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The 'Blue Wave' Bearing Down On 2018...Or is it?

Saladin4 said:
Oh no the go to line for the angry white trump supporters...."Illegals Voted"......Pathetic
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You know what's really "pathetic", Sal? Your inability to interpret simple english.

What's the problem amigo, usted no comprende inglés?

Wanna try again? It's not complicated? Just google it and make up a cover story about your 1st try.

Have a lovely day~
 
Helix said:
i'd pull that lever until it snaps right the **** off. i don't think that i've ever been this motivated to vote. let's hope that there is some organization out there waking up the kids.

i watched TV news for the first time in a while yesterday, and it was wall to wall Republican ad bull****. i saw not one ad for Democrats. they had better not squander this anger.
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NYT article today recommended visiting this site: https://toolbox.dccc.org/take-action/ You can find out what needs to be done in your congressional district.
 
SDET said:
Overconfidence is stupidity on both sides. Even if they lose bigly, some group of advisers will cause them to dispense with the socialistic craziness eventually.
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To me; the Dems appear very close to an open Socialist platform.

Although it could just be wishful hoping on my part...Oh-please let it be real!

Its about time Dems experience a moment of honesty and break free of the closet.
 
Rogue Valley said:
The Indie's will decide many of the races in November. I believe they've had enough of Trump,
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Is that a gut feeling or did you hear that somewhere?

his corrupt swamp, and the Trump-enabling GOP.
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You're way off here, RV.

First; it's not Trump's swamp, it was there long before he came to town...In fact it was part of his campaign to "drain the swamp".

Second; He's received very little help from the GOP since he became President...Many are "Establishment Republicans" and are nearly as anti-Trump as the Democrats, although not so open about it.
 
MovingPictures said:
I'm going to start bookmarking these kind of arrogant posts from the right, so that when reality arrives we can revisit them.

I certainly wouldn't be making these kind of bold statements if the GOP were swinging seats 20+ points.
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And if you're wrong; will you pull a Crooked Hillary and conveniently lose them?
 
Empirica said:
And if you're wrong; will you pull a Crooked Hillary and conveniently lose them?
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No, I won't.

Will you pull a Do-tard and act like you win even in defeat?
 
Xelor said:
Red:
Your assertion would have more credibility were you to present metrics that show the progressively endogenous diminution of Democrats' zeal for prevailing in at least the House this coming November.
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That sure is some fancy wordplay you put together there, Xelor.

Your sentence flows as though choreographed like one of those epic dance scenes in a Fred Astaire/Ginger Rogers musical...I'm impressed. :applaud:
 
Gamewell45 said:
Time will tell no doubt; people can franchise all they want or lower the voting age but the only accurate poll is the one conducted on election day.
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So very true Gamewell; but we are here to talk about politics. :)
 
Redress said:
Actual data suggests otherwise: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/

What will happen in November is any one's guess, but pretty much all metrics and history suggest democratic gains are likely. Since you included no data, no evidence, to support your claims, they are kinda laughable at best.
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Consider this, Red...

Those "metrics and history" are countered by an already proven variable in a much higher stakes arena.

And that proven variable is of course the ever volatile Donald Trump who now has a booming economy under his belt along with a few other amazing accomplishments.

And he did all this in less than 19 months while under fire from a hostile Media and Democrat Party, a trumped-up investigation and with very little support from his own Republican Party...Wow; huh?

late said:
If Trump's trade war takes a bite out of the economy before the election, the blue wave becomes a blue tidal wave...
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I'll just betcha I could guess what you are hoping and praying for...tsk-tsk-tsk...
 
Empirica said:
Well call me a land lubber and shiver me timbers but it appears that the "Blue Wave" loses its sea-legs a wee-bit every time the 'fake news media' opens its Anti-Trump mouth.

The only hope for the Big Blue Wave might rest with the Democrats franchising several million illegal aliens and lowering the nationwide voting age to '16'; before election day.

If not; the Democrat Party might have to abandon ship or end up at the bottom of the Mariana Trench in November.
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The Republicans this year have 37 house seats where the incumbent has chosen not to run for reelection. It's much easier to win an open seat than beat an incumbent. As of today, the Republicans have 54 at risk seats or seats up for grabs vs. 6 for the democrats. Being at risk doesn't mean the GOP will lose them, it also doesn't mean they win them either. Breaking down the republican held house seats Las Vegas style, they have 9 seats where their candidate stands a less than 45% chance of winning. 20 where it is 50-50 and 25 where the odds are 51-55% chance of winning. On the Democratic side, they have one seat with a less than 45% chance of winning 2 that are 50-50 and 3 that fall within the 51-55% range.

Those numbers are dynamic and change all the time. But that is where things stand today. That is today, not in November. They don't look good for the Republicans.
 
ElChupacabra said:
:lamo

I'm still waiting on the evidence of the 3 million illegal voters Trump claimed cost him the popular vote in 2016. Oh, and whatever happened to the Voter Fraud Commission? I thought Kris Kobach was going to get to the bottom of this and expose all of the fraud?
:doh
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Be patient, ElChup...President Trump still has 6+ years of problem solving time ahead of him. :thumbs:
 
Empirica said:
That sure is some fancy wordplay you put together there, Xelor.

Your sentence flows as though choreographed like one of those epic dance scenes in a Fred Astaire/Ginger Rogers musical...I'm impressed. :applaud:
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Thank you.
 
Xelor said:
Red:
Your assertion would have more credibility were you to present metrics that show the progressively endogenous diminution of Democrats' zeal for prevailing in at least the House this coming November.
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Democrats need the centrists who they have abandoned and by default have to vote for someone. Hmmm...”open borders and Socialism or Trump and economic expansion”.
 
Bullseye said:
They don't. The average joes and jills got tax breaks too, 90% of tax payers benefitted directly. And the top earners now pay a greater share of the total tax bill. Do I also have to point to the millions of workers that got instantaneous pay raises, bonuses, and upgraded benefits as well? Not to mention job openings being created at record levels.
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Many of us cant be bought off with a tax cut. I know how I will be voting in Nov, Warren !!
 
Empirica said:
You know what's really "pathetic", Sal? Your inability to interpret simple english.

What's the problem amigo, usted no comprende inglés?

Wanna try again? It's not complicated? Just google it and make up a cover story about your 1st try.

Have a lovely day~
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Wow, I didn't the angry Right Wingers were into spelling so much.....Being the low information types and all....
 
Empirica said:
And if you're wrong; will you pull a Crooked Hillary and conveniently lose them?
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Wow name one charge...Just one Hillary Clinton has been charged with?......Surely you angry white people can name one?
 
Redress said:
Actual data suggests otherwise: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/

What will happen in November is any one's guess, but pretty much all metrics and history suggest democratic gains are likely. Since you included no data, no evidence, to support your claims, they are kinda laughable at best.
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You see, your post pretty much bears out the proof that the dems have lost momentum by you stating "What will happen in November is any one's guess", instead of with the confidence that lefters were speaking with 6 months ago.
 
itsforthekids said:
You see, your post pretty much bears out the proof that the dems have lost momentum by you stating "What will happen in November is any one's guess", instead of with the confidence that lefters were speaking with 6 months ago.
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It is also smart. Instead of making predictions that may, or may not, come to fruition, why not just wait? We can't read something into every word that is uttered by some professional commentator, or anyone else with an opinion, without taking it with a grain of salt. We also don't know what can happen between now and November.
So lets stop the guess work and concentrate on facts as we know them.
 
Empirica said:
I'll just betcha I could guess what you are hoping and praying for...tsk-tsk-tsk...
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You would lose.

My parents and grandparents lived through the Great Depression, and it left them deeply scarred. My grandfather had a good job, kept the family home while building a home for himself, and bought stock steadily through the Depression. They did not suffer want, far from it. But to be a part of that, left them psychologically scarred.

I've seen a number of economic downturns. I hate them.

Your assumption (as well as your deduction) is profoundly flawed.
 
Saladin4 said:
Wow name one charge...Just one Hillary Clinton has been charged with?......Surely you angry white people can name one?
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I see the whatabout HILLARY card is being played by those folks awfully early this AM, after an awful week for our Nation.

Each of the 50 states has their own fascinating dynamics for the 2018 election.

Close to my Illinois, I still believe Minnesota is ground zero for emerging patterns. 5 of their 8 CDs are up for grabs, 3 of them DEM. Expect gop/trump tariffs to play a huge role here.

The DEM Governor is termed out, term limits a gop invention when they can’t win. Both US Senators are up, as well as the most crucial part of every state’s elections for the 2021 remaps, their state legislature.
 
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late said:
You would lose.

My parents and grandparents lived through the Great Depression, and it left them deeply scarred. My grandfather had a good job, kept the family home while building a home for himself, and bought stock steadily through the Depression. They did not suffer want, far from it. But to be a part of that, left them psychologically scarred.

I've seen a number of economic downturns. I hate them.

Your assumption (as well as your deduction) is profoundly flawed.
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I’ll have to speak to you of your Maine some day. Love Cape Elizabeth. We stay in Freeport almost every time out now. Maine is where one side of my Family is from.

Poliquin needs to go; King will be Re-elected; your governor’s race is critical; Olympia Snowe was outstanding compared to spineless Susan Collins.
 
itsforthekids said:
You see, your post pretty much bears out the proof that the dems have lost momentum by you stating "What will happen in November is any one's guess", instead of with the confidence that lefters were speaking with 6 months ago.
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How does saying the same thing I always say indicate a change in momentum?
 
Xelor said:
Red:
Your assertion would have more credibility were you to present metrics that show the progressively endogenous diminution of Democrats' zeal for prevailing in at least the House this coming November.

chuckiechan said:
Democrats need the centrists who they have abandoned and by default have to vote for someone. Hmmm...”open borders and Socialism or Trump and economic expansion”.
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What???

I understand the sentences you penned. I don't understand how you think them germane to my remark to which your post is a response.
  • My remark that you quoted tacitly expresses incredulity about, and very clearly bids the OP-er to provide empirical/quantitative support for, a single assertion in his/her OP.
  • You response to me doesn't provide any relevant metrics and doesn't remark upon my incredulity.
 
Linc said:
I see the whatabout HILLARY card is being played by those folks awfully early this AM, after an awful week for our Nation.

Each of the 50 states has their own fascinating dynamics for the 2018 election.

Close to my Illinois, I still believe Minnesota is ground zero for emerging patterns. 5 of their 8 CDs are up for grabs, 3 of them DEM. Expect gop/trump tariffs to play a huge role here.

The DEM Governor is termed out, term limits a gop invention when they can’t win. Both US Senators are up, as well as the most crucial part of every state’s elections for the 2021 remaps, their state legislature.
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The US has been the sucker of extremely one sided trade deficits for far too long.

I suspect the majority of Americans will agree that a "fair trade" policy is long over due.

IMO; only selfish, greedy, ignorant, radicals will vote against candidates working to balance trade treaties.

So; if the majority of voters fit into one or more of these categories, then your forecast might just hold true.
 
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