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Landslide coming on tuesday

AreteCourage said:
Anyone who thinks this will be a landslide in either direction is fooling themselves. It will not be a landslide and people need to stop with that ignorant thinking.
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I'll put this in my signature, you will be wrong.
 
Amigo said:
I'll put this in my signature, you will be wrong.
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I'm absolutely scared. Landslides won't be happening this time around. Go ahead and quote me for all I care...If I'm wrong then I'll admit it but I feel it is naive to believe a landslide in such a close election
 
jdxprs said:
Dems always look to have the easier path to 270 because of CA and NY. If you look at the way polls are being done, to make obama look like he is close, and you look at early voting totals so far, Romney clearly has paths to 270. 30,000 people showed up to see Romney just outside of philly two days ago. He hadn't even been campaigning there!!! Republicans are FIRED UP, democrats just haven't noticed.
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18,000 people showed up to see Romney last night at a venue that only holds 11,000. 7000 people were turned away. It was amazing! Yes, we are fired up.
 
Romney has multiple paths to 270. The President has been trying to run out the clock by sitting on the ball. We will know in a day who was right.
 
tres borrachos said:
18,000 people showed up to see Romney last night at a venue that only holds 11,000. 7000 people were turned away. It was amazing! Yes, we are fired up.
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Yep, and 14,000 turned up to see Obama in New Hampshire, which was a record for the biggest political rally in the state's history. :shrug:

Doesn't mean much.
 
AdamT said:
Yep, and 14,000 turned up to see Obama in New Hampshire, which was a record for the biggest political rally in the state's history. :shrug:

Doesn't mean much.
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4 electoral votes!! :lamo
 
Amigo said:
4 electoral votes!! :lamo
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As I said -- rally attendance doesn't mean much. But FYI, according to Silver's forecast NH is more likely to be a tipping point state than Florida.
 
AdamT said:
As I said -- rally attendance doesn't mean much. But FYI, according to Silver's forecast NH is more likely to be a tipping point state than Florida.
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Yeah, Nate Silver says a lot of things! ;)
 
Michigan officials projecting historic, record setting turnout throughout the state.
 
Amigo said:
I'll put this in my signature, you will be wrong.
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And by signature you mean............................................:)
 
CedarBear said:
Michigan officials projecting historic, record setting turnout throughout the state.
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This is a rare occasion where high turnout favors the republican.
 
jdxprs said:
Romney wins in a landslide. When MN, WI, MI, and PA end up going into romneys column, this election will be over with early. Everyone who thinks obama will be re-elected failed in their judgement the same way they failed to understand history. Obama must not have studied Jimmy Carter's presidency, because he failed the same way Carter did, trying to drive the same failed policies.

Romney will win the popular vote 51.5% to 46.8%, and the electoral college will be Romney 325, Obama 213.
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I would march back into that psychics office and ask for my money back ;) because the one you seem to have used was not in tune with the cosmos or the spirit world.
 
jdxprs said:
Romney wins in a landslide. When MN, WI, MI, and PA end up going into romneys column, this election will be over with early. Everyone who thinks obama will be re-elected failed in their judgement the same way they failed to understand history. Obama must not have studied Jimmy Carter's presidency, because he failed the same way Carter did, trying to drive the same failed policies.

Romney will win the popular vote 51.5% to 46.8%, and the electoral college will be Romney 325, Obama 213.
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I guess we can safely say you were wrong now huh :)
 
jdxprs said:
Romney wins in a landslide. When MN, WI, MI, and PA end up going into romneys column, this election will be over with early. Everyone who thinks obama will be re-elected failed in their judgement the same way they failed to understand history. Obama must not have studied Jimmy Carter's presidency, because he failed the same way Carter did, trying to drive the same failed policies.

Romney will win the popular vote 51.5% to 46.8%, and the electoral college will be Romney 325, Obama 213.
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Wait........what?
 
Dragonfly said:
Wait........what?
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This is what happens when you make predictions off your gut feeling and random internet blogs run by people unqualified to tie their own shoes such as unskewed polls.
 
If every single eligible US voter actually bothered to vote on Election Day, it would be near impossible for a republican candidate to win.
 
In my circle of friends in the dc, Md, VA area I only know 2 that voted for Romney, I am suprised some of my Republican friends voted for Obama, especially when I learned they did it for all the wrong reasons...apparently they were scared of having a Mormon, which given Romney's track recond on Mormonism is a silly worry. Afaik he never waged a campaign of tithes or polygamy....
 
As I said earlier in this thread, those predicting a Landslide on either side were being foolish. And it proved to be correct. Obama had a solid win, but one that is even smaller than his 2008 Victory which was decidingly NOT a landslide.

Here are three examples of things reasonably able to be called a landslide:

1964. LBJ won in 88% of the electoral bodies in the country. He won 90% of the electoral vote. He won the popular vote by a margin of 22.6% Landslide

1972. Nixon won in 96% of the electoral bodies in the country. He won 97% of the electoral votes. He won the popular vote by a margin of 23.2%

1984. Reagan won 96% of the electoral bodies in the country. He won 98% of the electoral votes. He won the popular vote by a margin of 18.2%

Those are LANDSLIDE victories. In terms of the measurements with upper limits (states / electoral votes) they all gained over 3/4ths of the numbers available. In terms of the measurement that has no realistic upper limit (popular vote), they all won at a margin in the double digits.

Compare those with other recent ones, some of which are erroneously being claimed as “landslides” and you’ll see that the usage of the term on the ones that follow is either laughable in and of itself or is an action that does a distinct disservice to language by devaluing the term in general.

2012 (and I’m going to assume Florida goes to Obama for these purposes). Obama won 53% of the electoral bodies in the country. He won 62% of the electoral vote. He won the popular vote by a margin of 2%

2008. Obama wins 57% of the electoral bodies in the country. He won 68% of the electoral vote. He won the popular vote by a margin of 7.2%

1996. Clinton won 63% of the electoral bodies. He won 71% of the electoral vote. He won the popular vote with a margin of 8.5%

1988. Bush won 78% of the electoral bodies. He won 79% of the electoral vote. He won the popular vote by 7.7%

Even looking at those four elections, the past two do not even match up to 1996 and 1988, two that I would argue do NOT meet the requirements to be described as a landslide, let alone the likes of 64 / 72 / 84.

Let’s day Democrat victory compared to Democrat Victory.

LBJ won just under 9/10ths of all the electoral bodies. Obama was barely over 5/10ths, or half. LBJ crossed the 3/4ths threshold, Obama did not.

LBJ won 9/10ths of all the electoral votes. Obama won just over 6/10ths. Again, LBJ crosses the 3/4ths threshold, Obama did not.

LBJ won not only be double digits, but in the 20% range in the popular vote. Obama won by 2%...or essentially 1/10th of the range that LBJ had.

To call both of those elections a “landslide” is to do a disservice to history, to the English language, and to peoples intelligence.

This is like playing a game to 21 in basketball (giving it an upper limit) and calling a win that’s 21 to 16 a “blowout” and using that same term to describe a game that finishes at 21 to 2.


LBJ, Nixon, Reagan? They had landslides.
Bush 42, and arguably Clinton in 1996, had a near landslide.
Obama had a strong win in 2008.
Obama 2012, and arguably Bush 04 (on the lower end of this slot), had a solid win.
Bush in 2000 won a squeeker.

This election was never going to be a landslide, for either candidate. It was ridiculous to even suggest it. To people calling it an “electoral landslide” now, it’s still ridiculous. This win doesn’t even match up to ’92 Bush or even ’96 Clinton…let alone the truly “landslide” victories of ’64, ’72, and ’84.
 
jdxprs said:
Romney wins in a landslide. When MN, WI, MI, and PA end up going into romneys column, this election will be over with early. Everyone who thinks obama will be re-elected failed in their judgement the same way they failed to understand history. Obama must not have studied Jimmy Carter's presidency, because he failed the same way Carter did, trying to drive the same failed policies.

Romney will win the popular vote 51.5% to 46.8%, and the electoral college will be Romney 325, Obama 213.
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BUMP for conservative delusionary thinking.
 
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