Oh really?? This is a new claim for you Lord. You have always claimed the science was sound but that the pundits always misstate what the scientists actually say. Now you are claiming that the scientists are purposefully misstating the science.
:roll:
I think you are finally beginning to realize that the science proves you denialist wrong so you have decided to just go full denial.
Like I keep saying... I'm done wasting my time showing you anything. I'm tired of doing almost all the showing while you provide jack ****.
Buzz, let's put the climate science to the test!
In another thread, we just went through a test to see if the modeled expectation of a 2XCO2 ECS of 3C were viable.
The psychology of climate change denial
Climate science says that doubling the CO2 level will force 1.1C of warming, and that 1.1 C of warming will be amplified
through climate feedbacks to produce 3C of total warming after equalization. (60% of equalization will be complete between 25 to 50 years)
Since we have instrument records that are 139 years old, we can evaluate if earlier warming experienced similar feedbacks.
I used 1950, because the IPCC was nice enough to publish the total forcing between 1950 and 2011, at 1.72W/m2, or .5116C.
The decade averaged warming in 1950 (Hadcrut4) was .29C above the pre 1900 average.
This is the input for the climate feedbacks!
The decade averages warming between 1950 and 2011 was .5113C
So the observed warming is very close the the IPCC's forced warming, without room for much feedback warming.
I know you complained about averaging methodologies, but if ending the average on the last year skews low, it also skews low everywhere,
including for the input and beginning temperature.
Were 2XCO2 ECS actually 3C, it would require a feedback factor of 3C/1.1C=2.72,
the amount applied to the input to equal the output. We can test this by, 1.1C X 2.72 = 2.992C.
For our test, we need to include the 60% of ECS at between 25 to 50 years, this is ok, since 61 years elapsed between 1950 and 2011.
We have an input at .29 C, a feedback factor(2.72), and a latency period(61 years).
.29C X 2.72 X .6 = .473C, Hum! If the 2XCO2 ECS were really 3C, we would need to see an additional .473C of warming not observed in the record.
GISS has pre 1950 warming at .225C, and warming between 1950 and 2011 at .615C, so a slight amount of unknown warming.
Again we can evaluate the expected warming from feedbacks, .225C X 2.72 X .6 = .367C above the forcing warming of .5116C, or .878C.
We only have .615 C to work with so that feedback factor is too high!
