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- Jul 19, 2012
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I have a solid argument to the effect that there has been no significant change in global temperatures for the last 100 years. Unfortunately, it's based on advanced statistical data analysis concepts, and nobody can understand it.
It starts with the idea that the temperature record is a time series with a high degree of autocorrelation.
See? Lost you already.
I could simplify the argument by using an analogy -- Brownian Motion!
Not any better, eh?
Albert Einstein won the Nobel Prize for this, so I guess it's not that easy.
Regardless, if you put a tiny pollen particle in a Petri dish filled with pure water the fact that the particle will wander all the way from one side of the dish to the other is not evidence that there are water currents in the dish. It's just random motion.
It starts with the idea that the temperature record is a time series with a high degree of autocorrelation.
See? Lost you already.
I could simplify the argument by using an analogy -- Brownian Motion!
Not any better, eh?
Albert Einstein won the Nobel Prize for this, so I guess it's not that easy.
Regardless, if you put a tiny pollen particle in a Petri dish filled with pure water the fact that the particle will wander all the way from one side of the dish to the other is not evidence that there are water currents in the dish. It's just random motion.