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Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Nearly Wipes Out 10 Point Deficit In One Week

ReubenSherr

ReubenSherr

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"President Donald Trump experienced a 7-point swing in support from likely voters over the last week, according to the latest Rasmussen tracking poll released Wednesday.

Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in the race for president by 3 percentage points among likely U.S. voters, according to the survey. Biden leads Trump 47-44 percent, marking a significant decline from his 10-point lead a week ago, when voters said they favored Biden 50-40 percent.

The shift was driven by independent voters. Voters who said they were unaffiliated with either major party gave Biden a six-point lead, 44-38 percent, down from 12 points a week ago. Biden and Trump attracted a similar level of support from voters in their own parties, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they supported Trump and 76 percent of Democrats saying the same of Biden."

Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Trails Biden By 3

Trump sure is closing the gap more quickly than we thought!

The article goes on to explain that Rasmussen samples a greater number of Republicans than its competitors. The underlying print here? Nearly every competitor samples far MORE Democrats than Repulbicans, Rasmussen is one of the few polls with a relatively even number of Dems and Reps, compared to the U. S. electorate

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
 
ReubenSherr said:
"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
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So is the moral here that Trump is going to lose by 3 points or that he's going to lose by 12.6 points?
 
Greenbeard said:
So is the moral here that Trump is going to lose by 3 points or that he's going to lose by 12.6 points?
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This is just the beginning of the gap closing ;)

Notice when a proportionate number of Dems and Reps are polled, Trumps numbers get surprisingly better :mrgreen:
 
“Trump wipes out a ten point deficit” and still is three points behind. I love the smell of desperation in the morning.......


You get KLATTU’s approval to post this?
 
ReubenSherr said:
"President Donald Trump experienced a 7-point swing in support from likely voters over the last week, according to the latest Rasmussen tracking poll released Wednesday.

Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in the race for president by 3 percentage points among likely U.S. voters, according to the survey. Biden leads Trump 47-44 percent, marking a significant decline from his 10-point lead a week ago, when voters said they favored Biden 50-40 percent.

The shift was driven by independent voters. Voters who said they were unaffiliated with either major party gave Biden a six-point lead, 44-38 percent, down from 12 points a week ago. Biden and Trump attracted a similar level of support from voters in their own parties, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they supported Trump and 76 percent of Democrats saying the same of Biden."

Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Trails Biden By 3

Trump sure is closing the gap more quickly than we thought!

The article goes on to explain that Rasmussen samples a greater number of Republicans than its competitors. The underlying print here? Nearly every competitor samples far MORE Democrats than Repulbicans, Rasmussen is one of the few polls with a relatively even number of Dems and Reps, compared to the U. S. electorate

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
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Also probably worth noting that in 2016 Rasmussen was not a big outlier relative to the other polls.

Every poll included by RCP over the last two weeks in 2016 had a margin within 4% of Rasmussen's in either direction. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein

In 2018, Rasmussen was not within 6% of any other poll included, there were no polls with a more favorable margin to the Republicans, and it was the single worst performing poll. RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2018 Generic Congressional Vote

This year, Rasmussen is again the most favorable poll to Republicans and every poll over the past month except for The Hill/Harris X poll has at least a 5% bigger margin. RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden

I specifically would not really pay much attention to Rasmussen though. Their approval tracking is constantly shifting between Trump disapproval by double digits and it being closer to even. Unless you think public opinion is really that fluid, they have a serious consistency problem.
 
Greenbeard said:
So is the moral here that Trump is going to lose by 3 points or that he's going to lose by 12.6 points?
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National popular votes don't win elections. You people should understand that by now, but here we are.
 
Everyone was wrong in 2016.


Trump was a new quantity back then. He openly lied during debates and the press didn't know what to do about it because nobody had openly lied during a presidential debate before.


Trump isn't a new quantity in 2020. People will shout out "liar" every time he lies on stage.
 
ReubenSherr said:
This is just the beginning of the gap closing ;)

Notice when a proportionate number of Dems and Reps are polled, Trumps numbers get surprisingly better :mrgreen:
Click to expand...

We are literally weeks away from a vaccine. Moderna is in the final phase of ending COVID-19.
 
Taylor said:
National popular votes don't win elections. You people should understand that by now, but here we are.
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And you people should understand what even small children understand: that a dirty, corrupt, lying, race-bating moron like Trump makes a horrible leader. But here we are.
 
"Trump surges in Rasmussen poll"...yeah, well it's always much higher than the rest so...no one cares (except desperate Trumpsters).
 
Trump is doing much better than the polls suggest. When polling likely democrat voters the ones who are appalled by the pandering to far left socialists and anarchist like AOC and BLM will still tell the poll taker they are voting democrat. A natural tendency not to openly admit how they secretly feel and will likely vote in November.

It's kind of like asking a group of teenage boys if they like big plump chubby chicks, and all will openly say no --- but secretly they know riding a chubby one is as fun a riding a moped.... you just don't want to be seen doing it.;)
 
Considering the volatility of a bunch of commie rat ****s and the rat party that supports them attacking police officers, federal and state monuments, and all the ridiculous mindless **** they are promoting, if you are believing what the polls tell you on ANY of this you are a fool. Anyone that isnt a total mindless rat partisan and leftist is not going to be eager to go to the polls and vote for people they KNOW will do their best to turn this country to the kind of ****holes the rats have managed to do with every major city.
 
ReubenSherr said:
"President Donald Trump experienced a 7-point swing in support from likely voters over the last week, according to the latest Rasmussen tracking poll released Wednesday.

Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in the race for president by 3 percentage points among likely U.S. voters, according to the survey. Biden leads Trump 47-44 percent, marking a significant decline from his 10-point lead a week ago, when voters said they favored Biden 50-40 percent.

The shift was driven by independent voters. Voters who said they were unaffiliated with either major party gave Biden a six-point lead, 44-38 percent, down from 12 points a week ago. Biden and Trump attracted a similar level of support from voters in their own parties, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they supported Trump and 76 percent of Democrats saying the same of Biden."

Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Trails Biden By 3

Trump sure is closing the gap more quickly than we thought!

The article goes on to explain that Rasmussen samples a greater number of Republicans than its competitors. The underlying print here? Nearly every competitor samples far MORE Democrats than Repulbicans, Rasmussen is one of the few polls with a relatively even number of Dems and Reps, compared to the U. S. electorate

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
Click to expand...

It's too bad Mediaite didn't give Rasmussen's actual sampling numbers. Oh well.
 
ReubenSherr said:
"President Donald Trump experienced a 7-point swing in support from likely voters over the last week, according to the latest Rasmussen tracking poll released Wednesday.

Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in the race for president by 3 percentage points among likely U.S. voters, according to the survey. Biden leads Trump 47-44 percent, marking a significant decline from his 10-point lead a week ago, when voters said they favored Biden 50-40 percent.

The shift was driven by independent voters. Voters who said they were unaffiliated with either major party gave Biden a six-point lead, 44-38 percent, down from 12 points a week ago. Biden and Trump attracted a similar level of support from voters in their own parties, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they supported Trump and 76 percent of Democrats saying the same of Biden."

Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Trails Biden By 3

Trump sure is closing the gap more quickly than we thought!

The article goes on to explain that Rasmussen samples a greater number of Republicans than its competitors. The underlying print here? Nearly every competitor samples far MORE Democrats than Repulbicans, Rasmussen is one of the few polls with a relatively even number of Dems and Reps, compared to the U. S. electorate

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
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LMAO


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
VanceMack said:
Considering the volatility of a bunch of commie rat ****s and the rat party that supports them attacking police officers, federal and state monuments, and all the ridiculous mindless **** they are promoting, if you are believing what the polls tell you on ANY of this you are a fool. Anyone that isnt a total mindless rat partisan and leftist is not going to be eager to go to the polls and vote for people they KNOW will do their best to turn this country to the kind of ****holes the rats have managed to do with every major city.
Click to expand...

So how do you really feel?
 
Jay Falcon said:
And you people should understand what even small children understand: that a dirty, corrupt, lying, race-bating moron like Trump makes a horrible leader. But here we are.
Click to expand...
Do you need a tissue?
 
ReubenSherr said:
"President Donald Trump experienced a 7-point swing in support from likely voters over the last week, according to the latest Rasmussen tracking poll released Wednesday.

Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in the race for president by 3 percentage points among likely U.S. voters, according to the survey. Biden leads Trump 47-44 percent, marking a significant decline from his 10-point lead a week ago, when voters said they favored Biden 50-40 percent.

The shift was driven by independent voters. Voters who said they were unaffiliated with either major party gave Biden a six-point lead, 44-38 percent, down from 12 points a week ago. Biden and Trump attracted a similar level of support from voters in their own parties, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they supported Trump and 76 percent of Democrats saying the same of Biden."

Trump Surges in Rasmussen Poll, Trails Biden By 3

Trump sure is closing the gap more quickly than we thought!

The article goes on to explain that Rasmussen samples a greater number of Republicans than its competitors. The underlying print here? Nearly every competitor samples far MORE Democrats than Repulbicans, Rasmussen is one of the few polls with a relatively even number of Dems and Reps, compared to the U. S. electorate

"Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016 — correctly predicting Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by two percentage points — but fell short in the 2018 midterms, when it predicted voters preferred Republicans by 1 percentage point. Democrats won the House by a cumulative 8.6 percent that year."
Click to expand...

I remember Rasmussen. Wasn't that the polling company that had Romney winning, right up until Election Day?
 
MamboDervish said:
I remember Rasmussen. Wasn't that the polling company that had Romney winning, right up until Election Day?
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It went back and forth, although had Romney by 1% in their last poll. Not too terribly far off from the rest of the polling in 2012 though, but all the polling slightly overestimated Romney's standing that year.
 
Interesting. I would of course withhold judgement until several polls show this over time. One outlier poll doesn't mean much.
 
Bucky said:
We are literally weeks away from a vaccine. Moderna is in the final phase of ending COVID-19.
Click to expand...

Moderna is just ending the first of 3 rounds of clinical trials. That is not literally weeks away. Get a grip.
 
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