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Exactly.
I don't think my job is to convince people or posters one way or the other when it comes to their views on impeachment and removal. My first priority is to determine how this political process is going to effect November's elections. How and how much, if it actually has an effect since impeachment and the trial is occurring 9 months prior to the election.
So I keep track of the numbers. How America as a whole feels about impeachment, try to determine whether that support one way or the other is soft or hard. Soft support is basically people answering yes or no without any real conviction, but they answer because an answer is expected. Then I try to add this into my mix going state by state.
What this means is if Collins, Maine votes not guilty, she probably loses in November since most folks in Maine want Trump gone. Jones, Alabama on the other hand if he doesn't vote not guilty, he loses his seat. I don't see impeachment having any large effect on the presidential election. At least not as of this date. But several senate seats could be determined by their vote of guilty or not guilty. Time will tell. Also in the House, out of the 40 seats the Democrats picked up in 2018, 31 were in districts Trump won. Their Aye vote on the Articles of impeachment will certainly be a huge campaign issue. Enough to defeat the freshman Democratic incumbents, some yes, some no. We have to wait to find out how much of an effect and where this impeachment trial will have or won't have.
I've started work on my 1 Feb forecast, but impeachment isn't taken into consideration as the trial isn't over.