28-aug_nsidc-interactive-e1567094201814.jpg

As expected, the failure of the ice to remain on track to set a new recordSeptember low due to global warming is shrugged off with a reminderthat summer ice extent “is sensitive to changes in daily weather conditions.”
Continue reading

Olookablog
 


The Death of a Climate Icon: the video

Posted on August 31, 2019 | Comments Offon The Death of a Climate Icon: the video
Two years old today, this polar bear video is more relevant than ever:
“The polar bear as an icon for climate change is dead because the distorted predictions made by polar bear specialists were wrong.”





 
Walruses climbing cliffs and falling off them are natural events: 1994 video from Alaska

Posted on September 1, 2019 | Comments Offon Walruses climbing cliffs and falling off them are natural events: 1994 video from Alaska
US Fish and Wildlife officials in 1994 explain walruses falling to their deaths from a cliff at Cape Pierce in the southern Bering Sea (a haulout for adult males during the ice-free season). Explanation? Overcrowding (too many walruses)!

Hype from the Netflix/Attenborough ‘climate change is gonna destroy the world’ fearmongers earlier this year notwithstanding – or the mediathis summer trying to stir up climate change fever – the US Fish and Wildlife Service determined in October 2017 that the Pacific walrus is not being harmed by climate change and is not likely to be harmed within the foreseeable future (USFWS 2017). The IUCN Red List (2015) lists the Pacific walrus as ‘data deficient.
Large herds onshore are a sign of population health, not climate change, and walruses have come ashore in the Chukchi Sea during the ice-free season in summer and/or fall for more than 100 years (Crockford 2014; Fischbach et al. 2016; Lowrey 1985). Those are the relevant scientific facts.


 
Olookablog

Translation: I have no counter argument to make because it is too hard for me to do that.

Meanwhile, due to your failure to address the article, it stands untarnished.
 
[h=2]Western Hudson Bay polar bears in great shape after five good sea ice seasons[/h]Posted on September 5, 2019 | Comments Offon Western Hudson Bay polar bears in great shape after five good sea ice seasons
Polar bear researcher Andrew Derocher says it takes four years of good sea ice conditions to recruit a polar bear from birth but implies that 2019 is the first year in decades that conditions for bears have been ‘good’ in Western Hudson Bay. He thinks he can get away with saying this because he hasn’t published any of the data on body weight and body condition he’s collected on these bears over the last 25 years (apparently, whatever funding agency pays for his research does not require him to publish the data he collects).
But independent observations such as dates of ice freeze-up in fall, ice breakup in summer, dates and condition of bears recorded onshore, suggest he’s blowing smoke: at least five out of five of the last sea ice seasons for WH bears have been good. That means we should be seeing more bears in the next official population count.
churchill-seal-river-lodge-triplets_30-sept-2017.jpg

Continue reading
 
[h=2]No climate emergency for polar bears or walrus means no climate emergency period[/h]Posted on September 23, 2019 | Comments Offon No climate emergency for polar bears or walrus means no climate emergency period
We are told the Arctic is warming twice as fast as anywhere else in the world, yet as the internet reverberates with shrill, almost-the-lowest-ice-extent-ever stories, polar bears, Pacific walrus, and the most common ice seal species (ringed and bearded seals, as well as harp seals), are all thriving. Two new videos published by the GWPF on polar bears and walrus confront this conundrum and the conclusion is clear: if there is no climate emergency for polar bears, there is no climate emergency anywhere.
Continuereading
 

Activist biologist filled with eco-anxiety shares unfounded fear of polar bear catastrophe

From Polar Bear Science Posted on September 29, 2019 | Comments Off on Activist biologist filled with eco-anxiety shares unfounded fear of polar bear catastrophe Misplaced eco-anxiety that kids have about polar bears starts with activist biologists like Steven Amstrup, spokesperson for an organization devoted to raising climate change alarm – and media outlets like…
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[FONT=&quot]". . . Amstrup has been crying wolf since 2007: the predictions of polar bear catastrophe were all based on his opinion (that’s how the model was constructed) that this species would not be able to cope with 42% less summer sea ice than they had had in 1980 (Amstrup et al. 2007; Crockford 2017, 2019; Durner et al. 2009).[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]However, the evidence collected by his colleagues has proven him wrong again and again but he hasn’t changed his tune. Polar bears in the Chukchi Sea (the “western arctic”) have been thriving despite the dramatic decline in sea ice there – and so have the seals they depend upon for food (Crawford et al. 2015; Regehr et al. 2018; Rode and Regehr 2010; Rode et al. 2013, 2014, 2018). Barents Sea bears have been thriving despite an even greater loss of summer ice (Aars 208; Aars et al. 2017).[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Amstrup suggests that polar bear numbers in the Southern Beaufort this year can only have declined further than the dip calculated for the 2001-2010 period. Not so: it is entirely possible – and eminently plausible – that numbers have increased. That’s because bear numbers declined due to thick ice conditions in spring between 2004 and 2007 that were as bad as they had been in 1974-1976, not because of reduced summer ice since 2007 (Crockford 2017, 2018, 2019; Stirling 2002; Stirling et al. 2008; York et al. 2016).[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Southern Beaufort polar bear populations have a long history of declines and recoveries (Stirling 2002) and all the photos of polar bears out of Alaska for the last several years have shown fat healthy bears – two are shown here. Where are the dozens of starving bears that would supposedly be the harbingers of a declining population since 2010? Amstrup does not produce evidence of them. . . ."[/FONT]

 
[h=2]Activist biologist filled with eco-anxiety shares unfounded fear of polar bear catastrophe[/h]
Posted on September 29, 2019 | Comments Offon Activist biologist filled with eco-anxiety shares unfounded fear of polar bear catastrophe
Misplaced eco-anxiety that kids have about polar bears starts with activist biologists like Steven Amstrup, spokesperson for an organization devoted to raising climate change alarm – and media outlets like The Guardian who help them spread fears unsupported by scientific evidence.

 
[h=2]Polar bear activity picks up in Churchill as W Hudson Bay freeze-up time approaches[/h]Posted on October 14, 2019 | Comments Offon Polar bear activity picks up in Churchill as W Hudson Bay freeze-up time approaches
This is week 15 for most polar bears onshore near Churchill in Western Hudson Bay, which means they have been onshore for almost 4 months. Still, photos being circulated are still showing bears in excellent condition and we are just waiting to see if freeze-up this year is as early as it has been for the last two years.
polar-bear-churchill-9-oct-2019-danielle-daley-photo.jpg

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[h=2]Polar bear activity picks up in Churchill as W Hudson Bay freeze-up time approaches[/h]Posted on October 14, 2019 | Comments Offon Polar bear activity picks up in Churchill as W Hudson Bay freeze-up time approaches
This is week 15 for most polar bears onshore near Churchill in Western Hudson Bay, which means they have been onshore for almost 4 months. Still, photos being circulated are still showing bears in excellent condition and we are just waiting to see if freeze-up this year is as early as it has been for the last two years.
polar-bear-churchill-9-oct-2019-danielle-daley-photo.jpg

Continue reading

Oh, look.

The ‘polar bear expert’ who has never written a scientific article or done scientific research on polar bear populations is getting her data from...

‘Photos being circulated on the internet’.

Sounds about right.
 
Oh, look.

The ‘polar bear expert’ who has never written a scientific article or done scientific research on polar bear populations is getting her data from...

‘Photos being circulated on the internet’.

Sounds about right.

Your ignorance is breathtaking. Apparently you didn't read the article. And where did "on the internet" appear?
 
Your ignorance is breathtaking. Apparently you didn't read the article. And where did "on the internet" appear?

Of course I didn’t read your trash link.


I guess those photos were circulated by hand then- with sled dogs bringing the film in from Churchill to be processed in Winnipeg and then driven to Victoria University over the mountains by mushing teams.
 
Of course I didn’t read your trash link.


I guess those photos were circulated by hand then- with sled dogs bringing the film in from Churchill to be processed in Winnipeg and then driven to Victoria University over the mountains by mushing teams.

So you admit to fabricating the quote.
 
It says ‘according to photos circulating’.

I realize your links are crappy and you know it, but you could at least read them before you spam them.

And you wrote: ‘Photos being circulated on the internet’.

So you admit you fabricated the quote.
 
And you wrote: ‘Photos being circulated on the internet’.

So you admit you fabricated the quote.

Like I said- I suppose it could be by sled dogs, or bush planes.

But that’s kind of stupid. It’s obviously the internet.
 
And you wrote: ‘Photos being circulated on the internet’.

So you admit you fabricated the quote.

He probably circulated the pics too lol
 
The Consensus Enforcement Squad has been busy.

[FONT=&quot]

[/FONT]






Was this zoologist punished for telling school kids politically incorrect facts about polar bears?

From The Financial Post Opinion: Dr. Susan Crockford describes her expulsion from the University of Victoria as ‘an academic hanging without a trial, conducted behind closed doors’ Zoologist Dr. Susan Crockford says that, contrary to the claims of environmental activists, polar bears are currently thriving and are at no risk of extinction from climate change.Postmedia…
Continue reading →
 
The Consensus Enforcement Squad has been busy.

[FONT=&quot]

[/FONT]






Was this zoologist punished for telling school kids politically incorrect facts about polar bears?

From The Financial Post Opinion: Dr. Susan Crockford describes her expulsion from the University of Victoria as ‘an academic hanging without a trial, conducted behind closed doors’ Zoologist Dr. Susan Crockford says that, contrary to the claims of environmental activists, polar bears are currently thriving and are at no risk of extinction from climate change.Postmedia…
Continue reading →

LOL.

Adjunct faculty are never secure jobs.

Especially for faculty that just embarrass the University.
 
LOL.

Adjunct faculty are never secure jobs.

Especially for faculty that just embarrass the University.

[FONT=&quot]"G. Cornelis van Kooten, a UVic professor of economics who also holds a Canada Research Chair in environmental studies, says he is “appalled and distressed” by the Crockford removal. When, he asks, did “universities turn against open debate? There’s now a climate of fear on campus.”"[/FONT]
 
[FONT=&quot]"G. Cornelis van Kooten, a UVic professor of economics who also holds a Canada Research Chair in environmental studies, says he is “appalled and distressed” by the Crockford removal. When, he asks, did “universities turn against open debate? There’s now a climate of fear on campus.”"[/FONT]

Adjunct faculty.

They’re pretty much freelancers. No one is afraid of them.
 
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