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Ohio Demographics Point to a Romney Victory

j-mac said:
the numbers suggest that you are cannibalizing your election day vote, while republicans have more first time voters in this area...Now couple that with the new energy fields found in the NE part of the state that Obama will kill, thus eliminating many of those jobs, and I think it you that will be disappointed on Nov 7.
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That would be wishful thinking. I'll take the votes in the bank any day of the week.
 
AdamT said:
It's based on polling in Ohio and on party ID in most other states.
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So it IS exit polling...and it has an accuracy of what?...
Exit polls projected John Kerry to win the 2004 election. You may have heard he lost. The bias in his direction was about 2.5 percentage points. Thus, a 51%-48% Kerry victory became a 50.7%-48.3% Bush triumph. Anyone remember 2000 and Al Gore in Florida? The same 2.5-point Democratic bias occurred in 1992, but Bill Clinton easily took the election, so no one actually cared. The list goes on and on.
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How can exit polls be so wrong? | Harry J Enten | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

Keep on believin' dude...pathetic
 
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