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This right here might (will) hurt his chances:
Jeb Bush Book Rejects Path to Citizenship for Undocumented Immigrants - ABC News
First I have often wondered how the country would look if Jeb had run instead of Dubya.
I see his change of heart on the Pathway issue as a step toward running with Tea Party support, I suppose trying to avoid the circular firing squad the Tea Party fostered in the last go-round. I would imagine he would be better at etch-a-sketch once he gets the GOP nomination. He has left himself some wiggle room on the issue, so he can be convinced to soften his position if he needs to.
2016 is a long way off in political years, much can/will happen between now and then.
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