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Experts: Iran Will Have Nuke This Year

Actually I asked for why Iran would do it.
And I told you.
Now, you can not like the answer I gave, but you cannot argue that I did not give you an answer, and that said asnwer did not address the question you asked.
 
Actually I asked for why Iran would do it. All you gave was rational for why people don't answer the question. You failed to answer the subject in the question.

Hence why I stated it was futile. Both you and American (among others) won't answer the question. You all assume Iran will, but you always fail to give a reason that is reasonable, historical and factual. Iran will! Why? Iran will?! WHY? IRAN WILL! Why?

That's more or less how it goes.

Why?

Oh, well, I guess we would suspect Iran would do it because that's exactly what Iran has been threatening to do for, I don't know, at least five years now.

Kinda like us recognizing after the fact that Hitler's promises of conquest were not idle and random thoughts.
 
Why?

Oh, well, I guess we would suspect Iran would do it because that's exactly what Iran has been threatening to do for, I don't know, at least five years now.

Kinda like us recognizing after the fact that Hitler's promises of conquest were not idle and random thoughts.
Those that do not learn from history...?
 
Those that do not learn from history...?

Yet, this fool is arguing, "You all assume Iran will, but you always fail to give a reason that is reasonable, historical and factual." :roll:
 
Yet, this fool is arguing, "You all assume Iran will, but you always fail to give a reason that is reasonable, historical and factual." :roll:
The obvious reply:
Ironic, isn't it?
 
Why?

Oh, well, I guess we would suspect Iran would do it because that's exactly what Iran has been threatening to do for, I don't know, at least five years now.

Kinda like us recognizing after the fact that Hitler's promises of conquest were not idle and random thoughts.

Oh wow. You're a great reason why American Public schools have failed. Absolutely no critical reasoning whatsoever.

Care to discuss the words of the previous Iranian president who oversaw an economic boom?

He called Jews equal citizens in Iran. Wow.

Anyone who knows anything (hint: not you) that the president of Iran is engaging in political unity 101: blame an outside aggressor for the problems of a nation. We did not see this with the last Iranian president as he derived his legitimacy from economic prosperity. We didn't even see these phrases come from the current Iranian president until it was clear that the Iranian economy was in the pits.

If we study the Koreas, there is a clear distinction when South Korea stops accusing and threatening North Korea: it's economy took off and legitimacy was derived from economy prosperity. North Korea just made threatening statements, guess how well their economy is doing.

Do you take everything at face value? :rofl
 
Yet, this fool is arguing, "You all assume Iran will, but you always fail to give a reason that is reasonable, historical and factual." :roll:

Find me an example where the Mullahs risked their own power and lives instead of sending someone else to die for them.

I've asked this question before many times and no one wants to answer it.

And we have another season ticket holder on the uber-fail train.
 
Oh wow. You're a great reason why American Public schools have failed.
Funny -- I was thinking the same thing.
To wit:

Care to discuss the words of the previous Iranian president who oversaw an economic boom? He called Jews equal citizens in Iran. Wow.
Objection: Relevance?
 
Those that do not learn from history...?

LOL. That is ironic given how neither of you have any understanding of political unity theory from the past 2,000 years yet are attacking me on the basis of 5 years of statements from a guy who changed his tactics when he couldn't save his economy.

Huh. :2wave:
 
LOL. That is ironic given how neither of you have any understanding of political unity theory from the past 2,000 years yet are attacking me on the basis of 5 years of statements from a guy who changed his tactics when he couldn't save his economy.
:roll:
Gotta say one thing:
You chose well when picking a name.
 
Objection: Relevance?

Are you SERIOUS?

You don't understand the relevance at all?

A government that derived its legitimacy from economic prosperity was very much more tolerant, open and non-threatening to its neighbors. The death to Jews to "Equal Citizens" say huge amounts about what economic prosperity can do to a government's outlook on the world.

Oh my. Gotta wonder how many college graduates are on this forum....
 
:roll:
Gotta say one thing:
You chose well when picking a name.

Actually it does a great job on showing who's mature enough to discuss the subject and who's the immature weakling who often resorts to attacking someone on their basis of their user name to compensate for their utter lack of any debate skills.

Clearly, the later is you.
 
Oh wow. You're a great reason why American Public schools have failed. Absolutely no critical reasoning whatsoever.

So, I suspect that you will demonstrate my lack of such skills?

Nope.

Conclusion: You're flailing.

Care to discuss the words of the previous Iranian president who oversaw an economic boom?

No. It doesn't address what has been stated by all sorts of Iranian's, from president's to the ruling clerics, regarding annihilating Israel.

Anyone who knows anything (hint: not you) that the president of Iran is engaging in political unity 101: blame an outside aggressor for the problems of a nation. We did not see this with the last Iranian president as he derived his legitimacy from economic prosperity. We didn't even see these phrases come from the current Iranian president until it was clear that the Iranian economy was in the pits.

Oh, I see...we just ignore their plain language and read into "annihilate Israel" that some Iranian leader is just playing the rhetoric game, huh?

Like Obama did when he promised to unilaterally re-open Nafta while backdooring the Canadians promising them that such declarations were rhetorical campaign devices?

I'm disappointed that you grant state supporters of terrorism such benefit of the doubt.

If we study the Koreas, there is a clear distinction when South Korea stops accusing and threatening North Korea: it's economy took off and legitimacy was derived from economy prosperity. North Korea just made threatening statements, guess how well their economy is doing.

Right, South Korea booms because it stops threatening the Norks. Any empirical data proving this or are you working off of pure coincidence to guide your foreign policy expertise? :roll:

Do you take everything at face value? :rofl

No, I exercise judgment. And in my judgment, I don't grant state sponsors of terrorism such a high level of benefit of the doubt.

I bet you don't even grant Bush an equivalent level of doubt, do you?

Find me an example where the Mullahs risked their own power and lives instead of sending someone else to die for them.

Why? Doesn't the absence of such examples bolster the case that to make good on their threats to wipe out Israel that they would use their proxy forces in Hamas and Hezbollah?

WTF are you thinking?
 
Are you SERIOUS?

You don't understand the relevance at all?

A government that derived its legitimacy from economic prosperity was very much more tolerant, open and non-threatening to its neighbors. The death to Jews to "Equal Citizens" say huge amounts about what economic prosperity can do to a government's outlook on the world.

Oh my. Gotta wonder how many college graduates are on this forum....

There is no economic prosperity in Iran and there has not been for decades. This is a nation on top of an oil tap that must still import refined gasoline because it cannot refine it itself. :roll:
 
There is no economic prosperity in Iran and there has not been for decades. This is a nation on top of an oil tap that must still import refined gasoline because it cannot refine it itself. :roll:
You know, of course, that as soon as it happens, people like oC will be the first to scream "I told you so!", and blame whatever Republicans that happen to be around.
 
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You know, of course, that as soon as it happens, people like oC will be the first to scream "I told you so!", and blame whatever Republicans that happen to be around.

Word.

And, of course, it'll be America's or Israel's fault that Iran did use a nuke. In fact, as we all know, right, it's America's fault that Iran is even pursuing a nuke. :roll:
 
I think this analogy depends on how deep his religion is.

Thats a valid point but no attention is being paid to what Irans intentions would be if it got a nukes. The only media discourse surrounding the issue revolves around one badly translated statement made by the countrys president about a year ago.
 
Though i often wonder if Iran getting a nuke would be as catastrophic as many are making it out to be. I was watching an interview with Kenneth Waltz a while back that was taken some time before the invasion of Iraq and he argued that even if Saddam had nukes and had ties with terroists the rules of Mutually Assured Destruction would still apply.

This is because if any terroist in the world used a nuke against the west Saddam Hussein would automatically be blamed and Iraq would be nuked in return, whether Saddam Hussein was responsible or not.

Now that Iran has inherited Iraqs status as international boggyman its argueable that the same rules apply. Both leaders were dispicable human beings but neither were stupid or irrational. Kim Jong Ill on the other hand.....

I'll try to say this as clearly as possible.

There is a bureau of the Iranian government in charge of making sure that the government acts within Koranic rules. This is important to keep in mind.

The Koran forbids them to act first or to start a war.

BUT...

If they did so, Israel would be toast.

Or, if they interpreted an innocuous act by Israel to be an act of war, that might give them a reason to 'respond' with a nuclear strike on Israel. If Hamas resumed rocketing Israel as it had which prompted this latest hostility, and Israel once again resumed it's intense retaliation and some Iranians were killed, could that set off the Iranians?

When looking for an excuse, any excuse will do.

Because it only takes a few minutes for a missile to travel the distance between Iran and Israel there is no safety zone to prevent Israel's total annihilation should Iran get a nuke.

The only protection the Israelis would have would be the promise of the Iranians not to violate the Koran.

But against that promise would be the threat that Israel should be wiped off the map (spoken a number of times in a number of different ways).

Now, you speak of mutually assured destruction as a deterrent.

This is no deterrent to those who welcome death, who eagerly anticipate the great chaos and fire from the sky that will summon the 12th Imam out from hiding.

Do you think these are the words of a mindset that would be stopped by the fear of assured nuclear destruction?

"We do not worship Iran. We worship Allah...For patriotism is another name for paganism. I say let this land (Iran) burn. I say let this land go up in smoke, provided Islam emerges triumphant in the rest of the world."

-- Ayatollah Khomeini

The Case for Bombing Iran

And just because I quote from an article advocating we bomb Iran does not mean that I endorse that course of action. Doing so would trigger a regional (and maybe global) Holy war.

A war GWB managed to avoid with the invasion of Iraq.
 
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So, I suspect that you will demonstrate my lack of such skills?

Nope.

Conclusion: You're flailing.

Your refusal to accept anything you don't like is not my fault. You refuse to accept that your argument is without critical thinking is not proof that I have failed to demonstrate your lack of it. It is proof you fail to accept that it is proof. Similar to how creationists refuse to accept an old year despite the evidence that is millions of miles tall.

No. It doesn't address what has been stated by all sorts of Iranian's, from president's to the ruling clerics, regarding annihilating Israel.

In fact it does. It shows that the current president of Iran is using the old tried and true blame outside aggressor for his failures. When Iran was undergoing economic boom, there wasn't a need as economic prosperity was legitimizing as a factor. South Korea is an excellent example of how economic prosperity stopped leaders from making bombastic threatening statements to their neighbors. It is not my fault you basically have no understanding in any way, shape, or form of political unity theory.

Oh, I see...we just ignore their plain language and read into "annihilate Israel" that some Iranian leader is just playing the rhetoric game, huh?

Pretty much. He's trying to blame Israel and the US for his failures. The real problem with Iran getting a weapon is that it will scare everyone else into getting weapons. Not that Iran will actually use it.

Like Obama did when he promised to unilaterally re-open Nafta while backdooring the Canadians promising them that such declarations were rhetorical campaign devices?

Exactly. Now if you read the memo leaked from Harper (which you clearly didn't), Obama stated he had no intention of following through on that statement. Effectively he said it for votes. The same thing Iran's president is doing.

I'm disappointed that you grant state supporters of terrorism such benefit of the doubt.

I'm disappointed you take everything at face value without any critical thinking whatsoever.

You're a great example of why the American Public School System is a massive joke.

Right, South Korea booms because it stops threatening the Norks. Any empirical data proving this or are you working off of pure coincidence to guide your foreign policy expertise? :roll:

Amazon.com: Understanding Korean Politics: An Introduction (Suny Series in Korean Studies): Soong Hoom Kil, Chung-In Moon: Books

Go study South Korea. I have yet to lose a single argument about that yet.

No, I exercise judgment. And in my judgment, I don't grant state sponsors of terrorism such a high level of benefit of the doubt.

Actually no you don't. You take it all at face value.

1) You ignore how economic prosperity in Iran's history reduced its statements
2) You ignore how economic prosperity in other country's history did the same
3) You ignore how failing economic times have pushed nations towards blaming outsiders.

Your entire argument is Iran will use it because he said it. You completely refuse to even acknowledge how economic prosperity or the lack of it changes how a government is viewed in terms of legitimacy.

I bet you don't even grant Bush an equivalent level of doubt, do you?

Give me a reason why. And I agree with Bush that Iran wants and is trying to get a weapon. Oh wait. That just refutes you. (doesn't everyone?)

Doesn't the absence of such examples bolster the case that to make good on their threats to wipe out Israel that they would use their proxy forces in Hamas and Hezbollah?

Ignorance. Explain to me why Iran would give them a weapon only to be on the receiving end of a nuclear missile launched from Israel or the US. As argued before, there are only really two sources, FSU states or Iran.

WTF are you thinking?

Logic, facts, history.
 
Newsmax.com - Experts: Iran Will Have Nuke This Year
I think it's time for Obama to make good on his Jimmy Carter fashioned foreign policy plan to meet with the Iranian kooks without preconditions, do his peace pipe thing, and get his lunch handed to him.

What a message to the world that will be. Everyone will love us again, and The Kooks just might give up their nukes for a bunch of Tonka toys.

Hell, my bet is they will be so impressed with B.H. Obama that they'll recant their statement about eliminating Israel and actually ask the Israeli's for forgiveness.

He better act fast though, time is ticking.

And Pakistan already has nukes .... oh well.
 
Your refusal to accept anything you don't like is not my fault. You refuse to accept that your argument is without critical thinking is not proof that I have failed to demonstrate your lack of it. It is proof you fail to accept that it is proof. Similar to how creationists refuse to accept an old year despite the evidence that is millions of miles tall.

Okay, so what do we have here? This doesn't even make sense. You post a naked assertion that I allegedly lack the ability to exercise critical thinking skills (I guess based on the fact that you don't agree with my comments). You then accuse me of not being willing to accept argument I don't agree with because I noted that you failed (obviously) to demonstrate how I lack such an ability to exercise criticl thinking skills. Then you proceed to instruct me to simply accept such naked assertions as facts.

Seriously? And you have the chutzpah to claim that I cannot think critically?

In fact it does. It shows that the current president of Iran is using the old tried and true blame outside aggressor for his failures. When Iran was undergoing economic boom, there wasn't a need as economic prosperity was legitimizing as a factor. South Korea is an excellent example of how economic prosperity stopped leaders from making bombastic threatening statements to their neighbors. It is not my fault you basically have no understanding in any way, shape, or form of political unity theory.

You cannot even keep your arguments straight. Before you argued that stopping such antagonistic behavior led to economic prosperity:
If we study the Koreas, there is a clear distinction when South Korea stops accusing and threatening North Korea: it's economy took off and legitimacy was derived from economy prosperity

Now you're saying it's economic prosperity before stopping the antagonistic behavior.

Get your arguments straight, would ya?

BTW - you're simply repeating yourself here re: Iran blaming someone else to gain legitimacy. I responded to that by asking why you granted Iran such benefit of the doubt. Well?

Pretty much. He's trying to blame Israel and the US for his failures. The real problem with Iran getting a weapon is that it will scare everyone else into getting weapons. Not that Iran will actually use it.

That's not the real problem. It is one of the problems.

Exactly. Now if you read the memo leaked from Harper (which you clearly didn't), Obama stated he had no intention of following through on that statement. Effectively he said it for votes. The same thing Iran's president is doing.

Obama was lying to us during the campaign. If you say that is the same thing that iran's Prez is doing then you're saying Iran's Prez is lying, too. Hence, Iran's motivation ain't a rhetorical device as you say it is.

I'm disappointed you take everything at face value without any critical thinking whatsoever.

I'm disappointed that you play with strawmen.

You're a great example of why the American Public School System is a massive joke.

When you demonstrate how I am characteristic of that then you'll be on to something. Until then, you just attacking me personally rather than presenting an argument.

Go study South Korea. I have yet to lose a single argument about that yet.

Maybe cuz you're arguing out both sides of your mouth, as I clearly demonstrated above?

Meanwhile, South Korea's economic prosperity may have coincided with the lessening of tensions with the Norks, but that was not a requisite condition for economic improvement. It's a coincidence.

Actually no you don't. You take it all at face value.

If you say so. :roll:

1) You ignore how economic prosperity in Iran's history reduced its statements

You have presented no such examples. You posted a comment about such an experience but provided neither dates or empirical data. Try again.

2) You ignore how economic prosperity in other country's history did the same

You have provided none.

3) You ignore how failing economic times have pushed nations towards blaming outsiders.

No, I have simply disagreed with you that failing economic times in contemporary Iran have led it current leadership to ratchet up the annihilate Israel rhetoric. Iran has possessed this annihilation attitude for decades. It's nothing contemporary and has nothing to do with its current economic conditions.

Your entire argument is Iran will use it because he said it.

No, my argument is that we cannot simply ignore the rhetoric as you intend us to do.

You completely refuse to even acknowledge how economic prosperity or the lack of it changes how a government is viewed in terms of legitimacy.

No such argument was presented and even if it were it's simply not relevant as an explanatory device for Iran's rhetoric.

Give me a reason why. And I agree with Bush that Iran wants and is trying to get a weapon. Oh wait. That just refutes you. (doesn't everyone?)

You missed my point. And, no, you didn't just refute anything I said. I simply noted that you grant Iran's autocratic leadership an major benefit of the doubt and based on your comments regarding Bush I concluded that you grant Iran's leadership far more benefit of the doubt than your own President. Citing a single instance of agreement with Bush doesn't foul up my point.

Ignorance. Explain to me why Iran would give them a weapon only to be on the receiving end of a nuclear missile launched from Israel or the US. As argued before, there are only really two sources, FSU states or Iran.

I doubt that contemporary American leadership would default to a nuke strike against Iran should a nuke go off in Israel given the current level of angst and anxiety about using conventional weapons in conventional wars. You're presuming an autmatic response of nuking Iran that I just don't see being realistic.

Logic, facts, history.

Those are important. Please be sure to present them when you have them.
 
And Pakistan already has nukes .... oh well.

Pakistan isn't threatening to wipe Israel off the map.

The last I checked, Obama hasn't had munitions dropped in Pakistan, as he claimed he may do in pursuit of the bad guys.
Last I knew Pakistan was helpful.

But Change has arrived, so who knows?
 
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