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More Voters Rule Out Trump Than Biden | Monmouth University Polling Institute
A comprehensive poll from Monmouth, with many interesting results and trends.
A couple things...
West Long Branch, NJ – Half of the nation’s electorate says they have ruled out voting for Donald Trump in November, while 4 in 10 say the same about Joe Biden.
...and
“Half of all registered voters have ruled out backing Trump. Trump showed in 2016 that he can thread the needle, but these results suggest the president has even less room for error in 2020. He must convert some of those unlikely supporters if he is to win a second term,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
A key difference from four years ago is that fewer voters have a negative opinion of the Democratic nominee. Biden’s rating stands at 44% favorable and 44% unfavorable. It was 42%–49% in early June. Hillary Clinton’s rating in July 2016 was 34% favorable and 52% unfavorable. Trump currently has a negative 38% favorable and 55% unfavorable opinion. It was 38%–57% in early June. As a candidate four years ago, he held a 31% favorable and 53% unfavorable rating.
Trump's favorability is way under water, and with half the electorate having ruled out voting for Trump, what strategy can Trump possibly use to turn things around at this stage? People who have ruled out Trump are not going to change their minds easily, and barring some unforeseen event, I fail to see how Trump moves his favorability rating in a positive direction.
Though Trump's rating is a bit better than in 2016, Biden pulling even at 44/44 is a 7 point swing from last month. Combined with fund raising totals, Biden has the clear momentum.
A comprehensive poll from Monmouth, with many interesting results and trends.
A couple things...
West Long Branch, NJ – Half of the nation’s electorate says they have ruled out voting for Donald Trump in November, while 4 in 10 say the same about Joe Biden.
...and
“Half of all registered voters have ruled out backing Trump. Trump showed in 2016 that he can thread the needle, but these results suggest the president has even less room for error in 2020. He must convert some of those unlikely supporters if he is to win a second term,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
A key difference from four years ago is that fewer voters have a negative opinion of the Democratic nominee. Biden’s rating stands at 44% favorable and 44% unfavorable. It was 42%–49% in early June. Hillary Clinton’s rating in July 2016 was 34% favorable and 52% unfavorable. Trump currently has a negative 38% favorable and 55% unfavorable opinion. It was 38%–57% in early June. As a candidate four years ago, he held a 31% favorable and 53% unfavorable rating.
Trump's favorability is way under water, and with half the electorate having ruled out voting for Trump, what strategy can Trump possibly use to turn things around at this stage? People who have ruled out Trump are not going to change their minds easily, and barring some unforeseen event, I fail to see how Trump moves his favorability rating in a positive direction.
Though Trump's rating is a bit better than in 2016, Biden pulling even at 44/44 is a 7 point swing from last month. Combined with fund raising totals, Biden has the clear momentum.