Blog Comments

  1. <alt>doxygen's Avatar
    I'd hoped that once in office he would realize the gravity of the situation, start acting like an adult instead of a petulant child, and surround himself with advisors that could make up for his complete lack of knowledge and preparation for being POTUS. That hope was gone by the time he made his first few cabinet picks.

    What's in his head is the same thing that would be in the head of any petulant child in that position - "I have power. I will use it to hurt people that don't suck up to me."

    Pathetic.
  2. Angel's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by X Factor
    Precisely!
    You're a cat lover too, like me, yes?
  3. X Factor's Avatar
  4. enderpotato00's Avatar
    I'm so sorry for you.
  5. Big Ed's Avatar
    Have you accounted for those who are conservative, but will not announce as such due to fear of reprisals?
  6. Angel's Avatar
    Thank you. Limericks are fun!
  7. Perotista's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by pilot16
    Suspect Ohio being more of a rust belt state has more manufacturing concerns that FL does. Currently Brown is applauding Trumps tariffs and agrees with his trade policy. FL relies very heavily on the snowbirds who come from the predominantly blue northern states. I assume it makes a bit of a difference.
    probably does. I know over the years, decades, Georgia has had quite a migration from the Northeast to here. Being Georgia is called the poor man's Florida, it makes sense many more would head further south.

    Our state taxes are lower, we also over the decades picked up a lot of businesses from both the northeast and the midwest. Those from the northeast settle in and around Atlanta, it's now called the Atlanta metro area and is about as blue and blue can get. About as liberal also as Massachusetts and the likes.

    Retirees don't want their social security and pensions messed with or taxed by the state. 65 and older, Georgia doesn't, I don't think Florida does either.

    Whom migrates from what states also makes a difference.
  8. pilot16's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Perotista
    That Florida is. It seems elections are always close. That what one suspects should happen, doesn't always. What's interesting is in Florida, Trump won by a bit more than a single point. In Ohio, Trump won by eight points. Yet the senate races have taken a complete opposite track. Brown is up by 8 points in Ohio which would be a 16 point swing from Republican to democrat. Nelson is basically even as was the presidential race of 2016 in Florida. Senator Brown is also quiet the same as Nelson. You don't hear much from either, at least nationally.

    Ohio has had some wild swings from one party to the other, Florida is usually really close. Ohio give Obama a five point win, then Trump an eight point win. Florida on the other hand, gives Obama a single point win followed by giving Trump a single point win. No wild swing, always close.

    Exactly what that means, I'm not sure. Perhaps Ohio has many more independent or swing voters, less loyalty to a political party whereas those voters in Florida are more loyal with fewer independents?

    Suspect Ohio being more of a rust belt state has more manufacturing concerns that FL does. Currently Brown is applauding Trumps tariffs and agrees with his trade policy. FL relies very heavily on the snowbirds who come from the predominantly blue northern states. I assume it makes a bit of a difference.
  9. Perotista's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by pilot16
    From what I have read Scott has some advantages because he welcomed Puerto Ricans after the hurricane. That may help him a bit with that demographic. He also reportedly has a huge advantage with Cubans which again will help. The tough thing I have always felt about Florida is we know the retirees vote at a much higher rate than others so it tends to give republicans the advantage quite often. But I dont know a lot about Nelson. Have read where some feel he is too "quiet" and not a go getter which hurts him a bit. He will secure that democratic base easily but this is one state where the indies will likely decide. Its always a tough state I suspect.
    That Florida is. It seems elections are always close. That what one suspects should happen, doesn't always. What's interesting is in Florida, Trump won by a bit more than a single point. In Ohio, Trump won by eight points. Yet the senate races have taken a complete opposite track. Brown is up by 8 points in Ohio which would be a 16 point swing from Republican to democrat. Nelson is basically even as was the presidential race of 2016 in Florida. Senator Brown is also quiet the same as Nelson. You don't hear much from either, at least nationally.

    Ohio has had some wild swings from one party to the other, Florida is usually really close. Ohio give Obama a five point win, then Trump an eight point win. Florida on the other hand, gives Obama a single point win followed by giving Trump a single point win. No wild swing, always close.

    Exactly what that means, I'm not sure. Perhaps Ohio has many more independent or swing voters, less loyalty to a political party whereas those voters in Florida are more loyal with fewer independents?
  10. pilot16's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Perotista
    Florida is one of those state where at the moment it looks like it could be decided by less than a single point. In other words, Florida is a pure tossup. My reasoning this month is the age old mantra of going with the incumbent as the incumbent usually has advantages the challenger doesn't. Although I went with it this month, upon reflection a lot of Nelson's incumbent advantages is negated because Scott is Governor and is as well known as Nelson.

    In the three July polls available, Scott lead in two, Nelson one. All within the margin of error or right at the edge. The undecideds ranged from 9% to 17%. It is a pure tossup, a flip the coin race at the moment. So too are several others, Indiana is one, but Indiana is a deeper red state which is why I went with the GOP challenger. Trump's approval rating is higher in Indiana than in Florida, although at roughly 45% in Florida is above the national average.

    Scott is as good a choice as Nelson. The national mood is against Trump and the republicans. Not so much in Florida. I'll give it another month, but you have succeeded in making me wonder about this race and perhaps I did give incumbency too much credit here. We'll know more come September.

    From what I have read Scott has some advantages because he welcomed Puerto Ricans after the hurricane. That may help him a bit with that demographic. He also reportedly has a huge advantage with Cubans which again will help. The tough thing I have always felt about Florida is we know the retirees vote at a much higher rate than others so it tends to give republicans the advantage quite often. But I dont know a lot about Nelson. Have read where some feel he is too "quiet" and not a go getter which hurts him a bit. He will secure that democratic base easily but this is one state where the indies will likely decide. Its always a tough state I suspect.
  11. Perotista's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by pilot16
    Interesting thanks! I agree with your observations except that I think Scott will pull out an upset over Nelson in Florida. He has a bit of momentum and they said he is polling extraordinarily well with Cubans.
    Florida is one of those state where at the moment it looks like it could be decided by less than a single point. In other words, Florida is a pure tossup. My reasoning this month is the age old mantra of going with the incumbent as the incumbent usually has advantages the challenger doesn't. Although I went with it this month, upon reflection a lot of Nelson's incumbent advantages is negated because Scott is Governor and is as well known as Nelson.

    In the three July polls available, Scott lead in two, Nelson one. All within the margin of error or right at the edge. The undecideds ranged from 9% to 17%. It is a pure tossup, a flip the coin race at the moment. So too are several others, Indiana is one, but Indiana is a deeper red state which is why I went with the GOP challenger. Trump's approval rating is higher in Indiana than in Florida, although at roughly 45% in Florida is above the national average.

    Scott is as good a choice as Nelson. The national mood is against Trump and the republicans. Not so much in Florida. I'll give it another month, but you have succeeded in making me wonder about this race and perhaps I did give incumbency too much credit here. We'll know more come September.
  12. pilot16's Avatar
    Interesting thanks! I agree with your observations except that I think Scott will pull out an upset over Nelson in Florida. He has a bit of momentum and they said he is polling extraordinarily well with Cubans.
  13. theliq's Avatar
    I like