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BP Spill : The truth of the situation

Adk - As far as I can tell you're correct, it was all on land... even though they were similarly super-deep wells.

The one issue I haven't seen touched on, but would be curious was the contention that this 'oil' was actually an 'abiotic oil' which "is not a fossil fuel but a result of a chemical reaction going on deep within the surface of the earth".

The most I've seen confirming this was witness statements that the oil wasn't the typical black, but varying shades of brown and green.
Black oil mixed with water will be brown....ever fix a car where oil had gotten into the coolant?
 
I don't work in the oil industry and I've never worked on an oil rig, but I don't think it takes one to work in the industry to question the importance of this information in this particular case. It's the one thing about this oil spill that concerned me from the beginning.

While it's not uncommon for pressure readings not to be mentioned publicly in off-shore oil spills - people are more concerned with how much oil is being spilled rather than how fast is it spilling - I'm sure the oil pressure data would be a crucial piece of information in how this leak could be plugged. I mean, they've poured mud and debris in this hole and nothing has stopped it! Meanwhile, you have an oil spill that's probably about as large in length and/or width as one of our midwestern states - Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee...pick one - and it happened so fast. So much oil...

It's obvious BP tapped into something big and to date they haven't been able to contain it. And while I don't think it's really that important for the public to know the pressure data from this well, I do think BP has bitten off far more than it can chew and had no real plans on how to stop it if things went terribly wrong.
 
Oh yeah, every nation has a nutcase who's predictions are 99.9% wrong. The only thing that they can predict is that they will breathe within one minute and that they will die.
In our country, it's the makes of the program SUPRISE. It's full of conspiracy theories and horror stories, like stories about glass that can make pictures alive or theories about 2012. Oh, there's also an insane person that claims he can levitate, has an IQ over 900 or something and can walk on water. Did I mention that he is a Congressman?
In America, there seems to be more nutcases than most countries. I see Alex Jones as another one
 
Mr. X???? Ohhh please.
reading everything this guy said he sounds like a wacko guest on Coast to Coast AM. :roll:

Did he mention anything about the Lizard people that live under the crust? :lol:
 
"BP, a non-american company, was so stupid as to drill so deep, offshore, on a floating platform, that is kept in place with sophisticated GPS equipment. On top of ocean sitting 5000ft deep. Then they began their drilling 25-30000 ft deep... a super-deep well. They hit something so big that they could not contain it. It was much worse then they ever thought."


environmentalists made it law they had to drill that far out. :shrug:
 
environmentalists made it law they had to drill that far out. :shrug:

I think the tree huggers had the right idea. Problem was that private companies and the government (state and federal) both got it wrong. None planned properly for such a disaster (atleast not in the case of BP), and since the country has never had another oil spill in the GOM since 1979, it's understandable that when it came to the real thing since the EPA enacted the NCP that nobody got things exactly right despite all the simulated training exercises that might have been conducted.

The idea with pushing off-shore drilling further off the coast was to try and eliminate the damage an oil spill would have to the coast. Most people figured that if a spill happened way out there most of the oil would be pulled out to sea and you could contain the rest through other means, i.e., burning, disbursments, containtment, siffoning, long before any hit our shores. Nobody thought at that time (1994) that oil companies would be drilling at the depths they're no drilling. Moreover, no average citizen knew of the corruption (or the extent thereof) or derelection of duty divisions within our government, how far it reached. But that's greed via the free enterprise system for you. People got complacent. But I degress...

The rationale for pushing off-shore oil drilling was sound; the execution for protecting the Gulf Coast region in the event of a spill was not.
 
How was it sound when you exponentially increase the danger?


I think there is a lot of **** ups to go around. the environmentalists are one of em...
 
First off, thank you... this was the type of honest discussion I was looking for here...

Sniffle... it's so good to be back. ; )

Yes... that is a concern is the hurricanes, not being an expert on hurricanes either, I had questioned the potential of the hurricanes sucking up large portions of this spill, and then the potential of that oil being hit by lighting withing the storm... since that would have the three factors for fire : fuel, oxygen and heat.

Not enough fuel for this to realistically happen on a large scale. There might be isolated small areas directly around the area of the spill that could get close to stoich, but the wind speeds during a storm like that would likely prevent it from happening anyway. There is absolutely no chance of the storm "sucking up" enough fuel to turn the whole thing into a giant combustible cloud.



Oh it has been "suggested" for months now. The real experts just laugh though.

I think we can agree that there is a time limit in this... even if the reality is the 13500 PSI as you're suggesting with the corrosiveness of the oil the longer it takes to stop the well, the more chances that there will be further ruptures in the wellhead structure. If it is in the 20-70k PSI as was reported in the interview then any solution available presently would be moot because there really isn't much of anything that could stop that kind of flow.

But it's not in the 20k-70k range. The reservoir pressure below the Macondo 252B wellhead is 13,300 PSI. These guys like to exaggerate things to freak people out. If they say "the pressure is 13,300 psi and it's nothing special", nobody tunes into their show. If they say "the actual flow could be on the super high end of the independent expert estimates", nobody cares. However, what they actually do is just lie and say "ZOMG the pressure is 70 kPSI and it's flowing 80 times what they are telling us and we're all dooooooomed". Weak minded people then freak out, tell all their friends, and they all go tune in every week because they think this person has some crazy inside info, and once again everyone over at big brother inc (BP, the gov, the contractors hired by BP to fix everything) is LYING TO THEM.

I think I missed quoting it, but it was explained that the sequence of events was that a technician pointed out to his boss that one of the safety valves had a malfunction that should be checked / replaced, the boss said 'we don't have time, keep drilling', and when he continued, it caused the 3 layers of safety valves to rupture almost simultaneously, and that the final reported pressure reading was above the 20k PSI...

Nope. Close, but nope.

This is a Cameron Blow Out Preventer, similar to the failed one at macondo:

CAM_BOP_Stack.JPG


Here is a diagram of the different parts:

8layourinBOP.jpg


What they drilled through (and had chunks of coming up with the mud) is the annular seal at the top. The annular seal and the blind rams are of similar design, and they look like this when open:

3BOPopen.jpg


And like this when closed:

4BOPclosed.jpg


Then there are the shear rams, which look like this when open:

5shears.jpg


They look kind of like an X when closed, coming together to cut the pipe and then create a seal.


So basically, they drilled through the annular seal at the top. They still had all the shear and blind rams. Problem is, shear rams are not designed to cut through the collar where two pipes meet. This is roughly 10% of the drill string, so they've got a 1/10 chance of hitting a collar. They did. The blind rams by themselves was not enough to overcome the flow (since there was no mud holding back the flow after they displaced it with sea water).

I can only go off what was told, from a person who has shown himself to be privy to 'inside' information and predictions that have turned out to be accurate several times within the timeframes supplied (mainly on oil prices and political maneuvering). I'm not blindly accepting those numbers... but let's say it was actually in the 20k range could that account for the extent of the damage that we're seeing?? Since, regardless of the numbers it was said fairly unequivocally that it was the excess of pressure combined with a fault in a safety valve that led to this leak... also combined with an excess of greed on the part of the oil company setting profits over safety.

See above plus my reply from yesterday for the "why's" of the whole thing.

Maybe that was a misquote on my behalf, I'd have to go back... but it may have been said that it was between 3-4 million gallons rather then barrels... the main point was that the numbers reported on were on the very low end of the spectrum as for how much oil is actually being released. Being a repeater has it's disadvantages afterall.

Yeah definitely. The flow has been "officially" understated since the beginning. The real experts had it pegged early though.

Thanks again... the big issue is the toxicity of these dispersants... and if this dispersant CAN change into a gaseous state and combine with rain clouds, then anyone downwind is at risk of the toxic effects.

Bolded word is the most important one there. I have seen no evidence that this is possible/likely.

Again, I do hope that what was presented was wrong / exaggerated.... but do you feel that it was an exaggeration to suggest that a halting of deepsea drilling would create an increase in the cost of fuel by a magnitude of doubling to tripling??

Yes.

This actually agrees with what he was saying, quoting his 'MR X'. That it was the Rush that led to the failure.

And there is the problem with the conspiracy type folk. Mix in just enough good info to make it sound solid, and then freak everyone out by including a bunch of bad info. Hope I was able to clear up a couple things for ya.
 
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How was it sound when you exponentially increase the danger?
Because if everyone did what they were suppose to do the damage would have been mitigated. They didn't and it started with BP.

I think there is a lot of **** ups to go around. the environmentalists are one of em...
Again, I don't think you can blame the tree huggers nearly as much as you can BP or the government. Both are at fault. All environmentalist did was warn the nation/oil drill companies and coastal states of the inherent danger of drilling so close to shore. I mean, who can argue that an oil spill on shore would have a far worse environmental inpact as drilling off-shore?

Your argument against them is you can cap the well-head in shallow waters. Well, the same is true for drilling on shore. However, what isn't necessarily easy to do in shallow water compared to on-shore drilling is containing the spill and mitigating the damage. So, in comparison, the environmentalist got it right where the inherit risk between the two are concerned. Again, the idea with drilling further out to sea was that should a spill occur the damage would be minimal to shorelines and the environment provided EVERYBODY did their part and had safety and containment measures in place. They didn't where this spill is concerned and it's costing BP, the affected states, businesses large and small and the government tons!
 
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Mr. X???? Ohhh please.
reading everything this guy said he sounds like a wacko guest on Coast to Coast AM. :roll:

Did he mention anything about the Lizard people that live under the crust? :lol:

First rule of journalism is to protect your sources... if you name a source that does NOT want to be named as a source, you will NEVER get information from that source again, also anyone else that MIGHT give you source information will see that you do not protect your sources and will provide their information to someone else. I think he was fairly forthcoming about this particular source, which, if one was so inclined could probably determine who this Mr X is within a range of maybe 5 people.

Frankly, after the conversation going on in this thread, and previous interviews and the guys book, this Mr X, is a real person that really was involved in the oil industry, but now knows that much of his conversations are going to end up being publicized, and so probably intentionally provided a bit of disinformation of the opposite extreme so that the debate gets framed as 'how much pressure? How much oil, etc?' rather then debating how this issue should be handled politically, while the leak itself is being plugged.

Not enough fuel for this to realistically happen on a large scale. There might be isolated small areas directly around the area of the spill that could get close to stoich, but the wind speeds during a storm like that would likely prevent it from happening anyway. There is absolutely no chance of the storm "sucking up" enough fuel to turn the whole thing into a giant combustible cloud.

That is a bit more extreme from what I was thinking... but even I was thinking that it was one of those with a slim potential of even occuring... if at all possible.

Oh it has been "suggested" for months now. The real experts just laugh though.

Ok, I'll phrase it this way : how many contingencies are left to be attempted before the experts will begin to seriously consider this option? I mean, siphoning and skimming the oil, even if it's done to the 90-99% is not exactly an ideal option if it's gotta be done untill this well dries up.

Bolded word is the most important one there. I have seen no evidence that this is possible/likely.

This I had seen sourced in a few different articles from prior to the original interview...

And there is the problem with the conspiracy type folk. Mix in just enough good info to make it sound solid, and then freak everyone out by including a bunch of bad info. Hope I was able to clear up a couple things for ya.

I do agree that this is not unheard of, but given the totality of the sourcing, etc... there are a number of places where the 'bad info' could have been thrown in...

Couple final questions for you, since you seem to have some pretty good knowledge of the oil and gas industry... with the 13 kPSI that you're suggesting (not that I disagree with you) and it not being a big deal, what would be your speculation as to why there have been such a large number of failed attempts to resolve the problem?

Is it possible that this pressure had been 'modestly' under-reported, say 15-20kPSI (I know you're adamant about the 13.3 kPSI, I'm just trying to determine how such a drastic difference might have been suggested, and who was providing that pressure reading)? What would be the threshold of pressure that would have caused equipment failures as seen as well as the excess problems in sealing it??
 
Ok, I'll phrase it this way : how many contingencies are left to be attempted before the experts will begin to seriously consider this option? I mean, siphoning and skimming the oil, even if it's done to the 90-99% is not exactly an ideal option if it's gotta be done untill this well dries up.

The geology of the area will prevent a nuke from EVER being an option. Too big of a chance that the blast would open more fissures instead of sealing the well.

Couple final questions for you, since you seem to have some pretty good knowledge of the oil and gas industry... with the 13 kPSI that you're suggesting (not that I disagree with you) and it not being a big deal, what would be your speculation as to why there have been such a large number of failed attempts to resolve the problem?

The answer is simple really. The well is compromised somewhere down hole. Top kill probably would have worked since they were injecting mud below the leak in the damaged riser, but the mud loss through the casing prevented them from getting enough mud in there for it to seal the well.

Is it possible that this pressure had been 'modestly' under-reported, say 15-20kPSI (I know you're adamant about the 13.3 kPSI, I'm just trying to determine how such a drastic difference might have been suggested, and who was providing that pressure reading)? What would be the threshold of pressure that would have caused equipment failures as seen as well as the excess problems in sealing it??

Not sure about anyone under reporting the numbers. They came from the independent rig operators that really have no reason to sugar coat that kind of info. However, the BOP is rated to 15kpsi, and I believe the rating on the casing design was 20kpsi. Since both are presumed to be damaged, the experts are not confident in them holding their rated pressures. Think of the casing breach like a hole in a garden hose... if you open up the nozzle on the end, the leak mostly stops. If you close the nozzle, the leak increases. That is what is happening here and it is why they stopped all efforts to seal the well from the top. Intercept will HAVE to take place near the reservoir, and at that time they will be able to get ample amounts of mud in there to stop the flow.
 
Intercept will HAVE to take place near the reservoir, and at that time they will be able to get ample amounts of mud in there to stop the flow.

How does this work? How do they do it? It seems if they pump in their mud, at the bottom of the well, it will just get pushed up the well. How do they create a bigger pressure, working against the oil pressure, to stop the oil?

Then, once the mud pressure is > the oil pressure, and the mud I assume is still flowing, how do they cement the well to plug it? And why must this be done at the very bottom of the well?

Thanx!
 
My predictions for one year from now:

there will be turmoil in the Middle East
there will be another terrorist attack on a western target
oil prices will increase
gas prices will increase
food prices will increase
Africa will be in turmoil
people will justify grotesque and horrible violence with their various religions
millions of Americans will lose money in their investments
the words of Alex Jones will inspire fear
millions will anxiously await the End of Times
China will be the source of tainted commercial products​
 
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How does this work? How do they do it? It seems if they pump in their mud, at the bottom of the well, it will just get pushed up the well. How do they create a bigger pressure, working against the oil pressure, to stop the oil?

Then, once the mud pressure is > the oil pressure, and the mud I assume is still flowing, how do they cement the well to plug it? And why must this be done at the very bottom of the well?

Thanx!

relief_well_diagram2_375xvar.jpg


The liner down there is 9 5/8". They are going to use 11 7/8" liner at the bottom of the relief well. As they get closer they will charge up the metal casing string in the broken well with an electrical current. They then use magnetic guidance on the relief well drill head, along with a concrete milling bit to intercept. Very cool stuff. At this point the mud levels in the reserve pits needs to be watched VERY closely. The entire relief well is being controlled with mud, so if they were to get lazy here, another blowout would be possible. They will no doubt switch all the pumps to high, and start pumping like crazy once the intercept is made. The mud WILL get pushed up the blown out well, and that is pretty much the idea. The trick is to have enough mud of proper weight in the relief well so it gets pulled down, then pushed up, and balances out like a giant U. They will probably also be pumping mud in from the choke/kill lines on the broken BOP to help, but they will still definitely be losing mud out the top of the broken BOP, out of the broken casing somewhere midstring, and out of the bottom to the reservoir. As long as they don't run out of mud, there is no reason to think this won't work.

Once the flow is stopped, they can use the relief well drill string to place a bottom plug, and we'll be more or less in the clear. With the bottom plug placed, the broken BOP can be removed and then replaced with a functioning one... and a rig can then go down the original well to complete the cement plugging.

My predictions for one year from now:

there will be turmoil in the Middle East
there will be another terrorist attack on a western target
oil prices will increase
gas prices will increase
food prices will increase
Africa will be in turmoil
people will justify grotesque and horrible violence with their various religions
millions of Americans will lose money in their investments
the words of Alex Jones will inspire fear
millions will anxiously await the End of Times
China will be the source of tainted commercial products​

:shock:

Pardner, yer perty goood. Got any powerball #'s for me? ;)
 
Here is a letter from the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations to Tony Hayward. It goes into a lot more detail than I have about the failures leading up to the accident.

Dear Mr. Hayward:

We are looking forward to your testimony before the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations on Thursday, June 17, 2010, about the causes of the blowout of the Macondo well and the ongoing oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico. As you prepare for this testimony, we want to share with you some of the results of the Committee's investigation and advise you of issues you should be prepared to address.

The Committee's investigation is raising serious questions about the decisions made by BP in the days and hours before the explosion on the Deepwater Horizon. On April 15, five days before the explosion, BP's drilling engineer called Macondo a "nightmare well." In spite of the well's difficulties, BP appears to have made multiple decisions for economic reasons that increased the danger of a catastrophic well failure. In several instances, these decisions appear to violate industry guidelines and were made despite warnings from BP's own personnel and its contractors. In effect, it appears that BP repeatedly chose risky procedures in order to reduce costs and save time and made minimal efforts to contain the added risk.

At the time of the blowout, the Macondo well was significantly behind schedule. This appears to have created pressure to take shortcuts to speed finishing the well. In particular, the Committee is focusing on five crucial decisions made by BP: (1) the decision to use a well design with few barriers to gas flow; (2) the failure to use a sufficient number of "centralizers" to prevent channeling during the cement process; (3) the failure to run a cement bond log to evaluate the effectiveness of the cement job; (4) the failure to circulate potentially gas-bearing drilling muds out of the well; and (5) the failure to secure the wellhead with a lockdown sleeve before allowing pressure on the seal from below. The common feature of these five decisions is that they posed a trade-off between cost and well safety.

Well Design. On April 19, one day before the blowout, BP installed the final section of steel tubing in the well. BP had a choice of two primary options: it could lower a full string of "casing" from the top of the wellhead to the bottom of the well, or it could hang a "liner" from the lower end of the casing already in the well and install a "tieback" on top of the liner. The liner-tieback option would have taken extra time and was more expensive, but it would have been safer because it provided more barriers to the flow of gas up the annular space surrounding these steel tubes. A BP plan review prepared in mid-April reconunended against the full string of casing because it would create "an open annulus to the wellhead" and make the seal assembly at the wellhead the "only barrier" to gas flow if the cement job failed. Despite this and other warnings, BP chose the more risky casing option, apparently because the liner option would have cost $7 to $10 million more and taken longer.

Centralizers. When the final string of casing was installed, one key challenge was making sure the casing ran down the center of the well bore. As the American Petroleum Institute's recommended practices explain, if the casing is not centered, "it is difficult, if not impossible, to displace mud effectively from the narrow side of the annulus," resulting in a failed cement job. Halliburton, the contractor hired by BP to cement the well, warned BP that the well could have a "SEVERE gas flow problem" if BP lowered the final string of casing with only six centralizers instead of the 21 recommended by Halliburton. BP rejected Halliburton's advice to use additional centralizers. In an e-mail on April 16, a BP official involved in the decision explained: "it will take 10 hours to install them . ... I do not like this." Later that day, another official recognized the risks of proceeding with insufficient centralizers but commented: "who cares, it's done, end of story, will probably be fine."

Cement Bond Log. BP's mid-April plan review predicted cement failure, stating "Cement simulations indicate it is unlikely to be a successful cement job due to formation breakdown." Despite this warning and Halliburton's prediction of severe gas flow problems, BP did not run a 9- to 12-hour procedure called a cement bond log to assess the integrity of the cement seal. BP had a crew from Schlumberger on the rig on the morning of April 20 for the purpose of running a cement bond log, but they departed after BP told them their services were not needed. An independent expert consulted by the Committee called this decision "horribly negligent. "

Mud Circulation. In exploratory operations like the Macondo well, wells are generally filled with weighted mud during the drilling process. The American Petroleum Institute (API) recommends that oil companies fully circulate the drilling mud in the well from the bottom to the top before commencing the cementing process. Circulating the mud in the Macondo well could have taken as long as 12 hours, but it would have allowed workers on the rig to test the mud for gas influxes, to safely remove any pockets of gas, and to eliminate debris and condition the mud so as to prevent contamination of the cement. BP decided to forego this safety step and conduct only a partial circulation of the drilling mud before the cement job.

Lockdown Sleeve. Because BP elected to use just a single string of casing, the Macondo well had just two barriers to gas flow up the annular space around the final string of casing: the cement at the bottom of the well and the seal at the wellhead on the sea floor. The decision to use insufficient centralizers created a significant risk that the cement job would channel and fail, while the decision not to run a cement bond log denied BP the opportunity to assess the status of the cement job. These decisions would appear to make it crucial to ensure the integrity of the seal assembly that was the remaining barrier against an influx of hydrocarbons. Yet, BP did not deploy the casing hanger lockdown sleeve that would have prevented the seal from being blown out from below.

These five questionable decisions by BP are described in more detail below. We ask that you come prepared on Thursday to address the concerns that these decisions raise about BP's actions.

Background

BP started drilling the Macondo well on October 7, 2009, using the Marianas rig. This rig was damaged in Hurricane Ida on November 9, 2009. As a result, BP and the rig operator, Transocean, replaced the Marianas rig with the Deepwater Horizon. Drilling with the Deepwater Horizon started on February 6, 2010.

The Deepwater Horizon rig was expensive. Transocean charged BP approximately $500,000 per day to lease the rig, plus contractors' fees.] BP targeted drilling the well to take 51 days and cost approximately $96 million.

The Deepwater Horizon was supposed to be drilling at a new location as early as March 8, 2010. In fact, the Macondo well took considerably longer than plarmed to complete. By April 20, 2010, the day of the blowout, the rig was 43 days late for its next drilling location, which may have cost BP as much as $21 million in leasing fees alone. It also may have set the context for the series of decisions that BP made in the days and hours before the blowout.

Well Design

Deepwater wells are drilled in sections. The basic process involves drilling through rock, installing and cementing casing to secure the well bore, and then drilling deeper and repeating the process. On April 9, 2010, BP finished drilling the last section of the well. The final section of the well bore extended to a depth of 18,360 feet below sea level, which was 1,192 feet below the casing that had previously been inserted into the well.

At this point, BP had to make an important well design decision: how to secure the final 1,192 feet of the well. On June 3, Halliburton's Vice President of Cementing, Tommy Roth, briefed Committee staff about the two primary options available to BP. One option involved hanging a steel tube called a "liner" from a liner hanger on the bottom of the casing already in the well and then inserting another steel liner tube called a "tieback" on top of the liner hanger. The other option involved rurming a single string of steel casing from the seafloor all the way to the bottom of the well. Mr. Roth informed the Committee that "Liner/Tieback Casing provides advantage over full string casing with redundant barriers to annular flow." In the case of a single string of casing, there are just two barriers to the flow of gas up the arullliar space that surrounds the casing: the cement at the bottom of the well and the seal at the wellhead. Mr. Roth told the Committee that in contrast, "Liner/Tieback provides four barriers to annular flow." They are (I) the cement at the bottom of the well, (2) the hanger seal that attaches the liner to the existing casing in the well, (3) the cement that secures the tieback on top of the liner, and (4) the seal at the wellhead. The liner-tieback option also takes more time to install, requiring several additional days to complete.

Internal BP documents indicate that BP was aware of the risks of the single casing approach. An undated "Forward Plan Review" that appears to be from mid-April recommended against the single string of casing because of the risks. According to this document, "Long string of casing ... was the primary option" but a "Liner ... is now the recommended option."

The document gave four reasons against using a single string of casing, They were:

• "Cement simulations indicate it is unlikely to be a successful cement job due to formation breakdown, "
• "Unable to fulfill MMS regulations of 500' of cement above top HC zone,"
• "Open annulus to the wellhead, with", seal assembly as only barrier."
• "Potential need to verify with bond log, and perform remedial cement job(s)."

In contrast, according to the document, there were four advantages to the liner option:
• "Less issue with landing it shallow (we can also ream it down),"
• "Liner hanger acts as second barrier for HC in arlllulus,"
• "Primary cement job has slightly higher chance for successful cement lift,"
• "Remedial cement job, if required, easier to justify to be left for later."

Communications between employees ofBP confirm they were evaluating these approaches, On April 14, Brian Morel, a BP Drilling Engineer, e-mailed a colleague, Richard Miller, about the options. His e-mail notes: "this has been [aJ nightmare well which has everyone all over the place."

Despite the risks, BP chose to install the single string of casing instead of a liner and tieback, applying for an amended permit on April 15. The company's application stated that the full casing string would start at 9 7/8 inches diameter at the top of the well and narrow to 7 inches diameter at the bottom. This application was approved on the same day.

The decision to run a single string of casing appears to have been made to save time and reduce costs. On March 25, Mr. Morel e-mailed Allison Crane, the Materials Management Coordinator for BP's Gulf of Mexico Deepwater Exploration Unit, that the long casing string "saves a lot of time ... at least 3 days." On March 30, he e-mailed Sarah Dobbs, the BP Completions Engineer, and Mark Hafle, another BP Drilling Engineer, that "[n]ot running the tieback ... saves a good deal oftime/money." On April I5, BP estimated that using a liner instead of the single string of casing "will add an additional $7 -$10 MM to the completion cost." The same document calls the single string of casing the "est economic case and well integrity case for future completion operations."

Around this time, BP prepared another undated version of its "Forward Plan Review." Notably, this version of the document reaches a different conclusion than the other version, calling the long string of casing "the primary option" and the liner "the contingency option." Like the other version of the plan review, this version acknowledges the risks of a single string of casing, but it now describes the option as the "Best economic case and well integrity case for future completion operations."


cont...
 
Centralizers

Centralizers are attachments that go around the casing as it being lowered into the well to keep the casing in the center of the borehole. If the well is not properly centered prior to the cementing process, there is increased risk that channels will form in the cement that allow gas to flow up the annular space around the casing. API Recommended Practice 65 explains: "If casing is not centralized, it may lay near or against the borehole wall. ... It is difficult, if not impossible, to displace mud effectively from the narrow side of the annulus if casing is poorly centralized. This results in bypassed mud channels and inability to achieve zonal isolation."

On April 15, BP informed Halliburton's Account Representative, Jesse Gagliano, that BP was planning to use six centralizers on the final casing string at the Macondo well. Mr. Gagliano spent that day running a computer analysis of a number of cement design scenarios to determine how many centralizers would be necessary to prevent channeling. With ten centralizers, the modeling resulted in a "MODERATE" gas flow problem. Mr. Gagliano's modeling showed that it would require 21 centralizers to achieve only a "MINOR" gas flow problem.

Mr. Gagliano informed BP of these results and recommended the use of 21 centralizers. After running a model with ten centralizers, Mr. Gagliano e-mailed Brian Morel, BP's drilling engineer, and other BP officials, stating that the model "now shows the cement channeling" and that ''I'm going to run a few scenarios to see if adding more centralizers will help us or not. Twenty-five minutes later, Mr. Morel e-mailed back:

We have 6 centralizers, we can run them in a row, spread out, or any combination of the two. It's a vertical hole, so hopefully the pipe stays centralized due to gravity. As far as changes, it's too late to get any more product on the rig, our only option is to rearrange placement of these centralizers.

The following day, April 16, the issue was elevated to John Guide, BP's Well Team Leader, by Gregory Walz, BP's Drilling Engineering Team Leader. Mr. Walz informed Mr. Guide: "We have located 15 Weatherford centralizers with stop collars ... in Houston and worked things out with the rig to be able to fly them out in the morning." The decision was made because "we need to honor the modeling to be consistent with our previous decisions to go with the long string." Mr. Walz explained: "I wanted to make sure that we did not have a repeat of the last Atlantis job with questionable centralizers going into the hole." Mr. Walz added: "I do not like or want to disrupt your operations . ... I know the planning has been lagging behind the operations and I have to turn that around."

In his response, Mr. Guide raised objections to the use of the additional centralizers, writing: "it will take 10 hrs to install them . ... I do not like this and ... I [am] very concerned about using them."

An e-mail from Brett Cocales, BP's Operations Drilling Engineer, indicates that Mr. Guide's perspective prevailed. On April 16, he e-mailed Mr. Morel:

Even if the hole is perfectly straight, a straight piece of pipe even in tension will not seek the perfect center of the hole unless it has something to centralize it.

But, who cares, it's done, end of story, will probably be fine and we' ll get a good cement job. I would rather have to squeeze than get stuck .... So Guide is right on the risk/reward equation.

On April 17, Mr. Gagliano, the Halliblllton account representative, was informed that BP had decided to use only six centralizers. He then ran a model using seven centralizers and found this would likely produce channeling and a failure of the cement job. His April 18 cementing design report states: "well is considered to have a SEVERE gas flow problem."

Mr. Gagliano said that BP was aware of the risks and proceeded with knowledge that his report indicated the well would have a severe gas flow problem.

Mr. Gagliano's findings should not have been a surprise to BP. As noted above, BP's mid-April plan review found that if BP used a single string of casing, as BP had decided to do, "Cement simulations indicate it is unlikely to be a successful cement job." Nonetheless, BP ran the last casing with only six centralizers.

Cement Bond Log

A cement bond log is an acoustic test that is conducted by running a tool inside the casing after the cementing is completed. The cement bond log determines whether the cement has bonded to the casing and surrounding formations. If a channel that would allow gas flow is found, the casing can be perforated and additional cement injected into the annular space to repair the cement job.

Mr. Roth, the Halliburton Vice President of Cementing, informed the Committee staff that BP should have conducted a cement bond log. According to Mr. Roth, "If the cement is to be relied upon as an effective barrier, the well owner must perform a cement evaluation as part of a comprehensive systems integrity test. Minerals Management Service (MMS) regulations also appear to direct a cement bond log or equivalent test at the Macondo well. According to the regulations, if there is an indication of an inadequate cement job, the oil company must "(1) Pressure test the casing shoe; (2) Run a temperature survey; (3) Run a cement bond log; or (4) Use a combination of these techniques."

In the case of the Macondo well, the Halliburton and internal BP warnings should have served as an indication of a potentially inadequate cement job.

On April 18, BP flew a crew from Schlumberger to the rig. As described in a Schlumberger timeline, "BP contracted with Schlumberger to be available to perform a cement bond log ... should BP request those services. But at about 7:00 a.m. on the morning of April 20, BP told the Schlumberger crew that their services would not be required for a cement bond log test. As a result, the Schlumberger crew departed the Deepwater Horizon at approximately 11:15 a.m. on a regularly scheduled BP helicopter flight. The Schlumberger crew was scheduled for departure before pressure testing of the well had been completed, indicating that the results of those tests were not a factor in BP's decision to send the crew away without conducting a cement bond log.

BP's decision not to conduct the cement bond log test may have been driven by concerns about expense and time. The cement bond log would have cost the company over $128,000 to complete. In comparison, the cost of canceling the service was just $10,000.45 Moreover, Mr. Roth of Halliburton estimated that conducting the test would have taken an additional 9 to 12 hours. Remediating any problems found with the cementing job would have taken still more time.

The Committee staff asked an independent engineer with expertise in the analysis of well failure about BP's decision not to conduct a cement bond log. The engineer, Gordon Aaker, Jr., P.E., a Failure Analysis Consultant with the firm Engineering Services, LLP, said that it was "unheard of" not to perform a cement bond log on a well using a single casing approach, and he described BP's decision not to conduct a cement bond log as "horribly negligent." Another independent expert consulted by the Committee, Jolm Martinez, P.E., told the committee that "cement bond or cement evaluation logs should always be used on the production string."

Mud Circulation

Another questionable decision by BP appears to have been the failure to circulate fully the drilling mud in the well before cementing. This procedure, known as "bottoms up," involves circulating drilling mud from the bottom of the well all the way to the surface. Bottoms up has several purposes: it allows workers on the rig to test the mud for influxes of gas; it permits a controlled release of gas pockets that may have entered the mud; and it ensures the removal of well cuttings and other debris from the bottom of the well, preventing contamination of the cement.

API's guidelines recommend a full bottoms up circulation between running the casing and beginning a cementing job. The recommended practice states that "when the casing is on bottom and before cementing, circulating the drilling fluid will break its gel strength, decrease its viscosity and increase its mobility. The drilling fluid should be conditioned until equilibrium is achieved .... At a minimum, the hole should be conditioned for cementing by circulating 1.5 annular volumes or one casing volume, whichever is greater."

BP's April 15 operations plan called for a full bottoms up procedure to "circulate at least one (I) casing and drill pipe capacity, if hole conditions allow." Halliburton Account Representative Jesse Gagliano said it was also "Halliburton's recommendation and best practice to at least circulate one bottoms up on the well before doing a cement job. " According to Mr. Gagliano, a Halliburton engineer on the rig raised the bottoms up issue with BP.

Despite the BP operations plan and the Halliburton recommendation, BP did not fully circulate the mud, Instead, it chose a procedure "written on the rig" which Mr. Gagliano "did not get input in. " BP's final procedure called for circulating just 261 barrels of mud, just a small fraction of the mud in the Macondo well. Mr. Roth of Halliburton told the Committee that one reason for the decision not to circulate the mud could have been a desire for speed, as fully circulating the mud could have added as much as 12 hours to the operation. Mr. Gagliano expressed a similar view, saying, "the well probably would not have handled too high of a rate, so it would take a little bit . . . longer than usual to circulate bottoms up in this case."

Lockdown Sleeve

A final question relates to BP's decision not to install a critical apparatus to lock the wellhead and the casing in the seal assembly at the seafloor. When the casing is placed in the wellhead and cemented in place, it is held in place by gravity. Under certain pressure conditions, however, the casing can become buoyant, rising up in the wellhead and potentially creating an opportunity for hydrocarbons to break through the wellhead seal and enter the riser to the surface. To prevent this, a casing hanger lockdown sleeve is installed. On June 8, 2010, Transocean briefed Committee staff on its investigation into the potential causes of the explosion on board the Deepwater Horizon. In the presentation, Transocean listed the lack of a lockdown sleeve as one of its "areas of investigation." Slide seven of Transocean's presentation asks: "Were Operator procedures appropriate?" A subpoint details: "Operator did not run lock down sleeve prior to negative test or displacement." Mr. Roth of Halliburton raised a similar concern in his June 3 briefing for Committee staff.

In BP's planned procedure for the well, BP describes two options involving the lockdown sleeve. BP was seeking permission from MMS to install the final cement plug on the well at a lower depth than previously approved. If permission was granted, BP's plan was to displace the drilling mud in the riser with seawater and install the cement plug prior to installation of the casing hanger lockdown sleeve. BP's alternative plan, if MMS did not approve the proposed depth of the final cement plug, was to run the lockdown sleeve first, before installing the cement plug at a shallower depth. On April 16, Brian Morel, BP's drilling engineer, e-mailed BP staff that: "We are still waiting for approval of the departure to set our surface plug . ... If we do not get this approved, the displacement plug will be completed shallower after running the LDS." The LDS stands for the lockdown sleeve.

Conclusion

The Committee's investigation into the causes of the blowout and explosion on the Deepwater Horizon rig is continuing. As our investigation proceeds, our understanding of what happened and the mistakes that were made will undoubtedly evolve and change. At this point in the investigation, however, the evidence before the Committee calls into question multiple decisions made by BP. Time after time, it appears that BP made decisions that increased the risk of a blowout to save the company time or expense. If this is what happened, BP's carelessness and complacency have inflicted a heavy toll on the Gulf, its inhabitants, and the workers on the rig.

During your testimony before the Committee, you will be asked about the issues raised in this letter. This will provide you an opportunity to respond to these concerns and clarify the record. We appreciate your willingness to appear and your cooperation in the Committee's investigation.

Sincerely,

Henry A. Waxman
Chairman

Bart Stupak
Chairman
Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations

Taken from here:

http://energycommerce.house.gov/documents/20100614/Hayward.BP.2010.6.14.pdf
 
Is it possible that this pressure had been 'modestly' under-reported, say 15-20kPSI (I know you're adamant about the 13.3 kPSI, I'm just trying to determine how such a drastic difference might have been suggested, and who was providing that pressure reading)?

One last tidbit from me for tonight about the spill... let's use some math here on this pressure stuff. You can actually calculate the reservoir pressure using the mud weight they used to drill it. They used 14 lb/gallon MW. The MW had to exert greater pressure then the reservoir otherwise it would have blown out when they drilled it. To calc the pressure for a column of fluid: Density x area = psi. So 14 * 18,300 * 0.052 = 13,322 psi = max reservoir pressure. Spot on with the readings given by transocean.

On the other hand, to drill into a 20,000 psi formation you would need a MW over 21 lb/gallon. Rock in this area has been shown to fracture when using MW > 18 lb/gallon. Lots of things pointing to the 13,300 psi number being very solid info.
 
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Because if everyone did what they were suppose to do the damage would have been mitigated. They didn't and it started with BP.


incorrect, it started in 1994 when the federal government signed into law the requirment a plan to mitigate damage caused by the spill then failed to implement this plan on all levels for three administrations.




but thats not what I was saying. If you drill in shallower water, the danger is far less..



Again, I don't think you can blame the tree huggers nearly as much as you can BP or the government. Both are at fault. All environmentalist did was warn the nation/oil drill companies and coastal states of the inherent danger of drilling so close to shore. I mean, who can argue that an oil spill on shore would have a far worse environmental inpact as drilling off-shore?


All they did was warn? or did they lobby and force the rigs deep into the ocean.


And as you can see, pushing them far out into the ocean didn't help the coasts.


Your argument against them is you can cap the well-head in shallow waters. Well, the same is true for drilling on shore. However, what isn't necessarily easy to do in shallow water compared to on-shore drilling is containing the spill and mitigating the damage. So, in comparison, the environmentalist got it right where the inherit risk between the two are concerned. Again, the idea with drilling further out to sea was that should a spill occur the damage would be minimal to shorelines and the environment provided EVERYBODY did their part and had safety and containment measures in place. They didn't where this spill is concerned and it's costing BP, the affected states, businesses large and small and the government tons!



I disagree, I think its costing everyone due to the failure of the 1994 plan, and the failure of BP, but I think the environmentalists are the ones who contributed to setting up a dangerous situation. like you said, it's easier to cap a spill in shallow water....


they take a fair share of this blame. Good intentions, unintended consequences.
 
Rev,

Before you can determine how well your contingency plan works, you first have to have a real disaster to test it. I'm speaking from experience here. The military, for example, has all kinds of plans and run things like fire safety and evacuation drills routinely onboard ships. They do it so that they can be prepared to handle such emergencies. But sometimes, something goes horribly wrong and runs counter to all their plans even with the best of intensions and the best laid plans.

Now, I'm not saying that the government nor BP purposely caused this spill. There is no Wag the Dog event here - conspiracy or otherwise. What I AM saying is since the NCP was laid out in 1994 this country has not had to deal with an off-shore oil spill in deep or shallow waters, but especially in deep water. So, despite their best laid plans nobody knew exactly how things would unfold if such a deep water oil spill did occur...until now.

There's an article from the WashingtonPost.com (linked here) that discloses the lack of readiness by this country's top 5 oil companies to handle a spill like what BP is dealing with. They all essentially agree that the first line of defense in such a disaster is the responsible oil company. Read the article and you'll find that none of them - Exxon/Mobile, Shell, Cheveron, ConocoPhillips and, of course, BP - have spill containment plans on file w/the government that are worth a damn! The obvious two-fold problem here are:

1) oil companies, like the banking industry, being allowed to police themselves; and,

2) the government's lack of oversight.

Still, where this oil spill is concerned once again I'll concede that where the government's responsibility lies in this mess it wasn't fully prepared to handle it. Still, that first line of defense for cut-off AND containment rests squarely with BP. The rest is since this has never happened so far off-shore since 1994 is all hit and miss. The system will definitely require revising...tweaking if it were, but for what it's worth I'd have to say the government is doing a decent job under the circumstances. Unfortunately, they really can't be as effective as the affected Gulf coast states or the nation would like w/the cleanup effort until this well is capped! Until then, everyone outside of BP are just spinning their wheels trying to keep pace with things.

It's a mess! No doubt about it.
 
I don't understand how you can say the government is doing a decent job when the jones act is still in place which has all but stopped 13 countries from helping.
 
It's simple: If the equipment being recommended for use doesn't comply with U.S. standards or isn't something that can help remedy the situation, why allow it to be brought over? Besides, we're not talking about an oil spill in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. This is the Gulf of Mexico...not that much room to safely manuever around with so many ships and small vessels already out there. Trust an old sailor on this. It's not that easy to steer a tanker out of harms way let alone a large fishing boat when the waters (or a small area of navigation) are already crowded.

But the biggest issue as I understand things out on the water right now is not every request will meet the needs required to fix this particular problem. So, it's not like the gov't isn't fielding request under the Jones Act; just not every request meets requirements according to what's being reported.
 
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It's simple: If the equipment being recommended for use doesn't comply with U.S. standards or isn't something that can help remedy the situation, why allow it to be brought over? Besides, we're not talking about an oil spill in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. This is the Gulf of Mexico...not that much room to safely manuever around with so many ships and small vessels already out there. Trust an old sailor on this. It's not that easy to steer a tanker out of harms way let alone a large fishing boat when the waters (or a small area of navigation) are already crowded.


It has nothing to do with standards, the jones act was put into place to protect US shipping interests.



Do you have a link suggesting this is a reason the jones act is not being lifted?


But the biggest issue as I understand things out on the water right now is not every request will meet the needs required to fix this particular problem. So, it's not like the gov't isn't fielding request under the Jones Act; just not every request meets requirements according to what's being reported.


What requests have been granted waiving the jones act. One would think the dutch would be as capable as kevin costner at this, no?
 
One last tidbit from me for tonight about the spill... let's use some math here on this pressure stuff. You can actually calculate the reservoir pressure using the mud weight they used to drill it. They used 14 lb/gallon MW. The MW had to exert greater pressure then the reservoir otherwise it would have blown out when they drilled it. To calc the pressure for a column of fluid: Density x area = psi. So 14 * 18,300 * 0.052 = 13,322 psi = max reservoir pressure. Spot on with the readings given by transocean.

On the other hand, to drill into a 20,000 psi formation you would need a MW over 21 lb/gallon. Rock in this area has been shown to fracture when using MW > 18 lb/gallon. Lots of things pointing to the 13,300 psi number being very solid info.

Hey, thanks for that... In spite of living in an oil and gas town, I know very little about the intricacies involved.

Now, with that information : since there's been reports involving secondary plumes found up to 20 km away, which is denied by BP (Can't find the NOAA source again, sorry)
The Associated Press: BP CEO disputes claims of underwater oil plumes
CBC News - World - BP cap collects oil as undersea plumes mapped
is it POSSIBLE, That they had been drilling with a higher MW then was reported??

I know, I'm pressing this issue pretty hard... but there's got to be a reason why this strata of oil has produced multiple plumes of oil into the ocean, though like you said with the rock in that area would be limited to 17kPSI (assuming I used your calculation proper). I am pushing this because, frankly, while I don't believe this to be the result of any sort of conspiracy, I also don't believe that we the people are being entirely told the truth of the matter, and even with the technical difficulties in plugging a hole with even 13kPSI of pressure coming out is astounding, there's something going on that's causing the numerous failures in actually stopping the flow of this leak.
 
Interesting thead. Bookmarking to hold my place until I can read all of it.
 
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