- Joined
- Jan 28, 2013
- Messages
- 94,823
- Reaction score
- 28,342
- Location
- Williamsburg, Virginia
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Independent
It's as I said - the UK team and Lewis have a difference of opinion about which sample provides the most useful estimates of CFR for COVID 19 for the UK and US - what our countries can expect. In effect, they're deciding which proxies for the population in question to use to predict the mortality and hospitalization rates in the UK and US. Neither one is obviously correct, or obviously incorrect. They are both guessing. The only way to show which team is correct is to use actual results from the UK and/or US, and those data simply are not available at this time or Lewis would have cited and used those data.
You seem to think that because Lewis comes to a different conclusion, you can simply cite his work, and say, SEE THE UK TEAM WAS WRONG!!! That's not how it works, Jack. No one is impressed by that.
The UK team was wrong. Meanwhile:
“This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the @imperialcollege authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths - and who has now himself tested positive for #COVID,” former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson wrote on Twitter.
[h=3]Imperial College scientist who predicted 500K coronavirus ...[/h]www.washingtonexaminer.com › news › imperial-college-scientist-wh...
9 hours ago - ... in the United Kingdom has revised the estimate to roughly 20000 people or fewer. ... “This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the ... beds and UK deaths 'unlikely to exceed 20,000 and could be much lower,'" ...