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Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely

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Jay59

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Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.​
 
Jay59 said:
Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.​
Click to expand...

The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
 
We were promised a wild and woolly convention last election and nothing happened.
 
Jay59 said:
Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.​
Click to expand...

Democrat Nominee & Sacrificial Lamp to Trump = Wall Street Pete
 
Sanders barely got 1/4th of the Democratic primary vote in New Hampshire. His vote dropped to far less than half his vote total in 2016. Sanders is just a self serving spoiler for Trump again.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
Click to expand...

No, Democratic primary voters will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.
 
3leftsdoo said:
Democrat Nominee & Sacrificial Lamp to Trump = Wall Street Pete
Click to expand...

Rumor has it that Wall Street Pete has one thing in common with Wall Street Donald--they are both Israeli assets. :cool:
 
It would probably be smarter for them to let him win with a simple majority of votes. It doesn't look like there will be a wave of lefties flooding congress so most of Sanders' agenda won't even come close to coming true. It also won't alienate young voters and whatever independents he convinces to jump on board.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
Click to expand...
That the party may already be unable is the point of the thread.
 
Jay59 said:
Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.​
Click to expand...

Sanders has 21 out of 1991 delegates needed to win. It's still very early in the race. We'll have a much clearer picture after Super Tuesday, when the field is also likely to consolidate.

Since the Democrat party doesn't use the winner take all system, it's going to be very difficult for any of the candidates to win knock out blow based on getting a plurality in a few states. This was a big part of Trump's victory when he was not the favorite of Most Republicans.

Personally, I don't see supporters for the non-sanders candidates shifting to Sanders as they drop out. Buttigieg focused his campaign on the first few states, and he's not likely to finish as strongly down the road in other states. All the non 'feel the Bern' voters are going to line up around whichever of the three senators doesn't drop out.
 
joko104 said:
Sanders barely got 1/4th of the Democratic primary vote in New Hampshire. His vote dropped to far less than half his vote total in 2016. Sanders is just a self serving spoiler for Trump again.
Click to expand...

If Buttigieg and Klobachar didn't split the moderate vote, Bernie wouldn't have won New Hampshire, and his campaign would be about over.
 
MrPeanut said:
It would probably be smarter for them to let him win with a simple majority of votes. It doesn't look like there will be a wave of lefties flooding congress so most of Sanders' agenda won't even come close to coming true. It also won't alienate young voters and whatever independents he convinces to jump on board.
Click to expand...

:lamo Bernie Bros are desperately trying to deny Sanders. They claim Sanders was always lying when he said he is a socialist. Now they are adding he won't be able to do anything anyway as reason to vote for him.

The current pitch for Sanders by his "Bros" is: "Bernie Sanders has always lied about his political leaning and he couldn't get anything he promises done, so vote for Bernie because really he is nothing but the status quo."
 
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Hawkeye10 said:
The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
Click to expand...

I want Bernie to be the nominee. It will reveal the Democrats for who and what they have become.
 
Jay59 said:
Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.​
Click to expand...

There is still a long road to ride before the end is near.
 
Jay59 said:
That the party may already be unable is the point of the thread.
Click to expand...

Have you heard the argument that the party is now so weak that it is effectively controlled the so-called journalists, the activist journalists, the propagandizers, the brain molders?

We have it ass backwards thinking that the media is the PR arm of the party, that the party is in charge, is the claim.
 
joko104 said:
No, Democratic primary voters will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.
Click to expand...

Here is the thing....the modern left does not care at all about rules anymore, the only thing they care about is power, so at the convention they will do what ever they want to do, what ever they thing they need to do, in the mission to take out Hitler 2.0.

Remember that Utopia Builders with the fever this bad almost always get to actually killing those who get in the way of their fantasyland.

Putting the person that they want into nomination regardless of votes and regardless of rules is small potatoes.
 
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Hawkeye10 said:
The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
Click to expand...

They have changed the convention rules in the middle of the primaries before, to insure he couldn't win.
 
joko104 said:
Sanders barely got 1/4th of the Democratic primary vote in New Hampshire. His vote dropped to far less than half his vote total in 2016. Sanders is just a self serving spoiler for Trump again.
Click to expand...

I thought it was 26%.

Just the same, he came in first place among five leading candidates.
 
Lord of Planar said:
They have changed the convention rules in the middle of the primaries before, to insure he couldn't win.
Click to expand...

I read they are discussing doing this now - by reclaiming more delegates to be super delegates.
 
Lord of Planar said:
I thought it was 26%.

Just the same, he came in first place among five leading candidates.
Click to expand...

With proportional allocation of delegates - not even counting super delegates (party officials and officeholders) - 26% is a brokered convention. The change to proportional delegates was to stop Sanders. It is that simple.
 
Lord of Planar said:
They have changed the convention rules in the middle of the primaries before, to insure he couldn't win.
Click to expand...

Plus any party that would be so unamerican as to run a Presidential Coronation to replace the primary that they are supposed to be doing will do practically anything, and that was the plan, Bernie was just supposed to be a novelty act giving an economic speech that almost no one would care about....... they never figured that he mattered.

Then of course we just watched the Stalinist so-called impeachment that the House D's did, another unamerican act.
 
joko104 said:
I read they are discussing doing this now - by reclaiming more delegates to be super delegates.
Click to expand...

And they call republicans corrupt.

They need to clean their own glass house before throwing stones.
 
Hawkeye10 said:
Plus any party that would be so unamerican as to run a Presidential Coronation to replace the primary that they are supposed to be doing will do practically anything, and that was the plan, Bernie was just supposed to be a novelty act giving an economic speech that almost no one would care about....... they never figured that he mattered.

Then of course we just watched the Stalinist so-called impeachment that the House D's did, another unamerican act.
Click to expand...

They keep trampling on the flag. When are more of their voters going to see this?
 
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