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Fauci: COVID-19 cases could swell to 100,000 a day if U.S. doesn't control virus

Chomsky

Chomsky

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"We're going in the wrong direction," Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Capitol Hill on Tuesday, expressing concern the U.S. will experience large increases in coronavirus cases.
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Dr. Anthony Fauci, one of the nation's leading health officials, suggested Tuesday the number of COVID-19 cases diagnosed each day could rise dramatically unless the nation can control the spread of the coronavirus.

"I'm very concerned about what's going on right now, particularly in the four states that are accounting for about 50 percent of the new infections," Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions.
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Those states — Arizona, California, Florida and Texas — are experiencing surges in COVID-19 cases. And at least 12 states are reporting increases in COVID-19 hospitalizations.
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"We are now having [40,000+] new cases a day. I would not be surprised if we go up to 100,000 a day if this does not turn around," Fauci said. "Clearly we are not in total control." He declined to make a prediction on the number of COVID-19-related deaths the U.S. could experience. More than 126,000 Americans have died from COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.

"I'm very concerned, because it could get very bad," he said.
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Source: (NBC News) Fauci: COVID-19 cases could swell to 100,000 a day if U.S. doesn't control virus

As we watch the U.S. cross over 40K infections per day, I can't even fathom 100K per day. That essentially sounds like a runaway epidemic.

When I saw the updated E.U.-U.S. infected graph, I was so startled by the slope & amplitude, particularly the slope, that I felt compelled to post. So here's my post above, and here's the graph below. It's not pretty. In fact, the slope is scary as hell.


EUbangraphic_CNN.jpg


Source: (Mercury News) One graphic explains why Americans are facing an EU travel ban
 
Good.

We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.

Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
 
Chomsky said:
Source: (NBC News) Fauci: COVID-19 cases could swell to 100,000 a day if U.S. doesn't control virus

As we watch the U.S. cross over 40K infections per day, I can't even fathom 100K per day. That essentially sounds like a runaway epidemic.

When I saw the updated E.U.-U.S. infected graph, I was so startled by the slope & amplitude, particularly the slope, that I felt compelled to post. So here's my post above, and here's the graph below. It's not pretty. In fact, the slope is scary as hell.


EUbangraphic_CNN.jpg


Source: (Mercury News) One graphic explains why Americans are facing an EU travel ban
Click to expand...

Oh we'll get there, we'll reach that 100,000 a day, especially if the idiot Republican governors continue to pander to Trump. And Trumpers will pout and shout, cry and wail that wearing a mask is unconstitutional and a violation of their freedom of whateverthefuk they can think of.

angrykid.gif


"No, you can't make me put a mask on"
 
Erod said:
Good.

We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.

Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
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Please quit talking about these things which you are not equipped for, at least until you can achieve talking about what is needed by CDC / AMA guidelines to achieve "head immunity in a month."
 
Forget keeping up with new case numbers, they are meaningless. Most people don’t even know they are sick or have had the virus.
This is like propaganda.

I want ICU Patient numbers That are there due to C19 by state.

I have not seen that number reported. I also saw a doctor in Dallas say the occupancy rate is about normal, 80-95%. Same as last year.
 
Erod said:
Good.

We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.

Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
Click to expand...
How? Do we move grandma out? Or, move ourselves out?
 
Erod said:
Good.

We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.

Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
Click to expand...

Aberro said:
Forget keeping up with new case numbers, they are meaningless. Most people don’t even know they are sick or have had the virus.
This is like propaganda.

I want ICU Patient numbers That are there due to C19 by state.

I have not seen that number reported. I also saw a doctor in Dallas say the occupancy rate is about normal, 80-95%. Same as last year.
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I'm starting to think references to Trumpism as "a death cult" are not particularly hyperbolic.

Is it that you won't believe it until it happens to one of your own, or do you simply not care if it does? Either way, what a sick sick view.

Worse, the only reason you're expressing it is because people you think are on the left (all non-Trumpists) criticized Trump for his deadly lying and denying during the opening months of the pandemic. That's it. That partisan hatred. That tribalism. It's the only reason you're going "meh" about this.



There have only been about 2.6 million cases in the US over months. 100,000 a day will get people killed at a massively greater rate, since hospitals, urgent care centers, everything, will be utterly swamped.

I never thought I'd see alleged Americans so completely indifferent to their fellows.
 
HumblePi said:
Oh we'll get there, we'll reach that 100,000 a day, especially if the idiot Republican governors continue to pander to Trump. And Trumpers will pout and shout, cry and wail that wearing a mask is unconstitutional and a violation of their freedom of whateverthefuk they can think of.

angrykid.gif


"No, you can't make me put a mask on"
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I can't believe I'm saying it, but it could be possible. Hopefully not. But I don't see that slope fattening for at least several weeks, if those states are even doing enough to properly mitigate it.

We could be hitting a tipping point, which is why I believe the N.E. are putting in the travel & quarantine orders. The NY-NJ-CT travel quarantine was extended to 16 states this morning!
 
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OrphanSlug said:
Please quit talking about these things which you are not equipped for, at least until you can achieve talking about what is needed by CDC / AMA guidelines to achieve "head immunity in a month."
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A better bet for what will occur in a month, is over-running the local healthcare systems causing the mortality rate to skyrocket. That is indeed possible in some areas, and maybe even in that month time-frame.
 
Erod said:
Good.
We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.
Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
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Sweet! A million dead Americans in a month.
no bfd.
/s\


tf, dude?
think before you think


330,000,000 Americans
2/3 to reach "herd immunity"
0.5% mortality rate
=
One million dead Americans​
 
Fauci is correct. This thing spreads like a virus. I don't believe that we have the means to make it do otherwise. We're still on the first wave.
 
Mr Person said:
I'm starting to think references to Trumpism as "a death cult" are not particularly hyperbolic.

Is it that you won't believe it until it happens to one of your own, or do you simply not care if it does? Either way, what a sick sick view.

Worse, the only reason you're expressing it is because people you think are on the left (all non-Trumpists) criticized Trump for his deadly lying and denying during the opening months of the pandemic. That's it. That partisan hatred. That tribalism. It's the only reason you're going "meh" about this.



There have only been about 2.6 million cases in the US over months. 100,000 a day will get people killed at a massively greater rate, since hospitals, urgent care centers, everything, will be utterly swamped.

I never thought I'd see alleged Americans so completely indifferent to their fellows.
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Exactly, the most significant carnage occurs when we over-run the healthcare systems. I have little doubt 100k infections per day will over-run some of the local healthcare systems. Those Red State cities are going to be hurtin', because they only started mitigating just now and will have to deal with a minimum of several more weeks of rapid growth.

But are those States mitigating as well as we all did before? No. So quite quite honestly, all bets might be off. It could be worse than we know.
 
HumblePi said:
Oh we'll get there, we'll reach that 100,000 a day, especially if the idiot Republican governors continue to pander to Trump. And Trumpers will pout and shout, cry and wail that wearing a mask is unconstitutional and a violation of their freedom of whateverthefuk they can think of.

angrykid.gif


"No, you can't make me put a mask on"
Click to expand...

The good news is that the more dead bodies we have, that is one more hospital bed for a sick patient.
 
Simon W. Moon said:
Sweet! A million dead Americans in a month.
no bfd.
/s\


tf, dude?
think before you think


330,000,000 Americans
2/3 to reach "herd immunity"
0.5% mortality rate
=
One million dead Americans​
Click to expand...
There will be no 0.5% mortality rate if infecting at the rate to go herd in a month. There won't even be a healthcare system. They'll healthcare workers will be sick, dead, or hiding with their families at home. The mortality rate would be an easy 10, 20, 30X the bolded.
 
d0gbreath said:
Fauci is correct. This thing spreads like a virus. I don't believe that we have the means to make it do otherwise. We're still on the first wave.
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We absolutely have the means. We don't have the political will. Americans, quite frankly, have let themselves grow stupid & soft.
 
Chomsky said:
We absolutely have the means. We don't have the political will. Americans, quite frankly, have let themselves grow stupid & soft.
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People are going to people. The means is way out of reach.
 
Jetboogieman said:
What’s going on America?

This is pitiful.
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What's going-on, is we're dead meat until November. January 20th, actually. Today Biden said he would implement a national response, including a national public mask requirement, and he will put Dr. Fauci in charge of the response allowing him full public freedom & exposure.

After all we've been through, if that don't get my vote I don't know what will?
 
I knew Trump was going to **** things up.

But I didn't think he could **** things up this bad.
 
Erod said:
Good.

We'll have herd immunity in a month. Keep the compromised folks quarantined in the meantime.

Or.....we can do what we're doing for the next two years.
Click to expand...

"Herd immunity in a month" ? You know nothing about herd immunity. Early herd immunity to Covid-19 is a very dangerous misconception. Nearly two months ago Rush Limbaugh proclaimed; "herd immunity has occurred in California." Did you believe Rush Limbaugh? Did you run excitedly to your computer to type a celebratory note on your Facebook page that California had reached herd immunity because Rush Limbaugh just said so?

According to a study by Johns Hopkins University of Medicine, "As infectious disease epidemiologists, we wish to state clearly that herd immunity against COVID-19 will not be achieved at a population level in 2020, barring a public health catastrophe."

If you wish to educate yourself more about herd immunity, here is the study done by Johns Hopkins
Early Herd Immunity against COVID-19: A Dangerous Misconception - Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center

We're going in the wrong direction and you and everyone else that's fighting tooth and nail the evidence and advice of world scientists and immunologists, then you really need to ask yourself 'why' you're doing that.
 
d0gbreath said:
People are going to people. The means is way out of reach.
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Ah, gotcha'.

I'm not quite so sure. We've never had a proper factual national response. Rather, we've had Trump lying & inciting insurrection. We came together to fight WW-II, and I think we could (mostly) do it again - given good leadership.

Given enough sickness & death in their back yard, I think even some hoaxers might come around. This might be the advantage of the virus' explosion in mostly Red States. If it don't convince the hardcore hoaxers, it may convince enough moderates to change their government come November.
 
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