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Paul Krugman: Oh, What a Stupid Trade War
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As usual, Krugman is spot-on with his reasoning. Trade-wars are bad for everybody, including the country that starts them.
Does Donald Dork give a damn? Nahhhhh ...
Excerpt:
We do want to know whether the Trump trade war ... would add or subtract jobs holding monetary policy constant, even though we know monetary policy won’t be constant.
And the answer, almost surely, is that this trade war will actually be a job-killer, not a job-creator, for two reasons.
First, Trump is putting tariffs on intermediate goods…, some of which themselves have to compete on world markets. Most obviously, cars and other durable manufactured goods will become more expensive to produce, which means that we’ll sell less of them; and whatever gains there are in primary metals employment will be offset by job losses in downstream industries.
Playing with the numbers, it seems highly likely that even this direct effect is a net negative for employment.
Second, other countries will retaliate against U.S. exports, costing jobs in everything from motorcycles to sausages. …
Finally – and I think this is really important – we’re dealing with real countries here, mainly democracies. Real countries have real politics; they have pride; and their electorates really, really don’t like Trump.
As usual, Krugman is spot-on with his reasoning. Trade-wars are bad for everybody, including the country that starts them.
Does Donald Dork give a damn? Nahhhhh ...
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