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Climate Alarmists Caught Faking Sea Level Rise

Quaestio said:
Yes she explained that she was not a published expert on sea level rise. Only that she had done some minor peripheral work that had not a lot to do with sea level rise.
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Her clients trust her expertise.
 
Surface Detail said:
The original GRACE mission reached the end of its lifetime in October 2017, so it hasn't shown anything over the last several months! You'd know this if you bothered doing any research at all, rather than simply making snide comments.

Its successor, GRACE-FO, has been launched, but has not yet commenced its scientific mission.
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Cool.

You actually know that!

The original GRACE did not meet its her of life. She passed away early. You apparently did not know that.
 
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[h=1]The clever ruse of rising sea levels[/h][FONT=&quot]Alarmists try to frighten people, and stampede them into terrible energy decisions Jay Lehr and Tom Harris For the past 50 years, scientists have been studying climate change and the possibility of related sea level changes resulting from melting ice and warming oceans. Despite the common belief that increasing levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) in…
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17 hours ago December 6, 2018 in Sea level.
 
Sea level
Inside The Acceleration Factory

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Nerem and Fasullo have a new paper called OBSERVATIONS OF THE RATE AND ACCELERATION OF GLOBAL MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGE, available here. In it, we find the following statement: Both tide gauge sea level reconstructions and satellite altimetry show that the current rate of global mean sea level change is…

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trend-differences-psmsl-church-white.png
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[FONT=&quot]Figure 6. Comparison between the values and the errors of the difference between the 21-year trend before the 1993 start of the satellite record, and the succeeding 21-year trend from 1993 to the end of the Church and White records. The C&W trends are shown in Figure 3 above.[/FONT]​
[FONT=&quot]Since the error bars (orange and red) do not overlap, we can say that the C&W estimate does NOT agree with the tide gauge data. And that, of course, means that it has been artificially increased by cross-pollution with satellite data.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Let me close by saying that I think that it is very bad scientific practice to splice together a terrestrial and a satellite record unless they agree well during the period of overlap. In this case, they disagree greatly over the period of record. For the detrended values over the period of overlap (1993-2013), the R^2 value is 0.01 and the P-value is 0.37 … in other words, there is absolutely no significant correlation between the satellite data and the C&W estimate.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]And this makes it very likely that Church and White are [FONT=&quot]manufacturing sea level acceleration where none exists[/FONT] … bad scientists, no cookies.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Finally, at the end of my research into this, I find that I’m not the only one to notice the discrepancy …[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
CSIRO-vs-NOAA.png
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Figure 7. Different results for the satellite era depending on whether or not the satellite data is illegitimately spliced into the tide gauge records. SOURCE[/FONT]

 
Jack Hays said:
...
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Nerem and Fasullo have a new paper called OBSERVATIONS OF THE RATE AND
ACCELERATION OF GLOBAL MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGE, available here. In it, we find the following statement:
Both tide gauge sea level reconstructions and satellite altimetry show that the current rate of global mean sea
level change is…

trend-differences-psmsl-church-white.png

Figure 6. Comparison between the values and the errors of the difference between the 21-year trend before the
1993 start of the satellite record, and the succeeding 21-year trend from 1993 to the end of the Church and
White records. The C&W trends are shown in Figure 3 above.

Since the error bars (orange and red) do not overlap, we can say that the C&W estimate does NOT agree with
the tide gauge data. And that, of course, means that it has been artificially increased by cross-pollution with
satellite data.

Let me close by saying that I think that it is very bad scientific practice to splice together a terrestrial and a
satellite record unless they agree well during the period of overlap. In this case, they disagree greatly over
the period of record. For the detrended values over the period of overlap (1993-2013), the R^2 value is 0.01
and the P-value is 0.37 … in other words, there is absolutely no significant correlation between the satellite
data and the C&W estimate.

And this makes it very likely that Church and White are manufacturing sea level acceleration where none exists …
bad scientists, no cookies.

Finally, at the end of my research into this, I find that I’m not the only one to notice the discrepancy...
Click to expand...


This graph

ab78d5.jpg


is a few years old but it illustrates the point. There doesn't seem to be
any relationship between the Church & White data and the PSMSL data.

What Church & White did was devise a set of criteria to omit tide gauges
from their study. For exmple, the Churchill Manitoba tide gauge
Data and Station Information for CHURCHILL
on Hudson Bay was eliminated because it's about 2 miles inside the
estuary of the Churchill river. Churchill has negative sea level rise

447.png


and is about a 1,000 miles from any other tide gauge.
 
Steve Case said:
This graph

ab78d5.jpg


is a few years old but it illustrates the point. There doesn't seem to be
any relationship between the Church & White data and the PSMSL data.

What Church & White did was devise a set of criteria to omit tide gauges
from their study. For exmple, the Churchill Manitoba tide gauge
Data and Station Information for CHURCHILL
on Hudson Bay was eliminated because it's about 2 miles inside the
estuary of the Churchill river. Churchill has negative sea level rise

447.png


and is about a 1,000 miles from any other tide gauge.
Click to expand...

Designing criteria to eliminate unwanted data is a fine art in the climate sciences.
 
Jack Hays said:
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[/FONT]Season’s Greetings, Tuvalu and Thank You Mr Kelly

December 23, 2018 By jennifer 4 Comments
HALFWAY between Hawaii and Australia lies the tiny nation of Tuvalu, which according to popular mythology is slowly disappearing into the Pacific Ocean because of rising sea levels. Except a recent article at the ABC news website correctly explained … [Read more...]
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Greetings, Jack. :2wave:

Reading the link you provided was excellent, because I got to read again about how Turnbull caused his own job loss, and the best part was it didn't take him long at all to get it done! :lamo I have not yet attempted to understand politicians, per se, from any culture; the reason being that I might succeed, and who would recommend that? Since it has been sufficient for my friends in Australia to see that their electric bills have dropped considerably, life is getting back to normal for them, and that's good enough for me! :yes: Happy Holidays!
 
[FONT=&quot]Sea level[/FONT]
[h=1]Curry’s sea-level rise study disputes climate-disaster predictions – In many cases, ‘half of the sea-level rise is really from land sinking’[/h][FONT=&quot]By Valerie Richardson – The Washington Times For years, climate prognosticators have warned that human-caused global warming is fueling catastrophic sea-level rise, but now climatologist Judith Curry is rocking their boat. In her latest paper, Ms. Curry found that the current rising sea levels are not abnormal, nor can they be pinned on human-caused climate…
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Jack Hays said:
[FONT="][URL="https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/28/currys-sea-level-rise-study-disputes-climate-disaster-predictions-in-many-cases-half-of-the-sea-level-rise-is-really-from-land-sinking/"]
regional-sea-level-trends-albain-220x126.png
[/URL]Sea level[/FONT]
[h=1]Curry’s sea-level rise study disputes climate-disaster predictions – In many cases, ‘half of the sea-level rise is really from land sinking’[/h][FONT="]By Valerie Richardson – The Washington Times For years, climate prognosticators have warned that human-caused global warming is fueling catastrophic sea-level rise, but now climatologist Judith Curry is rocking their boat. In her latest paper, Ms. Curry found that the current rising sea levels are not abnormal, nor can they be pinned on human-caused climate…
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And as the land sinks, it will displace the water to rise more.
 
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[h=1]Antarctica and “alarming” Sea Level Rise[/h][FONT=&quot]By Rud Istvan, WUWT reader KS of North Dakota emailed a request to ctm based on reading ‘alarming’ Wired journalism concerning $50 million being spent to further study the ‘dangerous’ Thwaites glacier in Antarctica. KS asked if WUWT could perhaps produce a factual overview. ctm asked me to provide it, since I had written an…
Continue reading →
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Jack Hays said:
[FONT="][URL="https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/08/antarctica-and-alarming-sea-level-rise/"]
clip_image006-308x260.png
[/URL][/FONT]
[h=1]Antarctica and “alarming” Sea Level Rise[/h][FONT="][FONT=inherit]By Rud Istvan, WUWT reader KS of North Dakota emailed a request to ctm based on reading ‘alarming’ Wired journalism concerning $50 million being spent to further study the ‘dangerous’ Thwaites glacier in Antarctica. KS asked if WUWT could perhaps produce a factual overview. ctm asked me to provide it, since I had written an…[/FONT]
[FONT=inherit][URL="https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/08/antarctica-and-alarming-sea-level-rise/"]Continue reading →[/URL][/FONT]
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My slighly off topic comment over there today:

My daily search for sea level news turns up this one from just a few hours ago:

California Coastal Commission to Recommend Eminent Domain to Combat Sea-Level Rise?

The California Coastal Commission is proposing to buy or condemn threatened homes
and relocate them or tear them down, which would thereafter free the coastline and
preserve the beaches. And when the sea doesn’t rise the Green big wigs can have a
nice dacha for themselves isn’t that ever so nice

The news article claims as much as 6.5 feet of sea level rise over the next 80 years.
They never run the numbers. That comes to 25 mm/year every year starting right now.​
 
New Science: 89% Of The Globe’s Islands – And 100% Of Large Islands – Have Stable Or Growing Coasts

By Kenneth Richard on 17. January 2019

Rapid sea level rise was supposed

to shrink Earth’s coasts. It hasn’t.

Sea-Level-Is-Not-Rising-On-Ouvea-Island-Morner-2018.jpg

Image Source: Mörner, 2018

“Over the past decades, atoll islands exhibited no widespread sign of physical destabilization in the face of sea-level rise. 88.6% of islands were either stable or increased in area, while only 11.4% contracted. It is noteworthy that no island larger than 10 ha decreased in size. These results show that atoll and island areal stability is a global trend, whatever the rate of sea-level rise.”- Duvat, 2019 . . . .
 
[h=2]Pacific Ocean Tide Gauges Of 100+ Years: ‘Both The Relative Rate Of Rise And Acceleration Are Negative’[/h]By Kenneth Richard on 28. January 2019


“As the sea levels have been oscillating, but not accelerating, in the long-term-trend tide gauges of Japan since the start of the 20th century, the same as all the other long-term-trend tide gauges of the world, it is increasingly unacceptable to base coastal management on alarmist predictions that are not supported by measurements.” – Parker, 2019
Negative-sea-level-rise-and-acceleration-Pacific-longterm-tide-guages-Parker-2019.jpg

[h=6]Image Source: Parker, 2019[/h]
 
[h=2]Oyster Evidence Affirm Sea Levels Were Up To 3.8 Meters Higher Than Today 6000 Years Ago[/h]By Kenneth Richard on 7. February 2019


A new paper provides further confirmation that modern day sea levels are still multiple meters lower than they were just a few thousand years ago, when the Earth was 4-6°C warmer than it is today.
Oyster remains have been found encrusted in rock 2.5 to 3.8 meters above today’s mean sea level.
This fossilized evidence dates to ~6000 years ago, when CO2 levels hovered around 270 ppm.
Holocene-Cooling-Sea-Level-Thailand-Oliver-Terry-2019-b.jpg

[h=6]Image(s) Source: Oliver and Terry, 2019[/h]The evidence provided by Oliver and Terry (2019) will be added the to growing list of more than 80 scientific papers indicating sea levels from locations throughout the world were meters higher than they are today just a few thousand years ago. . . .
 
This is interesting:

Maritime News of Russia

Scientists Have Reduced the Forecast of Sea Level
Rise Seven Times Due to Melting of the Antarctic

In a new study, the authors calculated that instead
of growing by a meter or more by 2100, a growth
of 14-15 cm is likely ...​

I expect that NBC CBS ABC CNN NPR etc. won't be running this story any time soon.
 
Steve Case said:
This is interesting:

Maritime News of Russia

Scientists Have Reduced the Forecast of Sea Level
Rise Seven Times Due to Melting of the Antarctic

In a new study, the authors calculated that instead
of growing by a meter or more by 2100, a growth
of 14-15 cm is likely ...​

I expect that NBC CBS ABC CNN NPR etc. won't be running this story any time soon.
Click to expand...

Yep, nobody can call it a catastrophy. 6 inches never impressed anybody.
 
Steve Case said:
This is interesting:

Maritime News of Russia

Scientists Have Reduced the Forecast of Sea Level
Rise Seven Times Due to Melting of the Antarctic

In a new study, the authors calculated that instead
of growing by a meter or more by 2100, a growth
of 14-15 cm is likely ...​

I expect that NBC CBS ABC CNN NPR etc. won't be running this story any time soon.
Click to expand...

That's a huge change, and likely to be revised again when the impact of this minor solar dimming we have starts influencing the ocean heat content.
 
Lord of Planar said:
That's a huge change, and likely to be revised again when the impact of this minor solar dimming we have starts influencing the ocean heat content.
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"...when the impact of this minor solar dimming we have starts influencing the ocean heat content."

The effect of thermal expansion is local. Local might be the tropical ocean,
but it's not going to affect the 50°F water off the Oregon coast.
 
Lord of Planar said:
That's a huge change, and likely to be revised again when the impact of this minor solar dimming we have starts influencing the ocean heat content.
Click to expand...

LOL.

I guess you deniers now love models when they say what you want.
 
jack hays said:
[h=2]sea level rise whiplash[/h][font="][font=inherit]posted on[/font] [url="https://judithcurry.com/2019/02/08/sea-level-rise-whiplash/"]february 8, 2019[/url] by curryja | 23 comments[/font]
by judith curry
some recent sea level rise publications, with implications for how we think about the worst case scenario for the 21st century.
continue reading →
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under very high greenhouse gas concentrations, the most likely value is 45 centimetres
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lol!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Glen Contrarian said:
What a wonderful example of right-wing wingnuttery - if a group of scientists have to adjust their data, the right-wingers assume that those scientists were actually faking it the entire time!

Yep! Every nation on the planet is fooled, too - 'cept for 'Murica, where only the American conservatives know the REAL truth, huh? 'Cause all the other nations, and the vast, overwhelming majority of the scientific community (and nearly the entire climatology community) agree on global warming...so that means that they all must be in on it! It's a VAST left-wing conspiracy including almost all the scientists and including every other nation on the planet...and only the 'Murican right wing stands between them and rampant socialism forcing Big Oil and Big Coal to kneel before socialism!!!!!

Good grief. This, people, is why conspiracy theories are seen as the province of the uneducated and the willfully ignorant.
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It is not possible to measure a global sea level. There is no valid reference point.
 
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