Page 2 of 10 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast
Results 11 to 20 of 91

Thread: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely

  1. #11
    Guru

    Join Date
    Oct 2017
    Last Seen
    Today @ 10:19 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    4,321

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Jay59 View Post
    Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
    Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

    But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that I’m happy to vouch for:

    Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
    Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority — which could potentially lead to a contested convention — is high and increasing.
    Sanders has 21 out of 1991 delegates needed to win. It's still very early in the race. We'll have a much clearer picture after Super Tuesday, when the field is also likely to consolidate.

    Since the Democrat party doesn't use the winner take all system, it's going to be very difficult for any of the candidates to win knock out blow based on getting a plurality in a few states. This was a big part of Trump's victory when he was not the favorite of Most Republicans.

    Personally, I don't see supporters for the non-sanders candidates shifting to Sanders as they drop out. Buttigieg focused his campaign on the first few states, and he's not likely to finish as strongly down the road in other states. All the non 'feel the Bern' voters are going to line up around whichever of the three senators doesn't drop out.

  2. #12
    Sage
    Erod's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    North Texas
    Last Seen
    Today @ 10:45 AM
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    15,008

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by joko104 View Post
    Sanders barely got 1/4th of the Democratic primary vote in New Hampshire. His vote dropped to far less than half his vote total in 2016. Sanders is just a self serving spoiler for Trump again.
    If Buttigieg and Klobachar didn't split the moderate vote, Bernie wouldn't have won New Hampshire, and his campaign would be about over.

  3. #13
    Sensational
    joko104's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Location
    Paradise
    Last Seen
    Today @ 11:01 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Undisclosed
    Posts
    48,017
    Blog Entries
    3

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by MrPeanut View Post
    It would probably be smarter for them to let him win with a simple majority of votes. It doesn't look like there will be a wave of lefties flooding congress so most of Sanders' agenda won't even come close to coming true. It also won't alienate young voters and whatever independents he convinces to jump on board.
    Bernie Bros are desperately trying to deny Sanders. They claim Sanders was always lying when he said he is a socialist. Now they are adding he won't be able to do anything anyway as reason to vote for him.

    The current pitch for Sanders by his "Bros" is: "Bernie Sanders has always lied about his political leaning and he couldn't get anything he promises done, so vote for Bernie because really he is nothing but the status quo."
    Last edited by joko104; 02-13-20 at 01:39 PM.
    Don't fall for the paranoia of Progressive Democratic Prophets Of Doom. Time has always proven they are wrong.

  4. #14
    Guru Paradoxical's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:11 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    4,803

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

    I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
    I want Bernie to be the nominee. It will reveal the Democrats for who and what they have become.
    When the debate is lost, the loser resorts to slander.

    Funniest joke of the decade from Calamity:
    Per John Brennan: Trump most ignorant, incompetent individual to hold presidency

  5. #15
    Guru
    Moonglow's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2015
    Location
    foothills of destiny
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:23 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Liberal
    Posts
    3,020

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Jay59 View Post
    Nate Silver weighed in on a favorite subject, brokered conventions.
    Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Likely | FiveThirtyEight

    But the two takeaways that the model feels most confident about are two things that Im happy to vouch for:

    Model takeaway No. 1: Sen. Bernie Sanders is the most likely person to win the Democratic nomination.
    Model takeaway No. 2: The chance of there being no pledged delegate majority which could potentially lead to a contested convention is high and increasing.
    There is still a long road to ride before the end is near.
    To live is to suffer~Fritz Lang

  6. #16
    Guru
    Moonglow's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2015
    Location
    foothills of destiny
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:23 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Liberal
    Posts
    3,020

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Paradoxical View Post
    I want Bernie to be the nominee. It will reveal the Democrats for who and what they have become.
    Same with Trump supporters, siege heil mein freund...
    To live is to suffer~Fritz Lang

  7. #17
    Temp Suspended Hawkeye10's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2015
    Location
    Olympia Wa
    Last Seen
    02-24-20 @ 03:15 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    43,843

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Jay59 View Post
    That the party may already be unable is the point of the thread.
    Have you heard the argument that the party is now so weak that it is effectively controlled the so-called journalists, the activist journalists, the propagandizers, the brain molders?

    We have it ass backwards thinking that the media is the PR arm of the party, that the party is in charge, is the claim.

  8. #18
    Temp Suspended Hawkeye10's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2015
    Location
    Olympia Wa
    Last Seen
    02-24-20 @ 03:15 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    43,843

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by joko104 View Post
    No, Democratic primary voters will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.
    Here is the thing....the modern left does not care at all about rules anymore, the only thing they care about is power, so at the convention they will do what ever they want to do, what ever they thing they need to do, in the mission to take out Hitler 2.0.

    Remember that Utopia Builders with the fever this bad almost always get to actually killing those who get in the way of their fantasyland.

    Putting the person that they want into nomination regardless of votes and regardless of rules is small potatoes.
    Last edited by Hawkeye10; 02-14-20 at 02:07 AM.

  9. #19
    Sage
    Lord of Planar's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    Portlandia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:23 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Libertarian - Right
    Posts
    37,128

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by Hawkeye10 View Post
    The Party will never let Sanders be the nominee if they can help it.

    I consider it my duty to make sure that they cant.
    They have changed the convention rules in the middle of the primaries before, to insure he couldn't win.
    The left says the right is full of racists and bigots and have no tolerance. Nobody from the right organizes interference with gay pride parades, or other leftist events. The left however always has a group interfering with events organized by the right. Who are the tolerant ones I ask? Most certainly not the left.

  10. #20
    Sage
    Lord of Planar's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    Portlandia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 12:23 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Libertarian - Right
    Posts
    37,128

    Re: Sanders Is The Front-Runner After New Hampshire, And A Contested Convention Has Become More Like

    Quote Originally Posted by joko104 View Post
    Sanders barely got 1/4th of the Democratic primary vote in New Hampshire. His vote dropped to far less than half his vote total in 2016. Sanders is just a self serving spoiler for Trump again.
    I thought it was 26%.

    Just the same, he came in first place among five leading candidates.
    The left says the right is full of racists and bigots and have no tolerance. Nobody from the right organizes interference with gay pride parades, or other leftist events. The left however always has a group interfering with events organized by the right. Who are the tolerant ones I ask? Most certainly not the left.

Page 2 of 10 FirstFirst 1234 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •