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understanding Libya

  • Two rivals, based in Tripoli and Sirte (used to be Bengazi and Tripoli under General Hiftar) contend to rule Libya
  • Unchecked armed militias are gaining political control
  • ( same as before when cities had to hire/volunteer their own militias for basic street law and civil service
  • Foreign actors continue to operate undisturbed in support of their clients (Russia/Egypt/Turkey others)
  • The country may be on the verge of widespread popular unrest

  • ( this has been the situation one way or the other since the NTC faked Hillary into believing they were "democratic" reformers ,They were corrupt Ansar al Sharia front groups)
  • Libya has no history with a functioning unified democracy. Qadaffi was the best it got
 


These events show that Libyan militias are now influential enough to decide who receives the green light to rule the country. The strongest cartel selects the prime minister and his cabinet. All this happens in broad daylight and in plain view of the nearly three million disenfranchised citizens registered to vote.


The leaders of armed groups are tantalizingly close to overt political power. Increasingly, it is not the usual well-known figures on the Libyan political scene who seem to dictate the rules of the game but rather their armed backers. In recent months, the power of militias has risen still more. They are no longer merely armed groups; their role is more complex and increasingly political.


In recent years, the international community focused almost entirely on the political process in Libya, trying to achieve a peaceful and consensual transition to any form of democracy. There was no serious discussion about the disarmament of militias and their possible reintegration into civil society was left aside, primarily because the attempts to resolve the problem in the early years of the conflict all failed.
 
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