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The GOP’s Chances Of Holding The Senate Are Following Trump Downhill

cpwill

cpwill

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Donald Trump’s post-conventions polling slump seems to be having an effect on the Republican Party’s U.S. Senate candidates. We thought this might happen: There’s been an increasingly strong relationship between how a state votes for president and how it votes for Senate over the past few election cycles. And, indeed, Trump’s tumble has coincided with worsening GOP numbers in key states. It may cost the party the Senate...

Six of the eight Republican candidates for Senate are polling worse than they were before the conventions. Nothing has changed in Florida, according to the polls. And Sen. Rob Portman in Ohio is the only Republican whose fortunes have improved. (That may be partially because he has a massive fundraising edge over his Democratic opponent, Ted Strickland.) The biggest shifts have been in Illinois, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, and in the latter two, the leader flipped....

Democrats now lead in enough states to take back the Senate — so long as Clinton holds on to her large lead. If the favorites in the polls win, the Democrats would flip and pick up the seats in Illinois, Indiana, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Republicans would pick up Nevada and hold onto Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. Of course, many of these races are close, and there’s plenty of time before Election Day. The fight for the Senate isn’t over by a long shot. Republicans and Trump — or Republicans without Trump — could rebound. On the other hand, Democrats have a lot more pickup opportunities in the Senate than Republicans do, such as in North Carolina, where the race has been tightening. If Trump’s numbers fall even further or Republican Senate candidates fade down the stretch, as some did in 2012, the Senate picture may become even gloomier for the GOP.
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Well done, Trump Primary Voters.
 
I'd like to formally congratulate Donald Trump and all of his supporters in the Republican Party. Trump and his supporters have done this country a huge favor, decimating the republican party. :lamo
 
David_N said:
I'd like to formally congratulate Donald Trump and all of his supporters in the Republican Party. Trump and his supporters have done this country a huge favor, decimating the republican party. :lamo
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Lol.....you think the Left has any room to talk ?



Thanks to Obama the Dems strategy for winning elections has devolved down pandering to low information voters and sowing seeds of division through identity politics

They sure cant run on his successes, they cant run on the economy, on foreign policy, on Healthcare or domestic policy
 
Fenton said:
Thanks to Obama the Dems strategy for winning elections has devolved down pandering to low information voters and sowing seeds of division through identity politics
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And it was successful. So now Trump is running on the same. Huzzah. Yay Democracy.
 
cpwill said:
And it was successful. So now Trump is running on the same. Huzzah. Yay Democracy.
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And at least the Democrats were sly about it. Trump likes to ram it in their faces that he considers them low information voters who are responding to his planted seeds of division through identity politics.
 
cpwill said:
Well done, Trump Primary Voters.
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I think the pendulum will hit it's democratic apex this election cycle. Republicans are going to do some soul searching between now and 2020.
 
Winchester said:
I think the pendulum will hit it's democratic apex this election cycle.
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hey look - it's me back in 2008! :2razz:

Republicans are going to do some soul searching between now and 2020.
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That is definitely true. Unfortunately, they will also go through a serious internal fight.

In 2020, I'm looking for the Republican willing to (politely, if necessary) tell Sean Hannity to go **** himself.
 
cpwill said:
And it was successful. So now Trump is running on the same. Huzzah. Yay Democracy.
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Successful ? Because Hillary got a post convention bump ?

Hillary would have gotten her bump even if the Convention center burned to the ground on the second night. No matter how bad the DNC was she was going to get a bump in the polls

I watched it, and it was anything but successful. Entertaining yea but a success ? Nope.

As for Hillary's bump, just what exactly was said at the Convention that would compel a independent or undecided voter to chose her over Trump?

Was it the BLM dedication ? Did Katy Perry sway independents ?

Because I heard the same pandering divisive empty rhetoric that they relied on in 2014 and it didn't work for thwm back then.
 
Fenton said:
Successful ?
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In the primary, although it seems he was mostly successful in the primary in getting Democrats to cross over to put him in the top spot.

Because Hillary got a post convention bump ? Hillary would have gotten her bump even if the Convention center burned to the ground on the second night. No matter how bad the DNC was she was going to get a bump in the polls
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Hillary has actually sustained her lead well into post post-convention bounce territory. Statistically, she is now more likely to win by double-digits than Trump is to win at all.

I watched it, and it was anything but successful. Entertaining yea but a success ? Nope.
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It doesn't have to be successful. It just has to fade from memory, while Trump continues to self-destruct and fail to run a campaign.

As for Hillary's bump, just what exactly was said at the Convention that would compel a independent or undecided voter to chose her over Trump?

Was it the BLM dedication ? Did Katy Perry sway independents ?
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Actually it looks like the best vote-getter for Hillary at this point is her GOP opponent.

Because I heard the same pandering divisive empty rhetoric that they relied on in 2014 and it didn't work for thwm back then.
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Yeah. I remember when Mitt Romney won in 2012, too.
 
tres borrachos said:
And at least the Democrats were sly about it. Trump likes to ram it in their faces that he considers them low information voters who are responding to his planted seeds of division through identity politics.
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"I love the uneducated voters!"
 
Fenton said:
Successful ? Because Hillary got a post convention bump ?

Hillary would have gotten her bump even if the Convention center burned to the ground on the second night. No matter how bad the DNC was she was going to get a bump in the polls

I watched it, and it was anything but successful. Entertaining yea but a success ? Nope.

As for Hillary's bump, just what exactly was said at the Convention that would compel a independent or undecided voter to chose her over Trump?

Was it the BLM dedication ? Did Katy Perry sway independents ?

Because I heard the same pandering divisive empty rhetoric that they relied on in 2014 and it didn't work for thwm back then.
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It was her quiet sanity in the face of his general lunacy. Katy Perry helped though
 
Rico Suave said:
It was her quiet sanity in the face of his general lunacy. Katy Perry helped though
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Lol !!

" Quiet sanity " Is that what that was called ? Because it sounded a lot like blatant pandering to the lowest common denominator.

You know, the American voter thats superficial enough to be influenced Politically by a Katy Perry performance

I have a better use for the term " quiet sanity ". Its when Hillary Clintons not feeding the American public one whopper of a lie after the other
 
cpwill said:
Well done, Trump Primary Voters.
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The Dems will take the Senate this year, but if they don't end up with at least 53 seats, their chances of keeping it in 2018 are pretty bleak. Right now, I see the Dems taking it with a 50-50 split and the vice president. My prediction is the GOP takes it back in 2018.
 
danarhea said:
The Dems will take the Senate this year, but if they don't end up with at least 53 seats, their chances of keeping it in 2018 are pretty bleak. Right now, I see the Dems taking it with a 50-50 split and the vice president. My prediction is the GOP takes it back in 2018.
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That might work out to let us get rid of McConnel and let the Ryanites take over the party. I could live with that.
 
countryboy said:
Not exactly.
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Pretty much. If there was a bigger RINO in the race than the guy who liked the Obamacare mandate, thought single-payer healthcare worked well, supports transgender identity politics, refuses to reform entitlements, wants to raise taxes on upper income earners, opposed Reagan, wants to double Hillary's proposed pork to unions infrastructure spending, and is opposed to free trade.... I struggle to think of who it was.

Who did you support?
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Rubio.

(now comes the part where you - foolishly - try to claim that Rubio is secretly a RINO, and then I mock you mercilessly for it).
 
cpwill said:
Pretty much. If there was a bigger RINO in the race than the guy who liked the Obamacare mandate, thought single-payer healthcare worked well, supports transgender identity politics, refuses to reform entitlements, wants to raise taxes on upper income earners, opposed Reagan, wants to double Hillary's proposed pork to unions infrastructure spending, and is opposed to free trade.... I struggle to think of who it was.



Rubio.

(now comes the part where you - foolishly - try to claim that Rubio is secretly a RINO, and then I mock you mercilessly for it).
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Do you honestly believe support for Mr. Amnesty didn't play any role whatsoever in Trump's victory?
 
The ugly ads against Kelly Ayotte just started. They are playing clips of her calling herself an "Independent voice", then pointing out how she supports Trump when so many others have disavowed him. I almost guarantee this will cost her the election. Thanks Trump voters.
 
countryboy said:
Do you honestly believe support for Mr. Amnesty didn't play any role whatsoever in Trump's victory?
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I think this is what played the major role in Trump's victory:


DJT Media.jpg


The media fell in love with the controversies, the ratings, and turned the primary into a referendum of "Are you happy with things as they are, or do you support Crazy But Disruptive Trump?". They choked off all the other candidates on-air, and it turned out, enough Republican primary voters were stupid enough to fall for it. We let the media and Democrats pick our candidate for us.
 
cpwill said:
I think this is what played the major role in Trump's victory:


View attachment 67206041


The media fell in love with the controversies, the ratings, and turned the primary into a referendum of "Are you happy with things as they are, or do you support Crazy But Disruptive Trump?". They choked off all the other candidates on-air, and it turned out, enough Republican primary voters were stupid enough to fall for it. We let the media and Democrats pick our candidate for us.
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Yeah, rational people call that denial.
 
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