Page 21 of 48 FirstFirst ... 11192021222331 ... LastLast
Results 201 to 210 of 475

Thread: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

  1. #201
    Sage
    Phys251's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    05-21-20 @ 06:46 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Liberal
    Posts
    27,644

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Mashmont View Post
    Yes it is, but you can't tell that by your graph. Let's say I compressed the dates into 2 inches. The graph would appear very steep. But if I spread it out, you could see the flattening.
    Factually incorrect. Stretching or shrinking the horizontal axis does not flip the sign of the concavity of the graph. This is basic calculus.

    It's why mathematicians say you have to look at data, not drawings.
    You're looking for concavity, not slope. Do you even know what concavity of a graph is?
    Quote Originally Posted by trixare4kids View Post
    I fought my entire life for women
    Quote Originally Posted by apdst View Post
    Rights have no restrictions. Free speech isn't restricted in any way.
    Quote Originally Posted by Paradoxical View Post
    By August, this phony virus will be forgotten
    Quote Originally Posted by TurtleDude View Post
    I don't support democracy. Never had. Never will.

  2. #202
    Sage Paradoxical's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Last Seen
    Today @ 07:56 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    10,500

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Crovax View Post
    The 2 million or so that die from it might find it an inconvenience
    Just an opinion. I only do facts.
    When the debate is lost, the loser resorts to slander.

  3. #203
    Sage
    Gimmesometruth's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    US Southwest
    Last Seen
    Yesterday @ 09:50 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Liberal
    Posts
    27,444

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by SMTA View Post
    The goal post here being being not flattened, right!?
    Yea, it’s moving vertically every day.
    Do you require education as to that meaning??
    No, you missed it, totally.

    First he said:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mashmont View Post
    Only 130,000 COVID cases, max. This wouldn't make a garden variety flu season. Can you say hoax?
    A couple of days later, he changes his tune:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mashmont View Post
    Really the number of supposedly sick means nothing. What matters is the number dead,
    Understand now?
    Last edited by Gimmesometruth; 03-27-20 at 06:03 PM.
    Quote Originally Posted by Paradoxical View Post
    I've told everybody to check back with me in June and if there are 75,000 deaths or more in America from the Corona Virus, I will sign off here for good.I'm gonna go with the CDC number anyway even though it will be artificially high. Even at that, it won't be close to 2 million. I doubt it will be close to 75,000. You can call be a sage at the end of June.

  4. #204
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jun 2019
    Location
    Oregon
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:28 PM
    Lean
    Undisclosed
    Posts
    3,876

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Mashmont View Post
    We know the numbers are increasing, but the rate of increase is decreasing. Showing it in the 'standard' way wouldn't demonstrate that.
    How does your chart show the rate of increase better than using simple % instead of your contrived method of showing %. And why would your chart show 0% increase as 100% increase?

    The graph at #197 represents the flattening of the curve upward quite well for S Korea and China. It doesn't show flattening for the US because in spite of you weird large % increase new cases are not slowing down much at all.

  5. #205
    No Shame!
    EMNofSeattle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    Grapeview, Washington
    Last Seen
    Today @ 05:20 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Very Conservative
    Posts
    15,473

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Crovax View Post
    Having 80% of the US infected by easter weekend is not a good thing
    If 80% of the US was infected it would mean the virus has burnt out because long before that point so many people will have been infected and recovered so the virus canít spread to new hosts without immunity.

    That would be a tremendously good thing
    What socialized medicine REALLY means, sometimes the mask slips!
    Quote Originally Posted by Atheist 2020 View Post
    I do not see were a woman has the right to take a child to full term.
    "Be careful of averages, the average person has one breast and one testicle"
    -Dixy Lee Ray

  6. #206
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jun 2019
    Location
    Oregon
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:28 PM
    Lean
    Undisclosed
    Posts
    3,876

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by EMNofSeattle View Post
    If 80% of the US was infected it would mean the virus has burnt out because long before that point so many people will have been infected and recovered so the virus canít spread to new hosts without immunity.

    That would be a tremendously good thing
    People over 65 with health issues might not agree.

  7. #207
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jun 2019
    Location
    Oregon
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:28 PM
    Lean
    Undisclosed
    Posts
    3,876

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Visbek View Post
    lol

    The rate of change is not decreasing yet, and you're not using anything resembling any sort of standard method.

    Let's look at some real numbers, and a real rate of change:

    Attachment 67276552


    And let's see how badly you're botching your predictions:

    Attachment 67276553
    Thanks, I knew there had to be a more accurate and sensible way to present what most graphs show.

  8. #208
    Wrinkly member
    Manc Skipper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    Southern England
    Last Seen
    Today @ 07:56 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Liberal
    Posts
    30,286

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    The chart I just saw on TV showed the Chinese cases levelling off and the US line almost straight up to over 100,000!
    Never eat anything that's served in a bucket.

    "We look to Scotland for all our ideas of civilisation." ..FranÁois-Marie Arouet. French philosopher. 1694 - 1778.

  9. #209
    Sage
    Phys251's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    05-21-20 @ 06:46 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Liberal
    Posts
    27,644

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by jpn View Post
    When Mashmont lies on his side it appears to flatten, yes.

    Have you seen this? It's an interactive model just published by the University of Washington. You can follow along day-by-day, and also by state.
    They predict 81,000 total deaths in the US.

    I would breathe a huge sigh of relief if the final numbers were anywhere near that low. Hell I'll be surprised if we don't crack a quarter of a million.
    Quote Originally Posted by trixare4kids View Post
    I fought my entire life for women
    Quote Originally Posted by apdst View Post
    Rights have no restrictions. Free speech isn't restricted in any way.
    Quote Originally Posted by Paradoxical View Post
    By August, this phony virus will be forgotten
    Quote Originally Posted by TurtleDude View Post
    I don't support democracy. Never had. Never will.

  10. #210
    Ketsu no ana
    SMTA's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    OH
    Last Seen
    Today @ 07:49 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Independent
    Posts
    30,166

    Re: UPDATE: Curve Continues To Flatten - Just As Mashmont Predicted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Gimmesometruth View Post
    No, you missed it, totally.

    First he said:



    A couple of days later, he changes his tune:



    Understand now?
    Sorry. I thought that you were referring to me.
    No harm, no foul.
    Quote Originally Posted by apdst View Post
    A famin will kill millions.
    Quote Originally Posted by joko104 View Post
    I can not think of any non-white majority country anywhere on earth I would want to live. I wish the USA would stay a white majority, but it won't.

Page 21 of 48 FirstFirst ... 11192021222331 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •