Nah..that's not true. Quit making crap up
When you got nothing', ya make **** up.
Here's the problem most of us here have:
we assume posters behave rationally and respond to facts. That is NOT an approach one can expect of Trump or his supporters. Their approach is pure anti-intellectualism. Science is an intellectual endeavor, thus not to be trusted. Law is an intellectual process, thus unfathomable. Math is the devil's work. People who, using the phrase liberally, "think like that" are easily manipulated and hard to reason with.
Going back to the actual subject of this thread, the premise upon which it is based is utter nonsense, because it requires an understanding of math and probabilities. Every poll is a statement of probabilities. The "margin of error" (MoE) is a description of that. Rasmussen is particularly bad about misrepresenting the meaning of its polls (as well as conducting them accurately). That's one of the reasons
fivethirtyeight gives them a C+ grade as pollsters.
The headline that started this thread is essentially nonsense. Trump is doing poorly in every poll. He hasn't "made up" any ground at all, Rasmussen is just a bad pollster. An earlier poll overstated how bad Trump is polling, and the latter poll understates it. When the MoE is "+/- 4%", that means it could be off by that much. If one poll says 40%, +/- 4 and one says 48%, +/- 4%, they could both be the same result because they are both "within the margin of error". The implication is that the
actual number is likely 44, and one result is over the mark, the other under. One has to know how to read and understand polls, which requires thinking.
