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If Crimea says 'Da!,' what's next?

OOOPs didn't mean to direct it at any one body, just many seem to think this is some 'chess' move by Putin that was somehow decades in the planning.

Yeah, sense it followed my post without a quote, I thought possibly you were addressing me. Thanks for the clarification.
 
If Crimea says 'Da!,' what's next?

I had no idea that the "leader" only received 4% of the vote.

The article makes a interesting point that this entire situation is in Putin's hands.



The bear is out of the cage. Are we prepared to in a Cold War Era again?

I'm actually considerably more worried if they vote, "nyet." If they vote, "dah," then there are issues, but Russians are already deployed so it would be a very small short window of issues. If they vote "nyet," and Russian troops are in place as they are, will they leave voluntarily or decide to stay anyway. if the Crimea voted "dah" this isn't as much a problem, Russians staying, but if they vote "nyet" then we in the west would almost certainly have to act on their behalf, hence another war?
 
I'm actually considerably more worried if they vote, "nyet." If they vote, "dah," then there are issues, but Russians are already deployed so it would be a very small short window of issues. If they vote "nyet," and Russian troops are in place as they are, will they leave voluntarily or decide to stay anyway. if the Crimea voted "dah" this isn't as much a problem, Russians staying, but if they vote "nyet" then we in the west would almost certainly have to act on their behalf, hence another war?

Regardless of how they vote the result will be "dah".
 
I'm actually considerably more worried if they vote, "nyet." If they vote, "dah," then there are issues, but Russians are already deployed so it would be a very small short window of issues. If they vote "nyet," and Russian troops are in place as they are, will they leave voluntarily or decide to stay anyway. if the Crimea voted "dah" this isn't as much a problem, Russians staying, but if they vote "nyet" then we in the west would almost certainly have to act on their behalf, hence another war?

Or not.
 
Regardless of how they vote the result will be "dah".

Yep, just like all the citizens of Iraq voted for the US to topple their president, kill a couple hundred thousand of them, destroy a bunch of their infrastructure, and leave them a government incapable of protecting them, hence more of them are getting blown up every day.
 
And you speak as though the people of Ukraine speak with one voice. Of course uprisings can occur spontaneously and without US coaxing, but when one is the result of US coaxing, it's not wrong to point it out.

And I'm sure you have evidence of our coaxing the Ukrainian people to expel a corrupt leader.
 
Our Grand and Glorious Republic has a cherished history of invading at gunpoint to enforce trade/treaty/corporate deals. (Commodore Perry in Japan and the Marines in the 'Banana Wars' comes to mind. Can't recall anyone in government renouncing those actions) Let's not forget the CIA attempts to overthrow democratically elected presidents, assassination attempts and the World Bank dictating severe economic upheavals as part of any aid given. We seem to be the pot looking hard at a kettle. :3oops:

I've never understood this: this is like saying a Bears fan is a hypocrite for liking touchdowns when the Bears score them, but disliking touchdowns when the Packers score them. "Do you like touchdowns or not?!" No, dude, it's not like that: the US is just looking for any argument to further US interests. Every nation is exactly the same in that regard.

What is funny, though, is when individual people, not working for an organization, put forth the same type of argument. When country X attacks? Country X is wrong. When country X is attacked? Country X is still wrong, they goaded it somehow. These people aren't even working towards a national interest, so what's their goal?
 
Yep, just like all the citizens of Iraq voted for the US to topple their president, kill a couple hundred thousand of them, destroy a bunch of their infrastructure, and leave them a government incapable of protecting them, hence more of them are getting blown up every day.

Non relevant or even correct but hey go on bad mouthing the USA that will make Russia's actions Ok
 
What's next? I hope the US has thought this one out. If not, it might not turn out so well.
 
I have been thinking today, maybe that was the plan all along, bait Russia into taking Crimea so the West would have an excuse to destroy Russia economically. That's a very dangerous game tho. Not only that, I doubt these people can think that well. All they do is bumble their way from one crisis to another.
 
Non relevant or even correct but hey go on bad mouthing the USA that will make Russia's actions Ok

The hypocrisy is relevant, and bad actions on our part need to be pointed out.
 
The hypocrisy is relevant, and bad actions on our part need to be pointed out.

Hypocrisy is not on my part so it is irrelevant to me. Pointing out bad actions is fine and in this case the really bad actions are on Putin's part.
Changes nothing about my comment that Putin will ensure that Crimea votes to join Russia. Though even in your erroneous recap of Iraq, the USA never tried to annex it.
 
Hypocrisy is not on my part so it is irrelevant to me. Pointing out bad actions is fine and in this case the really bad actions are on Putin's part.
Changes nothing about my comment that Putin will ensure that Crimea votes to join Russia. Though even in your erroneous recap of Iraq, the USA never tried to annex it.

What's erroneous about it? But then if its irrelevant to you, I don't suppose it matters. And we disagree on who the bad actors are in Ukraine.
 
What's erroneous about it? But then if its irrelevant to you, I don't suppose it matters. And we disagree on who the bad actors are in Ukraine.

You said:
Yep, just like all the citizens of Iraq voted for the US to topple their president, kill a couple hundred thousand of them, destroy a bunch of their infrastructure, and leave them a government incapable of protecting them, hence more of them are getting blown up every day.

Iraqi's didn't vote to topple Saddam, hence the error. I am not American and my country didn't join the topple Saddam war, hence no hypocrisy on my or my country's part.
Do you honestly believe Russia is acting in good faith? You really believe they only went into Crimea to protect their bases their? Bases that were never threatened? With troops that hid their insignia? That the protests were not fueled by Putin? That the "government" in Crimea was not put in place by Putin through the use of his military?
 
You said:


Iraqi's didn't vote to topple Saddam, hence the error. I am not American and my country didn't join the topple Saddam war, hence no hypocrisy on my or my country's part.
Do you honestly believe Russia is acting in good faith? You really believe they only went into Crimea to protect their bases their? Bases that were never threatened? With troops that hid their insignia? That the protests were not fueled by Putin? That the "government" in Crimea was not put in place by Putin through the use of his military?

It was a facetious statement, and the hypocrisy to which I refer is coming from the US not your country, whatever that may be.

So I'm saying that Putin has all the legitimacy of being in Crimea that the US ever thought they had in Iraq, and then some.
 
It was a facetious statement, and the hypocrisy to which I refer is coming from the US not your country, whatever that may be.

So I'm saying that Putin has all the legitimacy of being in Crimea that the US ever thought they had in Iraq, and then some.

Not That I am trying to defend Bush but he didn't sneak into Iraq and present the world with a fait accompli like Putin did with the Crimea. He actually did some talking with Saddam and managed to get many countries to join him in the war. Russia never declared war on Ukraine or even talked to them (are they even talking yet?) they have just took over the Crimea. The USA never tried to annex Iraq, as Russia is doing in the Crimea.
There are some similarities but they are not equal acts by any measure.
Putin has 0 legitimacy of being in the Crimea it is a naked act of aggression.
 
Not That I am trying to defend Bush but he didn't sneak into Iraq and present the world with a fait accompli like Putin did with the Crimea. He actually did some talking with Saddam and managed to get many countries to join him in the war. Russia never declared war on Ukraine or even talked to them (are they even talking yet?) they have just took over the Crimea. The USA never tried to annex Iraq, as Russia is doing in the Crimea.
There are some similarities but they are not equal acts by any measure.
Putin has 0 legitimacy of being in the Crimea it is a naked act of aggression.

The US has completed its share of annexation. Bush's action in Iraq was completely illegitimate, Iraq having not attacked us, nor having been associated with the AQ or OBL. The lies of WMD and the fear mongering of mushroom clouds over US cities, all were far more sinister than Putins response to a crisis fuelled by the US. Putins not concerned about Western opinion of his legitimacy, anymore than the West considers Putins thoughts when projecting their own aggressions.
 
The US has completed its share of annexation. Bush's action in Iraq was completely illegitimate, Iraq having not attacked us, nor having been associated with the AQ or OBL. The lies of WMD and the fear mongering of mushroom clouds over US cities, all were far more sinister than Putins response to a crisis fuelled by the US. Putins not concerned about Western opinion of his legitimacy, anymore than the West considers Putins thoughts when projecting their own aggressions.

Continue to believe your nonsense if you must but Putin has annexed Crimea with the use/threat of force. There is no excuse for that and your attempts to legitimize his actions by comparing them to the USA do not aid your cause.
 
I've never understood this: this is like saying a Bears fan is a hypocrite for liking touchdowns when the Bears score them, but disliking touchdowns when the Packers score them. "Do you like touchdowns or not?!" No, dude, it's not like that: the US is just looking for any argument to further US interests. Every nation is exactly the same in that regard. What is funny, though, is when individual people, not working for an organization, put forth the same type of argument. When country X attacks? Country X is wrong. When country X is attacked? Country X is still wrong, they goaded it somehow. These people aren't even working towards a national interest, so what's their goal?

I have NO doubt there is a rather long list of things you don't understand so I'll do my best to explain where your faulty observations lead you down false argument trails.

I NEVER said I like what the Russians are doing :roll:

I AM saying we shouldn't act all shocked and outraged that 'decent' nations don't act in this way when we have a LONG list of just such actions. :doh

Russian national interest is VERY clear-

Crimea was never part of the Ukraine until arbitrarily attached in the mid 1950's by a defunct organization. It has been 'Russian' since the 1783. The Ukraine on the other hand was still being kicked around like a football between various nations.

Crimea has very important military facilities- we still hold Gitmo for whatever silly reason past a poke in Fidel's eye. We hung onto Subic bay long past any military need- and lets NOT consider the dozens of bases in Japan and other places that serve little if any real purpose other than to tie up personnel and drain the treasury. But the Crimean bases ARE important and serve a true purpose.

Crimea is 58% Russian, 24% Ukrainian- over here that would be a landslide vote

Now what the USofA is doing is attempting to continue a flawed policy of close containment- it doesn't serve US interests to push a confrontation on Russia's border, the Cuban Missile Crisis should have been a cautionary tale. The Ukraine has far more benefited from a close association with Russia than with the West. It had a President theif who was leaning Russian and now they want a President thug leaning to the West- but unless the West is willing to pay Russia to keep the natural gas flowing to the Ukrainians it makes little sense to 'break away'.

Is it in the USofA's interest to put our money into Russian thug pockets OR have the Russian thugs short change their profits to keep the Ukraine in their sphere of influence? What possible gain does the USofA get from the Ukraine?

THAT is the issue, not who likes touchdowns.... :roll:
 
I have NO doubt there is a rather long list of things you don't understand so I'll do my best to explain where your faulty observations lead you down false argument trails.

lol are we going to be rude? Fun, I like that better.

I NEVER said I like what the Russians are doing :roll:

No one ever said or implied you did. What a horribly "faulty observation", that led you down a "false argument trail". Weird that you even came to that, but try to focus, I don't have time to be a teacher.

I AM saying we shouldn't act all shocked and outraged that 'decent' nations don't act in this way when we have a LONG list of just such actions. :doh

Who the **** is "we"? Are you talking about Americans or the American government. Please define your terms, otherwise you're wasting everyone's time.

Russian national interest is VERY clear-

Is it? That's impressive that you're so able to readily define national interests, usually that's, ya know, a full time job.

Crimea was never part of the Ukraine until arbitrarily attached in the mid 1950's by a defunct organization. It has been 'Russian' since the 1783. The Ukraine on the other hand was still being kicked around like a football between various nations.

Why are you telling me this? Do you think I didn't know? Do you think it has anything to do with what I said?

Crimea has very important military facilities- we still hold Gitmo for whatever silly reason past a poke in Fidel's eye. We hung onto Subic bay long past any military need- and lets NOT consider the dozens of bases in Japan and other places that serve little if any real purpose other than to tie up personnel and drain the treasury. But the Crimean bases ARE important and serve a true purpose.

Crimea is 58% Russian, 24% Ukrainian- over here that would be a landslide vote

...what is this? Why did you just tell me something I've known for years? What does this have to do with what I said? Can you focus?

Now what the USofA is doing is attempting to continue a flawed policy of close containment- it doesn't serve US interests to push a confrontation on Russia's border, the Cuban Missile Crisis should have been a cautionary tale. The Ukraine has far more benefited from a close association with Russia than with the West. It had a President theif who was leaning Russian and now they want a President thug leaning to the West- but unless the West is willing to pay Russia to keep the natural gas flowing to the Ukrainians it makes little sense to 'break away'.

What on earth does this have to do with what I said? I don't understand how people who think they're intelligent can pretend that they don't understand a nation acting in its self-interest. It's in the US' self-interest to support when the US does an action and vilify when a country the US doesn't like does the very same action. Because the US- like any other nation- acts in its self-interest. Not according to some objective rules about what's right or not. What's "right" to any given nation is what supports its self-interest.

Is it in the USofA's interest to put our money into Russian thug pockets OR have the Russian thugs short change their profits to keep the Ukraine in their sphere of influence? What possible gain does the USofA get from the Ukraine?

Stop talking about this to me. It's not the subject of what I posted. The subject is how you seem to not understand that the US will support things you don't like if it furthers US interests. It will oppose the same thing if it is against US interests. You apparently don't get that, since you mentioned the things you did. You don't understand it.

THAT is the issue, not who likes touchdowns.... :roll:

I really don't think you even understand what I was saying. Clearly. No one asked for a history lesson on Ukraine. You didn't tell me anything I didn't know. Not sure why you told me- did you just want to type something this morning? Focus or stop replying.
 
Continue to believe your nonsense if you must but Putin has annexed Crimea with the use/threat of force. There is no excuse for that and your attempts to legitimize his actions by comparing them to the USA do not aid your cause.

I don't know at this point if Putin has done any wrong, or intends to. But he's acting in his own interests, as the US does. And when the US does, its rationalised, justified, and perfectly acceptable, by most. What's different here?
 
I don't know at this point if Putin has done any wrong, or intends to. But he's acting in his own interests, as the US does. And when the US does, its rationalised, justified, and perfectly acceptable, by most. What's different here?

Seriously he invades another country usding troops without any insignia, denies the invasion for days all without even an attempt of giving any just cause and you dont think hes done anything wrong?
Be a Putin apologist all you want but that is seriously so 1984 doubletalk it would make Mr. Wells blush.
 
Technically speaking, for him to "win" the domestic PR fight, all he has to do is stay in Crimea till the referendum and then act according to the wishes of the people in Crimea counterbalanced with what the Russians in Russia want.

If he does move into eastern ukraine however... then yes, he'll lose everything. He'll lose the trade agreements with the EU and the USA and that's over 10% of the Russian economy. There is no way he can get that money from elsewhere, not even trading with China. Losing that = recession or even a depression = mass unemployment = mass protests = bye bye 2nd term... his only chance is to have 140% of the population come out to vote again... but he'll have to become RasPutin to do that.

Stay in Crimea... then leave Ukraine alone and then make amends to the keyholders of his economic wellbeing. But again, I can only speak from the perspective of a reasonable person. I don't think putin thinks like you and I would in terms of what's reasonable. Or maybe he does. Idk.

EU loses Russia oil and gas.. EU has more to lose then Putin.
 
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