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Hurricane Earl

I lived in Northeast Mass as a kid. Has the entire summer been really hot?

It sure has here in the Midwest!

We had a few weeks in June and July were it was pretty hot. Right now at about 6:30 I would say it is mid 80s.
 
You know, this hurricane could be a godsend if it hits New York. First of all, check out this picture of some powerwashers in Manhattan, and look how clean they are making this building:

hoDRT.jpg


Now imagine it on a large scale with Hurricane Earl. Not bad, eh? But there is a downside to it. Power washing jobs will go out the window, unemployment will increase, and Glenn Beck will blame it on Obama. LOL.
 
My folks are gonna feel it in Nova Scotia. Hope it's not too bad.
 
Heard it re-intensified from a 3 to a 4 during dinner. I hope it strays away from the NY area, but given what is going on, and how often things change, I'll keep myself on my toes just a little bit. College classes start for me on Tuesday [with most of my friends already starting either last week, or the week before, and they, like I, go to SUNY schools. I hope that doesn't get messed up.
 
Heard it re-intensified from a 3 to a 4 during dinner. I hope it strays away from the NY area, but given what is going on, and how often things change, I'll keep myself on my toes just a little bit. College classes start for me on Tuesday [with most of my friends already starting either last week, or the week before, and they, like I, go to SUNY schools. I hope that doesn't get messed up.

Cat 4 is moving into the "GTFO" area, even when not a direct hit. Watch out, east coasters!
 
What type of storm surge is expected in New York and Boston, and how how high would it have to be to be real problem?

I know New York City isn't that elevated.
 
What type of storm surge is expected in New York and Boston, and how how high would it have to be to be real problem?

I know New York City isn't that elevated.

For Boston Harbor they will have to be pretty high because most of it is elevated. Outside of Boston and on the Cape is probably were more water damage will be from the surge.
 
What type of storm surge is expected in New York and Boston, and how how high would it have to be to be real problem?

I know New York City isn't that elevated.




Not much. Rough surf but no real surge. I will be in LBI putting in all my lawn furniture and garbage cans. 45-60mph winds likely. just enough to be annoying.
 
What type of storm surge is expected in New York and Boston, and how how high would it have to be to be real problem?

I know New York City isn't that elevated.

Last time a Hurricane came close to the NYC area, it flooded the entire subway system, and people couldn't use it for a few days. I expect the same to happen here. Depends on how much rain is dumped. Hurricanes do hit New York from time to time. 1898 and 1938 were particularly bad ones there.
 
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What type of storm surge is expected in New York and Boston, and how how high would it have to be to be real problem?

I know New York City isn't that elevated.

Unless Earl cuts to the west of both cities (very unlikely, especially for NYC), neither city will face a significant or worse storm surge.
 
Unless Earl cuts to the west of both cities (very unlikely, especially for NYC), neither city will face a significant or worse storm surge.

I don't think the storm surge is going to be the main problem. On it's present track, the storm will dump enough rain on New York to create some real problems, not deadly, but pretty inconvenient.
 
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I don't think the storm surge is going to be the main problem. On it's present track, the storm will dump enough rain on New York to create some real problems, not deadly, but pretty inconvenient.

Most of the computer guidance keeps the heavy rains to the east of New York City (consensus guidance is < 0.50" rainfall at NYC), though a small shift in the track could still make a difference. Boston looks wetter, but the heaviest rains are likely on the Cape and Nantucket. Hopefully, NYC will get more rain than what is modeled. It has been a very dry summer and any extra rainfall would be welcome.
 
Be careful what you wish for. Stay safe, Y'all. We're watching Gaston which looks like it could track into the Gulf or whack the east coast of Florida.
 
Be careful what you wish for. Stay safe, Y'all. We're watching Gaston which looks like it could track into the Gulf or whack the east coast of Florida.

The Houston-Galveston area will be completely safe. Our first fall cold front of the year is coming through tomorrow. Atlantic hurricanes never hit the western Gulf after the first cold front. However, there is a possibility that the front could stall out in the Gulf, and a tropical system form on the low attached to it. But, as for the whoppers, we are out of the woods this year.
 
Most of the computer guidance keeps the heavy rains to the east of New York City (consensus guidance is < 0.50" rainfall at NYC), though a small shift in the track could still make a difference. Boston looks wetter, but the heaviest rains are likely on the Cape and Nantucket. Hopefully, NYC will get more rain than what is modeled. It has been a very dry summer and any extra rainfall would be welcome.
I remember watching a special saying worst case for NYC is a direct hit tracking through Manhattan island. The surge alone would be a horrendous killer but the special also mentioned a "wind tunnel effect" because of the large number of high rises along the route. Fingers crossed for all in the path though.
 
Has anyone addressed the fact that if Earl stays out over the water and spares the lower east coast (it seems it will as it veering north and east as I type this), it is more likely to be stronger if it makes a direct hit on Cape Cod and New England, and of course farther north Nova Scotia?

I realize the water gets colder as you go north but still...
 
Looks like Washington may be getting a direct hit. All the storm track has to do is shift slightly to the west. I am reminded of a joke:

q. What did the hurricane say to the palm tree?
a. Hang onto your nuts, this ain't no ordinary blow job.

But there are no palm trees in Washington. So, let's remake the joke:

q. What did the hurricane say to the Washington Times building?
a. Hang onto your nuts, this ain't no ordinary blow job.

:mrgreen:

Looks like we're in the clear here in DC. They aren't even predicting we'll get any rain or significant wind anymore.
 
I remember watching a special saying worst case for NYC is a direct hit tracking through Manhattan island. The surge alone would be a horrendous killer but the special also mentioned a "wind tunnel effect" because of the large number of high rises along the route. Fingers crossed for all in the path though.



Fear mongering..... I remember that show and thinking what a load of bull... It was one of those shows that stupid channel shows where they take CGI to show destruction of NYC....


They started doing that I remember back in 2002, rather distastful if you ask me...
 
I don't live on the east coast anymore, but I still keep tabs on these things. Hurricane Earl is Cat 3 right now and might even make Cat 4. It's expected to curve east and not make a direct hit on the coast, but the NC/VA area will still take a beating. Personally, if I lived on the coast I'd be making preparations to leave.

:yawn: Where I live, we get cat 4 and cat 5 typhoons quite frequently... a cat 3 that will not even hit you... what a nonstory...
 
All this hurricane monitoring is horrible big government spending thats not in the constitution!!!!

Actually, this is the kind of stuff that government should be doing, vice spending a trillion dollars on bull**** and inacting job killing executive orders.
 
All this hurricane monitoring is horrible big government spending thats not in the constitution!!!!



Actually I get my maps, charts, and weather from private doppler systems, and gut feelings including simply standing in the ocean. The warm water this year tells me that we may be in for Hurricane skee-ball up the east coast.

NOAA is far too political to be trusted and less accurate than a chimp. Do you really need to take pot shots at us libertarians in every thread?

Hurricane Season 2010 forecast video: Chimp takes on NOAA - National Atlantic Hurricanes | Examiner.com
 
Actually I get my maps, charts, and weather from private doppler systems, and gut feelings including simply standing in the ocean. The warm water this year tells me that we may be in for Hurricane skee-ball up the east coast.

NOAA is far too political to be trusted and less accurate than a chimp. Do you really need to take pot shots at us libertarians in every thread?

Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.
Hurricane Season 2010 forecast video: Chimp takes on NOAA - National Atlantic Hurricanes | Examiner.com

Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.
 
Yeah, no kidding. They get it wrong every year. One year they predict the end of the world and nothing happens, then they predict nothing is going to happen and it's the worst hurricane season in 20 years. 2005 was supposed to be a quiet year.

Indeed.

But coastal weather is a bitch to predict and they do try their best.

It's always nuts when I lived in Nova Scotia to predict weather cause it's a peninsulua as well as the coast, morning it rains... afternoon beating down hot sun... 10 minutes later snow.

LOL! it was nuts.
 
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