Romney Gallup Numbers Best Since 1936

Mitt Romney’s Gallup daily tracking poll numbers are now better than any presidential challenger dating back to 1936.


Mr. Romney holds the lead in the nine elections since 1936 in which either an incumbent president was defeated or there was no incumbent.


Mr. Romney is even competitive with some victorious incumbents.

Mr. Romney also leads Harry Truman, who at 41% trailed challenger Thomas Dewey by four points.


Critics of Gallup say that this poll is an outlier and all other polls show a closer race. But in this age of poll-averaging it is important to remember that sometimes only one pollster gets it right. In 1976 only the Burns Roper poll called it clearly for Carter. In 1980, when Gallup and others showed Ronald Reagan either statistically tied with or losing to Jimmy Carter in the last weeks of the race, pollster Lou Harris vigorously defended his poll showing a substantial Reagan victory in the offing. While others hedged he predicted Reagan would be “the clear winner.” Mr. Reagan won with 50.7% of the vote and 489 electoral votes.

Read more: TRR: Romney Gallup Numbers Best Since 1936 - Washington Times TRR: Romney Gallup Numbers Best Since 1936 - Washington Times
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zimmer said:

Dick Morris thinks Romney is set to go well over 300 in the electoral college.
He might have turned his back on the Left and Hillary especially, but the guy is astute. His book about his role getting Clinton reelected is especially interesting.

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Fisher said:

I think he is being overly optimistic. Romney has a decent shot, but he will not go over 300 unless this Benghazi thing produces a smoking gun before the election. Frankenstorm rolling up the mid-Atlantic might help Romney. If power is knocked out in places like Richmond and No. VA, and into MD and eastern PA, it could depress dem turnout even if the power is back on by Nov. 6. Nothing drains the life out of you like having no power for a few days.

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zimmer said:

Nothing motivates more than feeling powerless for four years. Come hell or high water, or both... Republicans will march. 2010 showed that... the special elections showed that.

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CedarBear said:

Yep.

It's very difficult to poll 'Very pissed off'.

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