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Global Cooling Is Under Way

No. Jack is on a particularly personal crusade. He's a special kind of climate science denier. His ability to not just keep spreading old lies about climate science but to come up with new versions of the same lies is prodigious.

It's rather amazing to see someone be that blatant about it. Trump should study these threads to get some new ideas on how boldfaced the given lies can be.
 
In my opinion... probably a cooling. I don't think that much, and don't hold your breath because it might not happen.

I would be surprised if the sun cools to Maunder Minima levels, and if it does, the lag will be longer than the three cycles it is predicted to drop to the minimum. It would be some time after 2050 I think if we do see a 1 C drop due to thermal inertia.

That's hilarious. That comment could be a teaching tool example for someone pretending to know something while clearly indicating the opposite by throwing a few climate-sciency sounding words together.
 
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It's rather amazing to see someone be that blatant about it. Trump should study these threads to get some new ideas on how boldfaced the given lies can be.

Is this your first encounter with Ol' Jack? He pops up every few weeks with some version of this OP chock full of references to sites that cite (haha) multiple pseudo-scientific sounding arguments against the overwhelming CAGW path we're on. They've tried several versions of this solar cycle BS. One of the favorite tactics is to focus on one tiny part of the planet that is experiencing some cold weather and declare: A HAH!!! Global warming DEBUNKED!!!!! It's puerile, goofy, stupid and just plain ****ing wrong every time.
 
[h=2]UAH Global Temperature Update for August 2020: +0.43 deg. C[/h]September 1st, 2020The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for August, 2020 was +0.43 deg. C, essentially unchanged from the July, 2020 value of +0.44 deg. C.


Guess what is not under way. Cooling.

Woodland Hills reaches 121 degrees -- L.A. County's highest temperature on record
The mark rivaled the high in California's Death Valley, typically the hottest place in the country.

Southern California is sweltering under a dangerous heat wave Labor Day weekend that was spreading triple-digit temperatures over much of the state, raising concerns about power outages and the spread of the coronavirus as throngs of people packed beaches and mountains for relief.


And, CA is not the only place in the US that swelters.

Phoenix breaks record for most days reaching 115 degrees in a year
the the National Weather Service reported on Tuesday that it’s been the hottest summer on date, with average temperature of 96 degrees.

This summer’s average high temperature of 107.9 degrees and average low temperature of 84.2 degrees are also record highs for the city.

And July 2020 went into the record books as the hottest month in Phoenix history, with an average temperature of 99 degrees.
 
Sorry, but individual regional weather reports have no standing as climate data.

Nonsense.

For years, climate scientists have been wary of attributing extreme weather directly to man-made atmospheric warming, but that's changing in the face of historic heat waves and cascading natural disasters. In recent weeks alone, a "derecho," a complex of unusually powerful, hurricane-like storms, tore through the Midwest, destroying homes and crops across a 745-mile path; Hurricane Laura crashed into the Gulf Coast with sustained 150-mph winds; and hundreds of California wildfires incinerated an area the size of Rhode Island in just a week. The Southwest suffered a punishing heat wave with a high of 130 in Death Valley, perhaps the hottest day in world history. It followed highs of 125 in Iraq and a record 100-degree day in the Siberian town of Verkhoyansk, a once-in-100,000-years event. These freak patterns, researchers say, are almost certainly the result of mankind pumping 2.6 million pounds of CO2into the atmosphere per second. "We've gotten to the point where, when it comes to extreme heat waves, there is almost always a human fingerprint," said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain.

Climate change has arrived
 
The cooling is....

Not looking like cooling.

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The cooling is....

Not looking like cooling.

619e6e959ee84ffbd5b99e893e783b4c.jpg

Cooling like a melting ice cube cools a table top right before it turns into a puddle of water perhaps. ;)
 
[h=2]Year Of Global Cooling. JRC Analysis Show Land And Sea Surface Temperatures Continue To Fall[/h]By P Gosselin on 8. September 2020
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By Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
The global mean temperature of the satellite-based measurements remained almost unchanged in August compared to July. The deviation from the 30-year average (1981 to 2010) was 0.43 degrees Celsius.
temp.jpg

Temperature measurements on land and in the sea continue to decrease, as the graph of the JRC analysis shows, especially in the southern hemisphere (blue).
temp2.png

Approaching La Nina
The research institutes predict with high probability a La Nina in the Pacific Ocean next winter. Therefore, a further decrease in global temperatures is expected until next spring. The following diagram shows the incipient cooling effect in the Pacific.
temp3.png

 
2020: A Year Of Global Surface Cooling…And Sun Showing Little Activity, Spotless 30 Days
By P Gosselin on 25. September 2020

Our friend “Snowfan” here reports the sun has now gone 30 days without sunspots as we progress into solar cycle 25.
A number of scientists have been warning that the earth may be heading into a cooling phase due to lower sunspot activity over the past 15 years.

Is cooling in the works? Solar activity has been tapering Since 1980. Source: SpaceWeatherLive.
The low sunspot activity comes after a 20th century of high sunspot activity – perhaps a major reason for the strong warming since 1980, a number of atmospheric physicists suggest.
2020: A year of global surface cooling

Source: Global 2m-TA
The GFS forecast of global 2-meter surface temperatures for September 20-27, 2020 (black line) show a new annual low with respect to the WMO 1981-2010 climate mean. This also applies to temperatures in the southern hemisphere (SH, bold blue line). . . .
 

New Solar Orbiter data reveals the sun at its quietest
Three of the Solar Orbiter spacecraft’s instruments, including Imperial’s magnetometer, have released their first data. The European Space Agency’s Solar Orbiter spacecraft launched in February 2020 on its mission to study to Sun and it began collecting science data in June. Now, three of its ten instruments have released their first tranche of data, revealing the state…
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UAH Global Temperature Update for September 2020: +0.57 deg. C
October 1st, 2020
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2020 was +0.57 deg. C, up from from the August, 2020 value of +0.43 deg. C.

The linear warming trend since January, 1979 remains at +0.14 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).
For comparison, the CDAS global surface temperature anomaly for the last 30 days at Weatherbell.com is +0.38 deg. C.
With La Nina in the Pacific now officially started, it will take several months for that surface cooling to be fully realized in the tropospheric temperatures. Typically, La Nina minimum temperatures (and El Nino maximum temperatures) show up around February, March, or April. . . .
 
Low Solar Activity Points To Colder Than Normal 2020/21 European Winter
By P Gosselin on 16. October 2020

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SnowFan here reports on the latest winter forecasts for the 2020/21 Europe winter. History and statistics show Europe could be in for a frosty winter.
Currently a significant La Nina is shaping up, and history shows that these events in the Pacific have an impact on Europe’s winters:

The NOAA reanalysis above shows the temperature deviations (left) and for precipitation (right) from the WMO average 1981-2010 during the six La Niña years of winter in Europe. Large parts of Europe have average temperatures and precipitation is distributed differently, with Germany being slightly drier overall than the WMO average. Is a 2020/21 winter in Germany under La Niña conditions shaping up to have average temperatures and slightly less humidity?
Strong winter-solar correlation
A more important factor determining winter in Europe may be solar activity. Data from the German DWD national weather service since 1954 show a remarkable higher frequency of cold winters in times of low solar activity, such as we are now in the midst of.
The following chart shows the December-January-February cold temperature anomalies occurring in the times of low solar activity (circled):

After the current minimum of solar activity in December 2019, statistically it leads us to expect a crisp winter 2020/21 – not only in Germany. Source: DWD time series with supplements. . . .
 
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