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SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386, 590]

Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

So, if that vote were held TODAY it would not pass.

So what? Our system of government does not toss out every law on the books every time a new Congress is elected. It reminds me of a story from shortly after the 1968 presidential election...a reporter was talking to President-Elect Nixon and asked him his thoughts on a poll which showed that if the election were held today, Nixon would lose to Humphrey. Nixon snarled, "I knew what day the god damn election was." :lol:

We all agree that it squeaked by "just in time" and is still being written. Is it not VERY curious why the law needed to be passed URGENTLY in 2009, when it takes effect MOSTLY from 2014 to 2018?

It gives the states and the federal government time to prepare. And considering how much the Republican governors are dragging their feet on implementing the health insurance exchanges, it's no wonder.
 
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Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

We have an Independent Payment Advisory Board to study which medical procedures are cost-effective and which are useless; this data will then be used to encourage greater use of the effective procedures and lesser use of the ineffective ones. Furthermore, we will have health insurance exchanges where insurance companies can compete with one another on an easily-digestible number of variables, which will allow fair comparisons among potential customers and bend the cost curve down through simple supply and demand.

Furthermore, I would suggest that if people are covered with health insurance, they'll be more likely to go to the doctor BEFORE they have a major expense, which will save money in the long run.


First, let's look at one other FACT not much discussed about PPACA, that the unions got "waivers" for ("cadillac" plans). PPACA turned ALL of the "private" medical care insurance into the "public option" since ALL "private" insurance has a MANDATED benefit list including minimum AND maximum (what must be covered AND what may not be covered) under ANY legal insurance policy, the real mission of the IPAB.

The IPAB will indeed pick and choose what INSURANCE may pay for, and WORST OF ALL, not as you have implied; you state the choice will be made between treatment ontions A, B and C and the most "cost effective" will be allowed, yet leave out the OBVIOUS fact that "none of the above" will ALWAYS be an option. If procedure A costs $100K and "saves" 4 of 10, procedure B costs $10K and "saves" 2 of 10 and procedure C costs $200K and saves 6 of 10; then which is the most cost effective?

The "easily digestable" number of variables SHOULD include gender an height/weight, as they are MAJOR factors in assessing cost risk for medical care insurance, just as age and smoking are. Hmm...

If I give a "poor" person AFFORDABLE medical care insurance that has a $2,500 annual deductable, how much MORE care is that giving them? This is a SCAM to be "tweaked" into FREE care for the "poor" paid for by the non-poor, and YOU know it. Many NON-EMERGENCY things are now going to be FREE, only in the sense that the PATIENT does not pay for them, but NOT "free" at all when it comes to the REAL costs of medical care given; even a moron KNOWS that you can not add 10% more people and make costs go down, especially when 8 out of those 10 are not paying their own costs.

Look at REAL costs WITHOUT any private insurance (20%) overhead: http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_is_the_cost_per_person_annually_for_medicaid
 
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Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

What the AHCA is going to do is separate people into 2 categories, those that are subsidized and those that are taxed for their healthcare.

I see these separate categories but differently than you. There will be the ones who can afford private insurance/copays/high out of pocket and ‘others’ (subsidized exchange/Medicare/Medicaid). Those in the first group are going to receive premium care as the medical professionals can afford to practice with them being consumers. Those in the latter class will receive just sufficient care as that is what their participation will afford. Where will this ultimately go? One conspiracy theory is full blown socialized medicine with medical professionals being government employees…but I don’t see this as the motivations for those to endure medical school/internship will be lessened.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

He was mostly bashed by other Republicans. Democrats aren't as enamored with Grover Norquist and the no-new-taxes mantra in the first place, so we are more inclined to not care that much about it anyway.

Go for it, bash him all you like. Get it out of your system. Feel better now? :2wave:

He ran very heavily on not raising taxes on the middle class and those earning under 250k. By heavily, I mean most of his stump speeches touched on this idea.

He is now responsible for the single greatest tax increase on the middle and lower class of anyone, anywhere, any time. No wonder they are running from calling it a tax. You can't play both sides of the fence on that categorization either---the basis on which it was upheld and argued by the White House was to call it a tax because the mandate was declared illegal as the basis to regulate commerce; but you can tax it.

Im personally worried about the idea that government would be constrained by backlash from passing new legislation taxing the absence of commerce. Its frightening to think of how much they could tax with that as a principle idea.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

I don't care how you want to dress this pig up, it's a TAX.

I guess Pelosi's "We're gonna have to read it to know what's in it" was true. Guess what we have found out? It's a TAX. Obama never, ever, once told the general public this HC bill was a TAX. And, I might add, not just on the "rich". Every person that pays taxes will pay for this HC bill.

Obama lied - pure and simple. For all the Dems out there a question . . . . . . who said: "Read my lips, NO NEW TAXES!" How many times was GB the elder bashed with that comment?

The Repubs have every right to bash President Obama and the rest of the Dems with this lie IMO.

Such a drama queen lol. The part the court is treating as a tax is just the fine you pay if you can afford insurance, but refuse to get it.... Which like virtually nobody will actually be affected by in any way.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

I see these separate categories but differently than you. There will be the ones who can afford private insurance/copays/high out of pocket and ‘others’ (subsidized exchange/Medicare/Medicaid). Those in the first group are going to receive premium care as the medical professionals can afford to practice with them being consumers. Those in the latter class will receive just sufficient care as that is what their participation will afford. Where will this ultimately go? One conspiracy theory is full blown socialized medicine with medical professionals being government employees…but I don’t see this as the motivations for those to endure medical school/internship will be lessened.

The thing is, upper middle class people are already at the taxing cap. They are going to see their health care costs go up by 40% the first time their premiums go up. A lot more lower middle class people are suddenly finding companies willing to drop coverage than deal with the paperwork and forward a penalty. I expect to see more and more dumped off and more and more taxed. Its already moving that direction in just 3 years. In 10, I think it will be apparent what has occurred if the law is allowed to stand as is.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Such a drama queen lol. The part the court is treating as a tax is just the fine you pay if you can afford insurance, but refuse to get it.... Which like virtually nobody will actually be affected by in any way.

Its also the fine companies pay if they dont want to provide insurance, which will affect millions.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Its also the fine companies pay if they dont want to provide insurance, which will affect millions.

No, that is clearly under the commerce clause, not a tax. We already have tons of requirements about benefits packages and whatnot. Nothing new there. This whole silly hypothetical issue about inaction doesn't apply there, since employers are doing something- employing people.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Its also the fine companies pay if they dont want to provide insurance, which will affect millions.

Absolutely.

Companies will drop insurance for their employees because it will save them money in the long run.

Romney needs to hammer this home.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

First, let's look at one other FACT not much discussed about PPACA, that the unions got "waivers" for ("cadillac" plans).

Huh? What does this have to do with anything?

PPACA turned ALL of the "private" medical care insurance into the "public option" since ALL "private" insurance has a MANDATED benefit list including minimum AND maximum (what must be covered AND what may not be covered) under ANY legal insurance policy, the real mission of the IPAB.

Good. Most people are not doctors and/or actuaries; they have no idea whether they need to be covered for some specific ailment. People just want to have their medical bills covered, and it isn't right that people rely on their insurance only to discover that treatment for some condition is specifically excluded from coverage on page 53, section 9B of the insurance policy. By mandating what procedures are and aren't covered, it makes it much easier for customers to compare insurance plans on the important factors (e.g. premiums, deductibles, out-of-pocket maximums) and reduces the opportunity for abuse by insurance companies. This is a good thing.

The IPAB will indeed pick and choose what INSURANCE may pay for, and WORST OF ALL, not as you have implied; you state the choice will be made between treatment ontions A, B and C and the most "cost effective" will be allowed, yet leave out the OBVIOUS fact that "none of the above" will ALWAYS be an option. If procedure A costs $100K and "saves" 4 of 10, procedure B costs $10K and "saves" 2 of 10 and procedure C costs $200K and saves 6 of 10; then which is the most cost effective?

If you are unwilling to consider cost-effectiveness in determining coverage, then you are part of the problem you are complaining about. It is precisely that attitude that causes medical costs to spiral out of control.

The "easily digestable" number of variables SHOULD include gender an height/weight, as they are MAJOR factors in assessing cost risk for medical care insurance, just as age and smoking are. Hmm...

No. You don't control your gender and height. I'm OK with making weight a factor as long as the premium spread is relatively small...probably less than the 1.5-to-1 spread insurance companies can charge smoking, since weight is not entirely behavioral like smoking is.

If I give a "poor" person AFFORDABLE medical care insurance that has a $2,500 annual deductable, how much MORE care is that giving them?

It'll at least cover them for catastrophic coverage, which is better than no insurance at all. And IIRC the maximum annual deductible will be $2,000 for "qualified plans" (i.e. plans eligible to be offered on the health insurance exchanges).

This is a SCAM to be "tweaked" into FREE care for the "poor" paid for by the non-poor, and YOU know it.

Poor people actually getting health care...imagine that. The horror, the horror! I love how you frame this criticism in such an accusatory way, like you automatically assume that I would share your revulsion to such an idea. :lol:

Many NON-EMERGENCY things are now going to be FREE, only in the sense that the PATIENT does not pay for them, but NOT "free" at all when it comes to the REAL costs of medical care given; even a moron KNOWS that you can not add 10% more people and make costs go down, especially when 8 out of those 10 are not paying their own costs.

So rather than study the cost-effectiveness of procedures and stop funding the wasteful ones, your solution is instead to keep doing as many wasteful procedures as the doctor wants and just letting poor people die. Yep, clearly you're the fiscally responsible one of the two of us.

Look at REAL costs WITHOUT any private insurance (20%) overhead: What is the cost per person annually for medicaid

What's your point? Medicaid is not directly comparable to private insurance for a variety of reasons. First of all, Medicaid recipients are poorer on average than private insurance recipients, and therefore more likely to be in worse health. Second of all, Medicaid covers some of the really expensive procedures after patients have already been financially ruined by medical bills, whereas private insurance patients covers proportionally more patients who never need health care at all.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

No, that is clearly under the commerce clause, not a tax. We already have tons of requirements about benefits packages and whatnot. Nothing new there. This whole silly hypothetical issue about inaction doesn't apply there, since employers are doing something- employing people.

What? Let's look at a McJob, as an example. The employer (independent franchise) now has 50 employees, with NO insurance, so they pay ZERO in medcial care benefit cost, under ObamaCare they pay an ADDED $40K fine for "no insurance benefits" offered. Do you NOT think that a McBurger (and all other menu items) will then simply cost a dime more, to cover that added employer cost?
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

He ran very heavily on not raising taxes on the middle class and those earning under 250k. By heavily, I mean most of his stump speeches touched on this idea.

OK. We will see if it has any effect on his election.

He is now responsible for the single greatest tax increase on the middle and lower class of anyone, anywhere, any time.

Do you realize that when the Republican talking points brand every policy they dislike as "the greatest tax increase in history" (examples: ACA, economic stimulus bill, the possibility that the Bush tax cuts would expire, etc) then that phrase loses its meaning, and people just start rolling their eyes?

No wonder they are running from calling it a tax. You can't play both sides of the fence on that categorization either---the basis on which it was upheld and argued by the White House was to call it a tax because the mandate was declared illegal as the basis to regulate commerce; but you can tax it.

The Supreme Court says it's a tax for legal purposes (and of course it's also a tax as far as its economic impact is concerned). Politicians can call it anything they like for PR reasons, and the voters will render a verdict. In any case, I'm not really interested in arguing the semantics about whether it's a "tax" or a "penalty." Either is fine with me. I'm more interested in the substance of the law.

Im personally worried about the idea that government would be constrained by backlash from passing new legislation taxing the absence of commerce. Its frightening to think of how much they could tax with that as a principle idea.

You must have never looked at our tax code if you think that this is a new idea.
 
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Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

What? Let's look at a McJob, as an example. The employer (independent franchise) now has 50 employees, with NO insurance, so they pay ZERO in medcial care benefit cost, under ObamaCare they pay an ADDED $40K fine for "no insurance benefits" offered. Do you NOT think that a McBurger (and all other menu items) will then simply cost a dime more, to cover that added employer cost?

I have no idea how you think that is relevant to whether Congress is authorized to do it by the commerce power or the taxing power.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

He was mostly bashed by other Republicans. Democrats aren't as enamored with Grover Norquist and the no-new-taxes mantra in the first place, so we are more inclined to not care that much about it anyway.



Go for it, bash him all you like. Get it out of your system. Feel better now? :2wave:


Place a bet that I will.

But better yet I'm sending money to Romeny's campaign and to every org that I possible can to insure as many ads as possible continue the message. He lied or best case he didn't read the bill like Pelosi. Either is totally unacceptable. :mrgreen:
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Absolutely.

Companies will drop insurance for their employees because it will save them money in the long run.

Romney needs to hammer this home.



Since the Repub are sending record amounts of money, after learning about the TAX lie, Romney will be able to hammer it home. Ad after ad, after ad. And so will other groups that want to see this boob of a president gone.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Since the Repub are sending record amounts of money, after learning about the TAX lie, Romney will be able to hammer it home. Ad after ad, after ad. And so will other groups that want to see this boob of a president gone.

"learning about the tax lie"? lol. Seriously, you think Republicans are that stupid? You think they like heard that this penalty was authorized under the taxation power and thought "gosh, that there 'bama dun said it waadn't no tax! he dun lied!'"? LOL. No, dude, even Republicans aren't that stupid. Obviously the penalty is the same thing as it always was. Nothing changed. What constitutional power authorizes it doesn't somehow change it from a good policy to a bad policy or something. Most constitutional scholars believe it is under the commerce power. Roberts thinks it's only under the taxation power. Obviously a new constitutional limit on the commerce power that the courts just made up the other day doesn't mean everybody who adhered to the previous interepretation of the commerce clause is a "liar"... Seriously man, that angle is just too stupid to even really explain... You need to think harder.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

Huh? What does this have to do with anything?



Good. Most people are not doctors and/or actuaries; they have no idea whether they need to be covered for some specific ailment. People just want to have their medical bills covered, and it isn't right that people rely on their insurance only to discover that treatment for some condition is specifically excluded from coverage on page 53, section 9B of the insurance policy. By mandating what procedures are and aren't covered, it makes it much easier for customers to compare insurance plans on the important factors (e.g. premiums, deductibles, out-of-pocket maximums) and reduces the opportunity for abuse by insurance companies. This is a good thing.



If you are unwilling to consider cost-effectiveness in determining coverage, then you are part of the problem you are complaining about. It is precisely that attitude that causes medical costs to spiral out of control.



No. You don't control your gender and height. I'm OK with making weight a factor as long as the premium spread is relatively small...probably less than the 1.5-to-1 spread insurance companies can charge smoking, since weight is not entirely behavioral like smoking is.



It'll at least cover them for catastrophic coverage, which is better than no insurance at all. And IIRC the maximum annual deductible will be $2,000 for "qualified plans" (i.e. plans eligible to be offered on the health insurance exchanges).



Poor people actually getting health care...imagine that. The horror, the horror! I love how you frame this criticism in such an accusatory way, like you automatically assume that I would share your revulsion to such an idea. :lol:



So rather than study the cost-effectiveness of procedures and stop funding the wasteful ones, your solution is instead to keep doing as many wasteful procedures as the doctor wants and just letting poor people die. Yep, clearly you're the fiscally responsible one of the two of us.



What's your point? Medicaid is not directly comparable to private insurance for a variety of reasons. First of all, Medicaid recipients are poorer on average than private insurance recipients, and therefore more likely to be in worse health. Second of all, Medicaid covers some of the really expensive procedures after patients have already been financially ruined by medical bills, whereas private insurance patients covers proportionally more patients who never need health care at all.

You just can't see the forest with all of those trees in the way. Under PPACA the added 45 million people's PREMIUMs are paid mostly by the taxpayers (and other SELF-PAYING insured people) and those "poor" people will STILL pay NO out of pocket money, so ALL costs UNDER that (never paid) deductable AND up to the (never paid) max out of pocket limit will STILL be a "public burden". The rest is paid TO THE PROVIDER they win, as does the insurance company, since they get their profit from the premiums; but the PUBLIC still loses, even MORE than they do now (simply by the ADDED 20% insurance overhead). As this "guesstimate" shows it will still cost A MINIMUM of $2,500 to $4,500 for each of the MILLIONS added under PPACA, how that can possibly be seen as REDUCING costs is beyond belief.

Link: How Much Does Health Insurance Cost? The Average Premium for Individual Coverage in 2011 was $183 per month, eHealth Study Finds / eHealth
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

Under PPACA the added 45 million people's PREMIUMs are paid mostly by the taxpayers

The notion that the US is such an impoverished nation that we need to save money by just letting poor people die in the streets for want of medical care, while countries like Morocco have been providing everybody with medical care for more than 30 years now, is just bizarre.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

"learning about the tax lie"? lol. Seriously, you think Republicans are that stupid? You think they like heard that this penalty was authorized under the taxation power and thought "gosh, that there 'bama dun said it waadn't no tax! he dun lied!'"? LOL. No, dude, even Republicans aren't that stupid. Obviously the penalty is the same thing as it always was. Nothing changed. What constitutional power authorizes it doesn't somehow change it from a good policy to a bad policy or something. Most constitutional scholars believe it is under the commerce power. Roberts thinks it's only under the taxation power. Obviously a new constitutional limit on the commerce power that the courts just made up the other day doesn't mean everybody who adhered to the previous interepretation of the commerce clause is a "liar"... Seriously man, that angle is just too stupid to even really explain... You need to think harder.

Then let us make this little tax law change, that we will call the "polution fairness act"; instead of a "hybrid car tax credit", let's add a "no hybrid car tax penalty" instead, of say $1,000, so that the 145 million tax returns, filed by those that do NOT own a hybrid car, can be properly punished for not being "green" enough.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

Then let us make this little tax law change, that we will call the "polution fairness act"; instead of a "hybrid car tax credit", let's add a "no hybrid car tax penalty" instead, of say $1,000, so that the 145 million tax returns, filed by those that do NOT own a hybrid car, can be properly punished for not being "green" enough.

Of course, if we the people and our representatives want to do that, the constitution doesn't stop it. In fact, we already do- we tax gas.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

The notion that the US is such an impoverished nation that we need to save money by just letting poor people die in the streets for want of medical care, while countries like Morocco have been providing everybody with medical care for more than 30 years now, is just bizarre.

It is FAR cheaper to fly them all to Morocco, first class, than to pay for ONE YEAR of ObamaCare. ;-)
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

It is FAR cheaper to fly them all to Morocco, first class, than to pay for ONE YEAR of ObamaCare. ;-)

And why do you think that is that Morocco is doing so much better keeping the costs of medical care down? From what I can tell, it is because they have a single payer system.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2[W:1, 183, 386]

And why do you think that is that Morocco is doing so much better keeping the costs of medical care down? From what I can tell, it is because they have a single payer system.

Check the cost of doctors and hospitals, even you might find a clue.
 
Re: SCOTUS LIVEBLOG - Obamacare Mandate Survives-Part 2

"learning about the tax lie"? lol. Seriously, you think Republicans are that stupid? You think they like heard that this penalty was authorized under the taxation power and thought "gosh, that there 'bama dun said it waadn't no tax! he dun lied!'"? LOL. No, dude, even Republicans aren't that stupid. Obviously the penalty is the same thing as it always was. Nothing changed. What constitutional power authorizes it doesn't somehow change it from a good policy to a bad policy or something. Most constitutional scholars believe it is under the commerce power. Roberts thinks it's only under the taxation power. Obviously a new constitutional limit on the commerce power that the courts just made up the other day doesn't mean everybody who adhered to the previous interepretation of the commerce clause is a "liar"... Seriously man, that angle is just too stupid to even really explain... You need to think harder.

You're repeating the same old debunked point. Obama's team ARGUED it was a tax at the SCOTUS all while he was telling the people it wasn't a tax. I showed that some time back in this thread with transcripts from the court. So yes, that makes him a liar. Seriously.
 
Health care mandate is tax, will negatively affect middle, lower class, some say

The Supreme Court decision made it official -- the health care mandate is a tax. That is a characterization one Senator says would have doomed its passage had it been known at the time.

"There would not have been ten votes for the legislation," South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham said. "Nobody would have wanted to have gone home and say, 'I just increased your taxes by billions of dollars over the next 10 years to fix health care.'

snip

President Obama sold those tax increases by promising they would not hit most people.


"If your family earns less than $250,000 a year, you will not see your taxes increased a single dime," the President told a joint session of Congress in 2009.


Many of the taxes and penalties, however, will hit the middle class and below, such as the penalties on those who do not buy insurance.




Read more: Health care mandate is tax, will negatively affect middle, lower class, some say | Fox News

In watching the Sunday shows this morning I see a lot of fancy dancing by demo's on these shows...One thing strikes me as not only expected, but just as slimy, and underhanded as we've come to expect out of these demo's today....And that is that even though the opinion of the SCOTUS is clear, that the law is a tax, and a huge one, they are all over trying to paint this as not what CJ Roberts, and the majority opinion said it was in order to make it stand.

So, tell us demo's, now that it is classified as a tax in order to be constitutional, isn't Obama caught in the same lie that did in Geo. H.W. Bush....The "read my lips.." gambit? And how does he prevail now that he is being uncovered as the biggest taxer, and spender we've ever had in office?
 
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