the mainstream media are finally starting to catch up with your prescient prof
House Map - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times
nyt has between 63 and 67 net pickups for the party of lincoln
i can simplify that a smidgen for you, if you'd like
if you give gabby giffords and raul grijalva to the dems (which you should, they're gonna be pretty hard to overtake at this point), ben chandler in KY, dan maffei in NY, gerald connolly in fairfax (north VA, the most important district in the country, the burbs outside the beltway, where incumbent connolly is leading by .4%, 900 votes, heading into a likely recount)---all dem "holds..."
and if you courageously call jim costa in CA's central valley for the cons, he's trailing cherry picker from hanford andy vidak by 2.8% with 100% counted...
then you're looking at a clearer conceit---reds will pickup 64 net, with 3 races still too close for anyone to call:
melissa bean in IL8, where reds lead by half a percent with 99% in
jerry mcnerny, my district, CA11, where hard hitting david harmer is ahead by .1% with 99% accounted
and WA2, where incumbent rick larsen trails upstart john koster, 49.6 to 50.4, with, however, only 64% of the vote vouched for
bottom line---you're looking at a gop PLUS of net 63 or 64 or 65
that includes, by the way, the THREE red to blue backsliders the party in power managed to pilfer---cao in new orleans, carney in castle's delaware, and charles djou in honolulu which my side only bagged in february because boss inouye held his breath until he was blue
fyi