Define "Catastrophic Disaster" please. How many people would need to die.
Your definition
On Jan 12, 2010, 314,000 were killed in the Haiti earthquake.
19,000 were killed in the Japan earthquake/tsunami.
Many other similar disasters.
https://weather.com/news/news/deadliest-natural-disasters-20131112#/2
While I am in no way saying these are related to Global Warming, perhaps
you can tell me if these qualify as "Catastrophic Disasters".
will do.
No one can say whether or not AGW was a factor in these disasters.
Really? You can't rule out AGW from earthquakes?
I really shouldn't bother with an attempt to respond.
However, most climate scientists believe that AGW will increase the probability of natural disasters.
Which side of your mouth are you talking out of? the one that says,
"While I am in no way saying these are related to Global Warming"
or the other side that says, "However, most climate scientists believe
that AGW will increase the probability of natural disasters."
A 2-3 deg C rise in temperature will undoubtedly cause issues.
We are already at a 1 deg C rise, since 1950.
Yes, the average temperature is up around a degree since the 1800s.
Most of that is due to an increase in the minimums. And that's what
the IPCC said would happen:
Temperature Extremes
It is very likely that heat waves will be more intense, more frequent and longer lasting in a future warmer climate. Cold episodes are projected to decrease significantly in a future warmer climate. Almost everywhere, daily minimum temperatures are projected to increase faster than daily maximum temperatures, leading to a decrease in diurnal temperature range. Decreases in frost days are projected to occur almost everywhere in the middle and high latitudes, with a comparable increase in growing season length.
Mean Precipitation
For a future warmer climate, the current generation of models indicates that precipitation generally increases in the areas of regional tropical precipitation maxima (such as the monsoon regimes) and over the tropical Pacific in particular, with general decreases in the subtropics, and increases at high latitudes as a consequence of a general intensification of the global hydrological cycle. Globally averaged mean water vapour, evaporation and precipitation are projected to increase.
Climate Change 2007: Working Group I: The Physical Science Basis
The warming will occur at night, in the winter and higher latitudes.
Day time, summer time and the tropics - not so much.
When you see staggering death tolls from natural disasters in the hundreds of thousands,
it demonstrates what we will be facing, if probabilities increase.
That's right, you guys are claiming "Climate Change"/"Global Warming" will be a catastrophic disaster.
I don't see that in the IPCC link above.
Warmer nights, warmer winters, warmer Arctic, more precipitation, fewer violent storms,
increased biological production, longer growing seasons, more arable land - You know what?
That's a pretty long list of positive effects of a warmer world. What's going to cause these
"staggering death tolls ... in the hundreds of thousands" that you are talking about?
The biggest scare you guys have is sea level. And you guys claim if we stop burning fossil
fuels sea level will stop going up. You guys are nuts.
It stands to reason, that the higher temperatures rise, the more sea level will rise. I hope we can agree on that. Why then, do you consider it unreasonable to say that the more man-made CO2 we put in the atmosphere, the more the temperatures will rise? And the more fossil fuels we burn, the more CO2 will be trapped in the atmosphere. It's direct cause and effect:
