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2016 likely to be the warmest year ever recorded.

Threegoofs

Threegoofs

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These posts are getting quite common, because global temps continue to rise.

This data is not official- the 2016 final data is scheduled to be released on Jan 18, two days before the next Denier-in-Chief is inaugurated.

2016 expected to be hottest year on earth

https://critical-angle.net/2016/12/20/temperature-anomalies-2016-and-2017/

f499e57747ff2c9475a31cb1d52fec4c.jpg


Looks like the projection is that even with ENSO tapering off, 2017 will continue to be quite warm- although I'd guess the deniers in one year will be resurrecting their 'it's a pause!' posts and 'the earth is entering a cooling phase/cosmic rays/blargharglebargle!'

803a51f88938cd8047d84557cbe4851b.png
 
Threegoofs said:
These posts are getting quite common, because global temps continue to rise.

This data is not official- the 2016 final data is scheduled to be released on Jan 18, two days before the next Denier-in-Chief is inaugurated.

2016 expected to be hottest year on earth

https://critical-angle.net/2016/12/20/temperature-anomalies-2016-and-2017/

f499e57747ff2c9475a31cb1d52fec4c.jpg


Looks like the projection is that even with ENSO tapering off, 2017 will continue to be quite warm- although I'd guess the deniers in one year will be resurrecting their 'it's a pause!' posts and 'the earth is entering a cooling phase/cosmic rays/blargharglebargle!'

803a51f88938cd8047d84557cbe4851b.png
Click to expand...

Why are you upset? The technologies are coming on-line that will make it possible to stop climate gas exhaust, because they will be cheaper. As that happens we will introduce them without having to reduce our standards of living and without killing millions in the third world.
 
Yes yes, we know. Every year is "the warmest on record". In fact, every day is, "the warmest on record". We got it already. We also got, that "records" only go back a couple hundred years, which is meaningless on a geological scale. But we get it, no need to create a new thread about how every nanosecond is "THE WARMEST ON RECORD!!!!!!!!!" :roll:
 
Threegoofs said:
These posts are getting quite common, because global temps continue to rise.

This data is not official- the 2016 final data is scheduled to be released on Jan 18, two days before the next Denier-in-Chief is inaugurated.

2016 expected to be hottest year on earth

https://critical-angle.net/2016/12/20/temperature-anomalies-2016-and-2017/

f499e57747ff2c9475a31cb1d52fec4c.jpg


Looks like the projection is that even with ENSO tapering off, 2017 will continue to be quite warm- although I'd guess the deniers in one year will be resurrecting their 'it's a pause!' posts and 'the earth is entering a cooling phase/cosmic rays/blargharglebargle!'

803a51f88938cd8047d84557cbe4851b.png
Click to expand...

No one denies that climate change is natural except maybe liberal environmentalists who fear the end of the world
 
countryboy said:
Yes yes, we know. Every year is "the warmest on record". In fact, every day is, "the warmest on record". We got it already. We also got, that "records" only go back a couple hundred years, which is meaningless on a geological scale. But we get it, no need to create a new thread about how every nanosecond is "THE WARMEST ON RECORD!!!!!!!!!" :roll:
Click to expand...

Pop quiz!

1. Given numbers a, b, c, and d: if a<b, b<c, and c<d, then put a, b, c, and d in increasing order.
2. If we introduce a fifth number e such that d<e, where would that go in the ordered chain above?
 
Mac77 said:
No one denies that climate change is natural except maybe liberal environmentalists who fear the end of the world
Click to expand...

If conservatives would show half as much concern over climate change as they did over illegal immigration, we'd have this issue solved within a decade.
 
Phys251 said:
Pop quiz!

1. Given numbers a, b, c, and d: if a<b, b<c, and c<d, then put a, b, c, and d in increasing order.
2. If we introduce a fifth number e such that d<e, where would that go in the ordered chain above?
Click to expand...

These questions are too hard!

Screw your pop quiz and everything it stands for! ;)
 
Phys251 said:
Pop quiz!

1. Given numbers a, b, c, and d: if a<b, b<c, and c<d, then put a, b, c, and d in increasing order.
2. If we introduce a fifth number e such that d<e, where would that go in the ordered chain above?
Click to expand...

get some rest.
 
countryboy said:
Yes yes, we know. Every year is "the warmest on record". In fact, every day is, "the warmest on record". We got it already. We also got, that "records" only go back a couple hundred years, which is meaningless on a geological scale. But we get it, no need to create a new thread about how every nanosecond is "THE WARMEST ON RECORD!!!!!!!!!" :roll:
Click to expand...

I'm pretty sure you...don't get it.


But I understand your frustration that the science has turned out accurate projections in opposition to your political leanings.

It must suck being reminded how wrong you have been on a monthly basis, with no sign of letting up for decades.
 
Phys251 said:
If conservatives would show half as much concern over climate change as they did over illegal immigration, we'd have this issue solved within a decade.
Click to expand...

The man-made-global-warming-doomsday issue is a hoax wheras the problem with illegal aliens is real.
 
[h=1]NOAA: U.S. Tornadoes lowest since 1954 – during the “hottest year ever”[/h]Latest data from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center indicate that as of today, the total count for 2016 of US tornadoes are fewest in a calendar year since record-keeping began in 1954. That’s a hard fact, that flies in the face of claims of extreme weather being enhanced by warmer temperatures, as many have tried to…


 
Jack Hays said:
[h=1]NOAA: U.S. Tornadoes lowest since 1954 – during the “hottest year ever”[/h]Latest data from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center indicate that as of today, the total count for 2016 of US tornadoes are fewest in a calendar year since record-keeping began in 1954. That’s a hard fact, that flies in the face of claims of extreme weather being enhanced by warmer temperatures, as many have tried to…
Click to expand...

Translation:

"SQUIRREL!"

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=SSUXXzN26zg
 

[h=1]Big Chill: ‘Substantial Cooling’ Predicted Within The Next Few Years[/h]La Niña expected to contribute From the Daily Star, 14 August 2016 Climate boffins believe the UK’s topsy-turvy climate is in for a chilly twist within the next few years as three major forms of climate change trigger “substantial cooling”. Drastic changes in ocean conditions, greenhouse gases and a weakening of the sun threaten increasingly…

August 15, 2016 in Climate News.
[h=1]Solar physicist sees global cooling ahead[/h]Via the GWPF: Recent research by Professor Valentina Zharkova (Northumbria University) and colleagues has shed new light on the inner workings of the Sun. If correct, this new discovery means that future solar cycles and variations in the Sun’s activity can be predicted more accurately. The research suggests that the next three solar cycles will…

August 9, 2016 in Global cooling, Solar.
 
Jack Hays said:

[h=1]Big Chill: ‘Substantial Cooling’ Predicted Within The Next Few Years[/h]La Niña expected to contribute From the Daily Star, 14 August 2016 Climate boffins believe the UK’s topsy-turvy climate is in for a chilly twist within the next few years as three major forms of climate change trigger “substantial cooling”. Drastic changes in ocean conditions, greenhouse gases and a weakening of the sun threaten increasingly…

August 15, 2016 in Climate News.
[h=1]Solar physicist sees global cooling ahead[/h]Via the GWPF: Recent research by Professor Valentina Zharkova (Northumbria University) and colleagues has shed new light on the inner workings of the Sun. If correct, this new discovery means that future solar cycles and variations in the Sun’s activity can be predicted more accurately. The research suggests that the next three solar cycles will…

August 9, 2016 in Global cooling, Solar.
Click to expand...

 
Jack Hays said:

[h=1]Big Chill: ‘Substantial Cooling’ Predicted Within The Next Few Years[/h]La Niña expected to contribute From the Daily Star, 14 August 2016 Climate boffins believe the UK’s topsy-turvy climate is in for a chilly twist within the next few years as three major forms of climate change trigger “substantial cooling”. Drastic changes in ocean conditions, greenhouse gases and a weakening of the sun threaten increasingly…

August 15, 2016 in Climate News.
[h=1]Solar physicist sees global cooling ahead[/h]Via the GWPF: Recent research by Professor Valentina Zharkova (Northumbria University) and colleagues has shed new light on the inner workings of the Sun. If correct, this new discovery means that future solar cycles and variations in the Sun’s activity can be predicted more accurately. The research suggests that the next three solar cycles will…

August 9, 2016 in Global cooling, Solar.
Click to expand...

Your denier blogs have been telling us that cooling is just around the corner for a couple decades now.

It's a wonder anyone pays attention to them anymore, unless they are ideological nutcases.

91f1bafc55a4364eeca655dc906bdebf.png
 
Prospects for a Prolonged Slowdown in Global Warming in the Early 21st Century

Posted on November 30, 2016 | 274 comments
by Nic Lewis [W]e estimate that the warming slowdown (< 0.1 K/decade trend beginning in 1998) could persist, due to internal variability cooling, through 2020, 2025 or 2030 with probabilities 16%, 11%, and 6%, respectively. – Knutson et al.

274 Comments
Posted in Attribution, climate models

[W]e estimate that the warming slowdown (< 0.1 K/decade trend beginning in 1998) could persist, due to internal variability cooling, through 2020, 2025 or 2030 with probabilities 16%, 11%, and 6%, respectively. – Knutson et al.

A new paper by Tom Knutson, Rong Zhang and Larry Horowitz of NOAA GFDL has just been published in Nature Communications [link to full manuscript]. The authors take a well-balanced approach to seeking possible explanations for global mean surface temperature (GMST) increasing at a much lower rate from around the turn of the century than over the late 20th century, and consider the possibility that it may continue for some time.
The abstract reads:
Observed global mean temperature over 1998 to 2015 increased at a slower rate (0.1 K decade-1) compared to the ensemble mean (forced) projected by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) models (0.2 K decade-1). Here we investigate the prospects for this slower rate to persist for a decade or more. The slower rate could persist if the transient climate response is overestimated by CMIP5 models by a factor of two, as suggested by recent low-end estimates. Alternatively, using CMIP5 models’ warming rate, the slower rate could still persist due to strong multidecadal internal variability cooling. Combining the CMIP5 ensemble warming rate with internal variability episodes from a single climate model – having the strongest multidecadal variability among CMIP5 models – we estimate that the warming slowdown (< 0.1 K decade-1 trend beginning in 1998) could persist, due to internal variability cooling, through 2020, 2025 or 2030 with probabilities 16%, 11%, and 6%, respectively.


 
Fletch said:
:applaud :applaud :applaud :applaud :applaud

With any luck, a year from now you will be saying the same thing about 2017. I know I will do everything I can to help make that a reality.
Click to expand...

No answers- so you gotta deny to avoid that unpleasant cognitive dissonance.
 
Phys251 said:
Ha, that looks like some of the answers I occasionally get from my students!
Click to expand...

You sure they're telling you to give it a rest?
Either way, as the saying goes ... "If one person tells you you're drunk, and you feel fine, ignore him. If ten people tell you you're drunk, go and have a lie down"
 
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