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Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral vote

Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

Amigo said:
"They" are my friends and neighbors. I don't need a link.
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So you want us to believe your scientific methodology is "friends and neighbors" and therefore it's true? This thread is about Nate Silver and polling accuracies and now you're claiming that your numbers are from personal testimonial of your "friends and neighbors"? You appear to be deeply immersed in the GOP bubble.
 
Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

Amigo said:
Ok, so the messiah Nate Silver says so...got it..Nice dodge! Because they had they opposite for Obama in 2008, they had Obama around that number.
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I provide links that anyone can read and determine what they think - you know, take what you need and leave the rest. You provide anectdotes?
 
Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

AdamT said:
Yep, Sam Wang of Princeton called 50 out of 50 ... and he gives Obama a 98.2% to 99.9% chance of winning.
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Thank you, Adam.
 
Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

Your Star said:
I can't wait for the day after the election when the electoral college looks exactly like Silver's predictions, should be fun to watch people's heads explode.
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laughing-dog1.jpg
 
Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

j-mac said:
That'll be President Mittens to you in three days....:mrgreen:
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which brought the responses of:

upsideguy said:
...which, of course, there is only a 15% chance of.....

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
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AdamT said:
Actually, a 0.1% - 1.6% chance. ;)

http://election.princeton.edu/
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To which J-Mac responds:

j-mac said:
Man, are you guys going to be un consolable after tuesday....Do us a favor, and get over your depression before posting on Nov 7....
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I know I am over my depression. How about you?
 
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Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

upsideguy said:
which brought the responses of:





To which J-Mac responds:



I know I am over my depression. How about you?
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Wow, was I wrong.....Yeah man, no depression here....Ok maybe a little...but I'll be alright...:)
 
Re: Nate Silver forecast gives Obama an 85.3 percent chance of winning the electoral

What happened to the "libral media" conspiracy to provide false poll results?

Oh, it was all just another conservative noise machine meme! That's all conservatism has left -- empty, false talking points.

Silver is the MAN!
 
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