AP Poll: Obama Disapproval Rises to 59 Percent, A New High.....

MMC · Mar 27, 2014

Obama is starting to really take a dive. Even the World Opinion of the US under Obama. This is good news for the Election as the Dems could end up losing far more than they thought. Obama appears totally out of touch.....again! What say ye?

Nearly six in ten Americans now disapprove of President Obama's job performance, with just 41 percent giving him a thumbs-up. That's the top line result of a new Associated Press national poll, representing Obama's worst performance in the history of the survey. Obama didn't fare any better on most issues, earning poor marks on his handling of the economy (39/59), the federal budget (36/63), immigration (38/61), and foreign affairs (40/58). The survey reveals a sharp deterioration in the president's personal favorability, which dropped to (42/51). Bizarrely, the AP appears to not have asked any questions about Obamacare, despite any number of news hooks -- including the impending (but extended) enrollment deadline.

CBS News' latest poll did ask about Obamacare, however. It showed public approval of the health law underwater (41/53), the exact same margin as this week's brutal Morning Consult poll. That survey noted that undecided likely 2014 voters disapprove of Obamacare by a 40 point margin. Obama is upside-down on healthcare approval (40/56) in the CBS poll, in which respondents said the current healthcare sign-up process is going poorly by nearly a two-to-one margin. A fresh Fox News poll also contains unwelcome news for the White House, with Obama's overall job approval sucking wind at (40/53).

A 52 percent majority of respondents say the US has gotten "weaker and less powerful" over the last five years, with only 17 percent stating that we've become "stronger and more powerful." The CBS poll also showed a 43 percent plurality agreeing that world opinion of the US has deteriorated under President Obama, with less than a third saying it's improved.....snip~

AP Poll: Obama Disapproval Rises to 59 Percent, A New High - Guy Benson

Ockham · Mar 27, 2014

It's no surprise to me that Obama's unfavorables are increasing. When Pelosi and other dimwits are turning up their rhetoric for November damage control, it's desperation time. I think we'll see more of a free fall in the summer when advertising will ramp up against Democrats.

humbolt · Mar 27, 2014

Ockham said:
It's no surprise to me that Obama's unfavorables are increasing. When Pelosi and other dimwits are turning up their rhetoric for November damage control, it's desperation time. I think we'll see more of a free fall in the summer when advertising will ramp up against Democrats.

You are completely correct. Up until now, the political right has pretty much been standing by and watching the left self-immolate.

MMC · Mar 27, 2014

Ockham said:
It's no surprise to me that Obama's unfavorables are increasing. When Pelosi and other dimwits are turning up their rhetoric for November damage control, it's desperation time. I think we'll see more of a free fall in the summer when advertising will ramp up against Democrats.

Heya OckHam :2wave: yeah, I just saw that Reid has now said he wasn't attacking Republicans......Did Harry get lost at the Hendersons?

Ockham · Mar 27, 2014

MMC said:
Heya OckHam :2wave: yeah, I just saw that Reid has now said he wasn't attacking Republicans......Did Harry get lost at the Hendersons?

It may be time for Harry to see his doctor. I'm questioning his mental capacity.

MMC · Mar 27, 2014

Ockham said:
It may be time for Harry to see his doctor. I'm questioning his mental capacity.

Yeah, I figure once Pero gets in he will check it out. He has been staying on top of polls and Senate races. I have been giving him something to check out too. Still the more and more Obama plummets. The more some of those House Democrats will start pulling away. Especially if they see stuff like now......Where it is Obama himself that is causing the drop.

Perotista · Mar 27, 2014

MMC said:
Obama is starting to really take a dive. Even the World Opinion of the US under Obama. This is good news for the Election as the Dems could end up losing far more than they thought. Obama appears totally out of touch.....again! What say ye?

Nearly six in ten Americans now disapprove of President Obama's job performance, with just 41 percent giving him a thumbs-up. That's the top line result of a new Associated Press national poll, representing Obama's worst performance in the history of the survey. Obama didn't fare any better on most issues, earning poor marks on his handling of the economy (39/59), the federal budget (36/63), immigration (38/61), and foreign affairs (40/58). The survey reveals a sharp deterioration in the president's personal favorability, which dropped to (42/51). Bizarrely, the AP appears to not have asked any questions about Obamacare, despite any number of news hooks -- including the impending (but extended) enrollment deadline.

CBS News' latest poll did ask about Obamacare, however. It showed public approval of the health law underwater (41/53), the exact same margin as this week's brutal Morning Consult poll. That survey noted that undecided likely 2014 voters disapprove of Obamacare by a 40 point margin. Obama is upside-down on healthcare approval (40/56) in the CBS poll, in which respondents said the current healthcare sign-up process is going poorly by nearly a two-to-one margin. A fresh Fox News poll also contains unwelcome news for the White House, with Obama's overall job approval sucking wind at (40/53).

A 52 percent majority of respondents say the US has gotten "weaker and less powerful" over the last five years, with only 17 percent stating that we've become "stronger and more powerful." The CBS poll also showed a 43 percent plurality agreeing that world opinion of the US has deteriorated under President Obama, with less than a third saying it's improved.....snip~

AP Poll: Obama Disapproval Rises to 59 Percent, A New High - Guy Benson

Here is what RCP has.

Overall approval rating:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval

on the Economy:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval - Economy

On foreign policy:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval - Foreign Policy

And the health care for/against polls:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Public Approval of Health Care Law

Each link has six or more polls. So let whomever make up their own minds as to which polls they want to take as fact. As I stated before, I like the RCP averaging. A skewed poll is averaged into the mix and the results are about as pure as one can get.

US Conservative · Mar 27, 2014

MMC said:
Obama is starting to really take a dive. Even the World Opinion of the US under Obama. This is good news for the Election as the Dems could end up losing far more than they thought. Obama appears totally out of touch.....again! What say ye?

Nearly six in ten Americans now disapprove of President Obama's job performance, with just 41 percent giving him a thumbs-up. That's the top line result of a new Associated Press national poll, representing Obama's worst performance in the history of the survey. Obama didn't fare any better on most issues, earning poor marks on his handling of the economy (39/59), the federal budget (36/63), immigration (38/61), and foreign affairs (40/58). The survey reveals a sharp deterioration in the president's personal favorability, which dropped to (42/51). Bizarrely, the AP appears to not have asked any questions about Obamacare, despite any number of news hooks -- including the impending (but extended) enrollment deadline.

CBS News' latest poll did ask about Obamacare, however. It showed public approval of the health law underwater (41/53), the exact same margin as this week's brutal Morning Consult poll. That survey noted that undecided likely 2014 voters disapprove of Obamacare by a 40 point margin. Obama is upside-down on healthcare approval (40/56) in the CBS poll, in which respondents said the current healthcare sign-up process is going poorly by nearly a two-to-one margin. A fresh Fox News poll also contains unwelcome news for the White House, with Obama's overall job approval sucking wind at (40/53).

A 52 percent majority of respondents say the US has gotten "weaker and less powerful" over the last five years, with only 17 percent stating that we've become "stronger and more powerful." The CBS poll also showed a 43 percent plurality agreeing that world opinion of the US has deteriorated under President Obama, with less than a third saying it's improved.....snip~

AP Poll: Obama Disapproval Rises to 59 Percent, A New High - Guy Benson

This must be what Obama meant by hope and change. Historically an unpopular president is a liability in mid term elections, this november is really going to sting for dems.

Perotista · Mar 27, 2014

MMC said:
Yeah, I figure once Pero gets in he will check it out. He has been staying on top of polls and Senate races. I have been giving him something to check out too. Still the more and more Obama plummets. The more some of those House Democrats will start pulling away. Especially if they see stuff like now......Where it is Obama himself that is causing the drop.

1 FIVE ADDITIONAL CRITERIA FOR PREDICTION NOVEMBERS ELECTIONS BESIDES THE POLLS

President Obama’s approval rating of below 45%: The president’s low water mark of 39% was hit in December of 2013. Since then his approval rating has rose slowly to 44% which was hit the last week of February. But as of today the president is at 42.6. The president’s approval rating is always a good indication on how well his party will do in the upcoming election. Anything at or below 45% usually means the party out of power will have huge gains in the upcoming election.

ACA gap of 15 points in the against/oppose side over the favor/pro ACA side: Today the gap is 13.1. This is not quite where it should be to indicate any huge gains. But it is close enough to say the GOP will increase what they have in both chambers of congress.

Generic congressional poll, the Republicans must have a lead over the Democrats of 5 points or better: Today the Democrats lead by 2 points 42-40%. This indicator pretty much says we will have a status quo election where either party can gain or lose 5 seats in the house. It contradicts the first two indicators.

Party Favorability/unfavorability, the Democrats must be seen in a worst light than the Republicans. But today with all voters the Republicans have a 33% favorable rating vs a 61% unfavorable. The Democrats have a 42% favorable/53% unfavorable which seems to tilt the November election in the Democrats favor. But more important than all voter is how independent voters see the two parties. Independents make up 45% of the electorate. Among Independent voters the Republicans stack up at 31/60% vs. the Democrats at 30/61%. This gives us our second status quo indication for the upcoming election.

Party affiliation/identification Republicans must have a 5 point lead as they did in 2010 when counting those who identify with each party plus those independents which lean towards each party: Today the Democrats have a 5 point advantage, down two points from last month.

Identify as Democrats 30%
Independents lean Democrat 17% Total 47%
Identify as Republicans 25%
Independents lean Republican 17% Total 42%

Conclusion: with only 2 of the 5 criteria in place for the Republicans, 2 favoring a status quo election and the last one favoring the Democrats, do not expect another 2010 or whole sale changes in congress. Look for the Republicans to gain 3-4 senate seats, not enough to gain control. While the House stays pretty much with the same numbers it has today, 234 Republican, 201 Democrat.

MMC · Mar 27, 2014

Perotista said:
1 FIVE ADDITIONAL CRITERIA FOR PREDICTION NOVEMBERS ELECTIONS BESIDES THE POLLS

President Obama’s approval rating of below 45%: The president’s low water mark of 39% was hit in December of 2013. Since then his approval rating has rose slowly to 44% which was hit the last week of February. But as of today the president is at 42.6. The president’s approval rating is always a good indication on how well his party will do in the upcoming election. Anything at or below 45% usually means the party out of power will have huge gains in the upcoming election.

ACA gap of 15 points in the against/oppose side over the favor/pro ACA side: Today the gap is 13.1. This is not quite where it should be to indicate any huge gains. But it is close enough to say the GOP will increase what they have in both chambers of congress.

Generic congressional poll, the Republicans must have a lead over the Democrats of 5 points or better: Today the Democrats lead by 2 points 42-40%. This indicator pretty much says we will have a status quo election where either party can gain or lose 5 seats in the house. It contradicts the first two indicators.

Party Favorability/unfavorability, the Democrats must be seen in a worst light than the Republicans. But today with all voters the Republicans have a 33% favorable rating vs a 61% unfavorable. The Democrats have a 42% favorable/53% unfavorable which seems to tilt the November election in the Democrats favor. But more important than all voter is how independent voters see the two parties. Independents make up 45% of the electorate. Among Independent voters the Republicans stack up at 31/60% vs. the Democrats at 30/61%. This gives us our second status quo indication for the upcoming election.

Party affiliation/identification Republicans must have a 5 point lead as they did in 2010 when counting those who identify with each party plus those independents which lean towards each party: Today the Democrats have a 5 point advantage, down two points from last month.

Identify as Democrats 30%
Independents lean Democrat 17% Total 47%
Identify as Republicans 25%
Independents lean Republican 17% Total 42%

Conclusion: with only 2 of the 5 criteria in place for the Republicans, 2 favoring a status quo election and the last one favoring the Democrats, do not expect another 2010 or whole sale changes in congress. Look for the Republicans to gain 3-4 senate seats, not enough to gain control. While the House stays pretty much with the same numbers it has today, 234 Republican, 201 Democrat.

Heya Pero :2wave: .....you might want to see this. As I think it will help to push some out the door.

Here Are The "Fixes" Democrats Want for Obamacare

Writing in today's POLITICO Magazine, Democratic Senators Heidi Heitkamp, Mary Landrie, Mark Begich, Mark Warner, Angus King and Joe Manchin are outlining some of the ways they think Obamacare can be fixed. Notice how many of these Senators represent red states.

First, we want to give consumers as many choices as possible when it comes to selecting their health plans. By providing a new, lower cost, high deductible option called the Copper Plan (in addition to the existing Platinum, Gold, Silver and Bronze-level options in the marketplace) we will give consumers more control over their own coverage, spur competition and, most importantly, increase affordability.

We also propose directing state insurance regulators to develop models for their states to sell health insurance across state lines. These multi-state models will help us discern the benefits and challenges of selling health insurance in this manner, and determine if it is a means to increasing choice and competition among plans—potentially driving down costs while maintaining quality and value.

Second, to ease the transition for employers, we want to expand the option for voluntary coverage for employers with fewer than 100 employees, about 98 percent of all businesses. This will enable small and mid-sized businesses to make their own choices for their businesses, and employees can shop for coverage on the individual marketplace.

Finally, we simply want to make it easier for individuals and families to access quality health coverage by offering more than one way for individuals to enroll. We seek to provide a permanent path—in addition to HealthCare.gov—for consumers to seamlessly enroll directly through insurers, while improving access for the agents and brokers whom many families and small businesses trust and rely upon for help with these decisions.....snip~

You can read the entire proposal here.....snip~

Here Are The "Fixes" Democrats Want for Obamacare - Katie Pavlich

http://www.debatepolitics.com/break...89610-obamacare-tops-6-million-signups-8.html

Perotista · Mar 27, 2014

MMC said:
Heya Pero :2wave: .....you might want to see this. As I think it will help to push some out the door.

Here Are The "Fixes" Democrats Want for Obamacare

Writing in today's POLITICO Magazine, Democratic Senators Heidi Heitkamp, Mary Landrie, Mark Begich, Mark Warner, Angus King and Joe Manchin are outlining some of the ways they think Obamacare can be fixed. Notice how many of these Senators represent red states.

First, we want to give consumers as many choices as possible when it comes to selecting their health plans. By providing a new, lower cost, high deductible option called the Copper Plan (in addition to the existing Platinum, Gold, Silver and Bronze-level options in the marketplace) we will give consumers more control over their own coverage, spur competition and, most importantly, increase affordability.

We also propose directing state insurance regulators to develop models for their states to sell health insurance across state lines. These multi-state models will help us discern the benefits and challenges of selling health insurance in this manner, and determine if it is a means to increasing choice and competition among plans—potentially driving down costs while maintaining quality and value.

Second, to ease the transition for employers, we want to expand the option for voluntary coverage for employers with fewer than 100 employees, about 98 percent of all businesses. This will enable small and mid-sized businesses to make their own choices for their businesses, and employees can shop for coverage on the individual marketplace.

Finally, we simply want to make it easier for individuals and families to access quality health coverage by offering more than one way for individuals to enroll. We seek to provide a permanent path—in addition to HealthCare.gov—for consumers to seamlessly enroll directly through insurers, while improving access for the agents and brokers whom many families and small businesses trust and rely upon for help with these decisions.....snip~

You can read the entire proposal here.....snip~

Here Are The "Fixes" Democrats Want for Obamacare - Katie Pavlich

http://www.debatepolitics.com/break...89610-obamacare-tops-6-million-signups-8.html

Yeah, but I doubt if old harry Reid will allow it to come to a vote. Of those you mentioned, Landrieu is in trouble, she will probably finish first in November but not get the 50% required and Cassidy will win the runoff in early December giving the GOP Louisiana's seat. Begich is in better shape in Alaska, although his poll numbers has been falling. Manchin, King, Warner, Heitkamp are not up for re-election this cycle. But all 4 are of the more moderate wing of the Democratic Party with Manchin probably approaching an old time conservative.

Other incumbents who voted for the ACA in trouble include Hagan from NC, Pryor from Arkansas. Pryor is probably gone and Hagan has a 50-50 shot of hanging one, only because NC is moving towards becoming more blue.

fmw · Mar 30, 2014

The problem is that to actually fix Obamacare, you have to take it away from the government. Just watch when the members of congress start spending the premiums they collect on pork just like they did social security taxes.

They could have passed interstate insurance selling and medical malpractice litigation reform without creating this monstrosity. They could have solved pre existing conditions with a stroke of the gavel.

tres borrachos · Mar 31, 2014

Perotista said:
Yeah, but I doubt if old harry Reid will allow it to come to a vote. Of those you mentioned, Landrieu is in trouble, she will probably finish first in November but not get the 50% required and Cassidy will win the runoff in early December giving the GOP Louisiana's seat. Begich is in better shape in Alaska, although his poll numbers has been falling. Manchin, King, Warner, Heitkamp are not up for re-election this cycle. But all 4 are of the more moderate wing of the Democratic Party with Manchin probably approaching an old time conservative.

Other incumbents who voted for the ACA in trouble include Hagan from NC, Pryor from Arkansas. Pryor is probably gone and Hagan has a 50-50 shot of hanging one, only because NC is moving towards becoming more blue.

Jeanne Shaheen is the incumbent Dem here in NH. She also has the dubious distinction of being the one who cast the deciding vote on the ACA. She is already in big trouble and Scott Brown hasn't even said if he's challenging her or not.

1750Texan · Mar 31, 2014

humbolt said:
You are completely correct. Up until now, the political right has pretty much been standing by and watching the left self-immolate.

Being a lame duck, Obama has taken that role. If he is the focus of everyone's rage, he can deflect that rage from the party as a whole.

The average American does not equate Obama's shortcommings with the party as a whole. You are correct that the right does.

humbolt · Mar 31, 2014

1750Texan said:
Being a lame duck, Obama has taken that role. If he is the focus of everyone's rage, he can deflect that rage from the party as a whole.

The average American does not equate Obama's shortcommings with the party as a whole. You are correct that the right does.

I agree that having a "D" after one's name is not necessarily a disqualifier, but it's going to be a close call.

1750Texan · Mar 31, 2014

humbolt said:
I agree that having a "D" after one's name is not necessarily a disqualifier, but it's going to be a close call.

it always is...isn't it?

tres borrachos · Mar 31, 2014

1750Texan said:
Being a lame duck, Obama has taken that role. If he is the focus of everyone's rage, he can deflect that rage from the party as a whole.

The average American does not equate Obama's shortcommings with the party as a whole. You are correct that the right does.

You could look at the results of the 2006 midterm elections and make the same assumption about the left, if you're being completely honest.

humbolt · Mar 31, 2014

1750Texan said:
it always is...isn't it?

True. It generally takes a while for a pile of crap to become fertilizer, and the people are impatient.

Perotista · Mar 31, 2014

tres borrachos said:
Jeanne Shaheen is the incumbent Dem here in NH. She also has the dubious distinction of being the one who cast the deciding vote on the ACA. She is already in big trouble and Scott Brown hasn't even said if he's challenging her or not.

I really do not consider New Hampshire as in play, at least at the moment. Take a look at these polls.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate14/

Election 2014: New Hampshire Senate - Rasmussen Reports™

http://bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/Feb-MarchPoll.pdf

Unless something drastically changes, Shaheen is looking pretty safe.

1750Texan · Mar 31, 2014

tres borrachos said:
You could look at the results of the 2006 midterm elections and make the same assumption about the left, if you're being completely honest.

I usually don't make comparisons between elections. I believe each election is distinct. I would feel foolish to compare a past election with one yet to happen...So I don't.

tres borrachos · Mar 31, 2014

1750Texan said:
I usually don't make comparisons between elections. I believe each election is distinct. I would feel foolish to compare a past election with one yet to happen...So I don't.

Each election is distinct. And it's an historic reality that the American people on both sides often equate the sitting President's shortcomings with the party as a whole. So it isn't just a right nor a left issue, and it would be hard to assume based on history that people on the left don't/won't throw in the Democratic party as a whole with Obama's shortcoming.

tres borrachos · Mar 31, 2014

Perotista said:
I really do not consider New Hampshire as in play, at least at the moment. Take a look at these polls.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate14/

Election 2014: New Hampshire Senate - Rasmussen Reports™

http://bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/Feb-MarchPoll.pdf

Unless something drastically changes, Shaheen is looking pretty safe.

I live here and am very active in elections here. Trust me when I tell you, she should have her re-election in the bag at this point given that this state has swung very much off center and to the left.

Brown hasn't run any ads here as he hasn't even declared an intent to run. I personally don't think he'll win even if he does run - his gun stance is offputting to the 2nd Amendment people here.

And the anti-Shaheen ads run here 24/7.

Perotista · Mar 31, 2014

tres borrachos said:
I live here and am very active in elections here. Trust me when I tell you, she should have her re-election in the bag at this point given that this state has swung very much off center and to the left.

Brown hasn't run any ads here as he hasn't even declared an intent to run. I personally don't think he'll win even if he does run - his gun stance is offputting to the 2nd Amendment people here.

And the anti-Shaheen ads run here 24/7.

Yeah, but unless the race tightens at least down to single digits and the polls stop giving Shaheen 50% of the vote I am not going to pay all that much attention to New Hampshire. That doesn't mean it won't happen. Take Iowa for example, back in November the Democrat had a double digit lead, but that dropped down to 3 points in December. But back in February Braley, the Democrat lead climbed back up in the double digits, but today his lead is back down to 3-4 points, within the margin of error.

There will be some states that have wild swings like this, other will remain fairly constant. But for the time being, I would chalk up New Hampshire as a Democratic Hold.

1750Texan · Mar 31, 2014

tres borrachos said:
Each election is distinct. And it's an historic reality that the American people on both sides often equate the sitting President's shortcomings with the party as a whole. So it isn't just a right nor a left issue, and it would be hard to assume based on history that people on the left don't/won't throw in the Democratic party as a whole with Obama's shortcoming.

Firstly, I never intamated that my response was a right vs. left issue...You did. Secondly, I have no way of measuring if the short comings of a President is viewed by the American electorate as a failure of the party as a whole. It may very well be that opposition partisan have that view[as I indicated], but I would have no way of measuring if that is true for the electorate as a whole.

if it is your contention that past elections prove you out...sobeit.

tres borrachos · Mar 31, 2014

1750Texan said:
Firstly, I never intamated that my response was a right vs. left issue...You did. Secondly, I have no way of measuring if the short comings of a President is viewed by the American electorate as a failure of the party as a whole. It may very well be that opposition partisan have that view[as I indicated], but I would have no way of measuring if that is true for the electorate as a whole.

if it is your contention that past elections prove you out...sobeit.

My apologies. I guess your reference to "the right" in that post I copied meant some other "right", not the one that implies a partisan side that isn't the left.

AP Poll: Obama Disapproval Rises to 59 Percent, A New High.....

MMC

Ockham

Noblesse oblige

humbolt

MMC

Ockham

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MMC

Perotista

US Conservative

Perotista

MMC

Perotista

fmw

tres borrachos

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1750Texan

humbolt

1750Texan

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humbolt

Perotista

1750Texan

tres borrachos

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tres borrachos

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Perotista

1750Texan

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