Not too surprising. China has been pushing economic influence in Africa and beyond since the 1990s.
- After the Cold War, Clinton's foreign policy centered around humanitarian efforts in a world where Bush Sr.'s policy engaged with world organizations. This was largely over issues in Europe while he ignored genocides in Africa. In the mean time, the IMF began setting new conditions for loans during this "humanitarian" period. They refused to give loans to certain African governments unless they made socioeconomic and political changes to fit the requirements. This was based on American and European insistence. Well, China rolled in and started writing checks with no conditions. It proved that, while basing a foreign policy more on Liberal ideology is smart long-term policy, it cannot be blind to the realpolitik of the moment.
- Bush was continuing Clinton's policy before 9/11, but without the insistence that a dude in a cave could ever be a threat. With 9/11 in the rear view, Bush's more neo-Conservative foreign policy largely centered on terrorism and Islamism in Southeast Asia, South Asia, and only northern Africa. It was not just about Afghanistan and Iraq. Economic and military aid began to involve subtle demands for sociopolitical change (the more enduring effort against Islamist terrorism). This can be measured by looking at newly created laws here and there across the region, but Bush couldn't make his argument because he wasn't smart enough.
- Obama's "wait-and-see" foreign policy merely addressed issues as they arose. It was almost entirely reactive in nature, especially due to the Arab Spring. Obama continued most of Bush's policy towards governments, but was a complete failure in terms of politically and economically supporting new democracies. He greatly increased UAV targeting across the region, but largely refrained from getting off the fence in regards to what may or may not happen in each individual country as dictators (our allies) either fell or hung on. This left us decisively weak and without conviction to stand for our own professed principles or expressed regional goals in a post support-your-friendly-dictator world. Obama's policy was neither Liberal, nor Neo-Con. It was as neutral as our policy was before World War I.
- Trump's foreign policy is simply still undefined, but embraces Obama's "wait-and-see" policy more haphazardly as he flips and flops all over the place, which leaves us even more unpredictable and unreliable. Now, even our allies stand next to our enemies to condemn us.
In the mean time, China had been bankrolling African governments this whole time and gaining more and more influence. Russia constantly snubbed the U.S. over Ukraine and Syria. Ukraine proved that we have limits and will not move to defend even an ally if Russia invades. Of course, this wasn't a great move on Russia's part either because Crimea has proven to be a great economic and political pain to Putin; and the rest of Ukraine was pushed to the West now, despite the West proving useless to them. With Russia still proving to strongly embrace the strong man, Obama was inconsistent in Syria, supported the opposition poorly, and made declarations against war crimes as Putin flipped us off. Syria belongs to Russia. And with Trump's BS comments and declarations against China, China has merely pushed forward to join Russia in the Syrian victory over the U.S. and seek to widen its African influence into the Middle East.
"America First" is a welcome mat for others to assume our leadership positions. We have been backing away from "greatness" since Clinton and fumbling about inconsistently ever since because Conservatives and Liberals would rather have their heads up their political asses than understand the world they live in. Without the unifying fight against communism of the Cold War, we have been clueless as to our purpose. Trump is tripling down. Empty and largely pointless rocket attacks on Syria for chemical weapons use as Russia wins Syria? Absurd military threats to a nuclear armed North Korea? "Taking names" over Jerusalem? We have made ourselves a laughing stock and presented ourselves as an empty shell.
And as history has proven twice, it is not America that will start a World War. It's our absence.