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Trump has 62 percent disapproval rating in new AP poll

NeverTrump said:
This is a downward trend...538's aggregate has never been anywhere near a disapproval of 62%. (I believe their highest has been 57.5%) This is off the charts bad for Trump, if other quality polls start indicating he's doing this poorly.

His increased craziness of the last couple of weeks (response to the mass shootings, Greenland, declaring himself the 2nd coming of God, King of Israel, Chosen One, wanting to give himself the Medal of Honor, etc.), every major policy being a complete laughingstock failure, trade war killing his farmer base, and the yield inversion signaling of recession, has already knocked him down.

Once the recession gets into full swing, and a primary opponent starts bashing him every chance they get (Amash, Walsh, a few others considering getting in), I just don't see how he improves his numbers. And again or how attacking said people is a good re-election strategy.



Trump has 62 percent disapproval rating in new AP poll
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And his approval rating is down to 36%. He's such a good guy, I wonder why he can't catch a break? :roll:

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Slides to 36%, The Lowest It's Been Since January

Amid numerous political scandals and an unfurling trade war with China that shows little sign of de-escalation, President Donald Trump lacks the broad confidence of the American public, according to a new AP-NORC poll.

Sixty-two percent of U.S. adults disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job, compared with 36 percent who approve. Predictably, the partisan divides swing favorably or unfavorably towards the president depending on political affiliation. But, notably, the coveted class of self-identified political independents remains opposed to the president, with 65 percent disapproving of the way he is handling his job.
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tres borrachos said:
I heard on Morning Joe that no President in history who has never exceeded 50% approval rating (which is what has been happening with Trump) got re-elected.

Let's hope the trend continues.
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Yep, I saw that snippet on youtube this morning. The sad thing is trump's base will tolerate any garbage that comes out of his mouth. Democrats are not so forgiving for their candidates and there's a lot of time before next November :(
 
Before the last election there were nearly 1000 new threads of polls claiming Trump is losing and can not possibly. They were ALL wrong.

So the only thing for Democrats to do for the 2020 election is to start 2000 new threads of polls claiming Trump can't win. :lol:
 
lurchadams said:
Yep, or make another racist tween to rally his base!
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Without endless pursuit of racist social divisions and sucking on the dicks of the super rich of the world, the Democratic Party has nothing.
 
joko104 said:
Without endless pursuit of racist social divisions and sucking on the dicks of the super rich of the world, the Democratic Party has nothing.
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Wow, you are a poet! I'm thinking of making your post my signature :roll:
 
lurchadams said:
Wow, you are a poet! I'm thinking of making your post my signature :roll:
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I came back to work on that message a bit - to take it down to PG13 - but got back to it too late. :2razz:
 
As unpopular as Trump may be, leave it to the Democrats to nominate someone even more unpopular.
 
joko104 said:
Before the last election there were nearly 1000 new threads of polls claiming Trump is losing and can not possibly. They were ALL wrong.

So the only thing for Democrats to do for the 2020 election is to start 2000 new threads of polls claiming Trump can't win. :lol:
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Yip not a single poll took Russia Into consideration as a factor, and we have never had a foreign elected illegitimate president before...
 
NeverTrump said:
This is a downward trend...538's aggregate has never been anywhere near a disapproval of 62%. (I believe their highest has been 57.5%) This is off the charts bad for Trump, if other quality polls start indicating he's doing this poorly.

His increased craziness of the last couple of weeks (response to the mass shootings, Greenland, declaring himself the 2nd coming of God, King of Israel, Chosen One, wanting to give himself the Medal of Honor, etc.), every major policy being a complete laughingstock failure, trade war killing his farmer base, and the yield inversion signaling of recession, has already knocked him down. Once the recession gets into full swing, and a primary opponent starts bashing him every chance they get (Amash, Walsh, a few others considering getting in), I just don't see how he improves his numbers. And again or how attacking said people is a good re-election strategy.
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It's interesting that his poll, partly because it will not let you examine the details, and partly because it is not on 538's list or RCP's list.
 
Mycroft said:
That's because most of the polls before the 2016 election were bogus, too.
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Bogus?

despite the hue and cry, the national polls were actually a touch better in 2016 than in 2012. Four years ago, the final RCP National Average gave President Obama a 0.7-point lead; he won by 3.9 points, for an error of 3.2 points. The final RCP Four-Way National Poll Average showed Hillary Clinton winning the popular vote by 3.3 points. She will probably win the popular vote by a point or so, which would equate to an error of around two points.

What about the swing state polls? Again, a close look shows that the 2016 polls performed just as well as they did in 2012 – no better and no worse. You can see this by calculating the “mean absolute error,” which measures how far away the polls were from the actual result, regardless of in which direction they were wrong.

It Wasn't the Polls That Missed, It Was the Pundits | RealClearPolitics
 
SDET said:
As unpopular as Trump may be, leave it to the Democrats to nominate someone even more unpopular.
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The Dems nominated someone?
 
NeverTrump said:
This is a downward trend...538's aggregate has never been anywhere near a disapproval of 62%. (I believe their highest has been 57.5%) This is off the charts bad for Trump, if other quality polls start indicating he's doing this poorly.

His increased craziness of the last couple of weeks (response to the mass shootings, Greenland, declaring himself the 2nd coming of God, King of Israel, Chosen One, wanting to give himself the Medal of Honor, etc.), every major policy being a complete laughingstock failure, trade war killing his farmer base, and the yield inversion signaling of recession, has already knocked him down.

Once the recession gets into full swing, and a primary opponent starts bashing him every chance they get (Amash, Walsh, a few others considering getting in), I just don't see how he improves his numbers. And again or how attacking said people is a good re-election strategy.



Trump has 62 percent disapproval rating in new AP poll
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I'm kind of wondering how long some people have to look to find a poll that agrees with their agenda. Seeing as what kind of politicized atmosphere we're in, I'm not surprised that it can just be shoved into someone's face from time to time.

We've seen him polling anywhere from 32% all the way to 52% given any different lean in the people committing the poll.

I'd like to see more information about the polling process, because when all of that information isn't put front and center. It makes me rather skeptical.
 
MTAtech said:
So, your argument is that the people whose expertise is polling, are making a methodology mistake?
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I think their method is clearly to sell a story for profit to a willing target audience who suffers from confirmation bias.

So I'm sure in their eyes, their methodology is spot on.
 
it will hit 100% by January and remain that way til the election.

polls are BS

smarten up

:slapme:
 
Geoist said:
Bogus?

despite the hue and cry, the national polls were actually a touch better in 2016 than in 2012. Four years ago, the final RCP National Average gave President Obama a 0.7-point lead; he won by 3.9 points, for an error of 3.2 points. The final RCP Four-Way National Poll Average showed Hillary Clinton winning the popular vote by 3.3 points. She will probably win the popular vote by a point or so, which would equate to an error of around two points.

What about the swing state polls? Again, a close look shows that the 2016 polls performed just as well as they did in 2012 – no better and no worse. You can see this by calculating the “mean absolute error,” which measures how far away the polls were from the actual result, regardless of in which direction they were wrong.

It Wasn't the Polls That Missed, It Was the Pundits | RealClearPolitics
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The polls in 2016...as they are now...are not designed to be right or wrong. They are designed to manipulate. That's why I call them bogus.
 
MTAtech said:
So, your argument is that the people whose expertise is polling, are making a methodology mistake?
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No...they aren't making any mistakes. They are doing this deliberately.
 
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