Susan Rice the former national security adviser to Potus Obama has all but announced her candidacy against Collins.
Physician Cathleen London has made clear she will run as a Democrat against Collins. Dr. London's background is similar to that of Collins, i.e., each has a history in Massachusetts and Republican party families. Collins had in fact been Massachusetts deputy state treasurer until Collins ran unsuccessfully for governor of Maine in 1994.
Maine House Speaker Sara Gideon
Democrat Sara Gideon, speaker of the Maine House, announced on Twitter that after November she would seriously consider running against Collins. Many believe Gideon's long and strong advocacy of Medicare in Obamacare pushed Collins to vote for preserving it in the 2017 Senate vote.
In the average of seven special elections before this one, Democrats were outperforming their partisan baseline by 16 percentage points. In Pennsylvania 18, Lamb, the Democrat, outperformed it by 22 percentage points -- a little better than average and essentially matching what they did in the Kansas 4 special election in April 2017.
YEAR DATE SEAT: DEM. SWING
2017:
April 4 California 34th +18 Point swing for the Democratic party
April 11 Kansas +23 Point swing for the Democratic party
May 25 Montana at large +16 D
June 20 Georgia 6th +6 D
June 20 South Carolina 5th +16 D
Nov. 7 Utah 3rd +3 D
Dec. 12 Alabama Senate +31 D
2018:
March 13 Pennsylvania 18th +22 D
April 24 Arizona 8th +20 D
June 30 Texas 27th +5 D
Aug. 7 Ohio 12th +18 D
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...to-know-about-the-ohio-12th-special-election/
Even if Trump-Kavanaugh Ma and Pa Kettle voters might knock 5 percent off the Democratic party swing the Republican candidates will still be hard pressed to return to Washington as the House majority. Trump thrives on voter hate and resentment, not gratitude and kisses for Kavanaugh or more Kavanaughs to follow.
Main Senator Angus King is securely up for reelection in November. King is the independent who caucuses with Senate Democrats and who tallied a record landslide in Main electoral politics by winning huge for a second term as governor. Sen. King provides a stark contrast to Collins and the Maine Ma and Pa Republican base of voters Collins appealed to with her vote for the Brettster Kavanaugh together with the traditional Mainiac Republican Yalie Greek brethren in beer and barf.
Maine's Ma and Pa Kettle Republicans elected the arsehole Republican Gov. Paul LePage who makes Trump look relatively stable and rational. Collins is herself a lifer on the public payroll to include GW's regional director of the SBA and the Washington staff of Sen. Bill Cohen. Collins lumberer father and her mother took turns being mayor eternal of Caribou. So Susan Collins learned early on how to soak and sap the taxpayer.
Republican Maniac Hero
Maine Republican Governor and Petty Bourgeois Paul LePage