And 46% (
39,125) are in New York State, with a 10% (
385) mortality rate
among confirmed cases.
United States Coronavirus (COVID-19) Tracker
Yet the overall numbers of confirmed US cases is
85,396, with a national mortality rate of 1.4% (
1,221).
United States Coronavirus (COVID-19) Tracker
New York City is likely the prime area simply because it is the most congested. NYC's total population is 8.75 million.
Population of New York City 2020: (Largest City of New York State)
So there are .04% confirmed cases out of that 8.75 million if they were ALL in NYC. What percent of that number have died?
0.00044%
Perspective is everything people...
I am sorry, but your reasoning is pretty flawed. New York has such a high number of confirmed cases because NYC has over 26,000 people per square mile. Thus, transmission rates are an order of magnitude higher than they would be anywhere else in the country. Example, when you leave your home, you and other members of your direct family are the only ones touching your front door and mode of transportation, your vehicle. In contrast, in NYC, when you leave your residence, you walk out into a hallway and get on an elevator that potentially hundreds of people have touched, you leave through a door in the lobby that several hundred people have touched, then you get on a subway with thousands of other people.
Moreover, NYC has such a high number of infections, that those that are highly symptomatic are the ones getting tested the most, thus it artificially inflates their case fatality rates.
A point of comparison would be Italy, which has an advanced medical system, but still has a case fatality rate of around 1.2% (so far). Now one might say that Italy has a high number of seniors, and that is true, but so do we. Most people that die from Covid-19, are patients with 2 or more comorbities.
Average lifespan of Italians: 82.5 years.
Average lifespan of Americans: 78 years.
COPD Prevalence in Italy: 3.2%
COPD Prevalence in the United States: 7.5% (American Lung Association numbers)
Diabetes rate in Italy: 5.3%
Diabetes rate in the United States: 10.5%
You can pick any health metric, and Italy's seniors are far more healthy than our's are. When you consider that, if anything, our eventual case fatality rate for Covid-19 unfortunately may well exceed Italy's.
If we have the kind of 75% to 80% eventual infection rate that many models are predicting for America, that would be at least 2 million Americans would die from Covid-19. There is no perspective you could put that into where it would not be a national tragedy.
