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Rasmussen: Romney 261, Obama 253

rocket88

rocket88

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Rasmussen: Romney 261, Obama 253 | The Weekly Standard

Now this is interesting. Note that 261 is not enough to be elected (neither is 253, obviously).

Constitutional Quiz, what happens next?

The House picks BUT - each rep does not get a vote. Each state delegation gets one vote.

I've heard that the Senate picks the VP - Romney/Biden?
 
Rasmusen :lamo:mrgreen::lamo - subtract at least 10% from the Republican and add at least 10% to the Democrat. Then you have something approaching reality.
 
haymarket said:
Rasmusen :lamo:mrgreen::lamo - subtract at least 10% from the Republican and add at least 10% to the Democrat. Then you have something approaching reality.
Click to expand...

Regardless of the source, it makes for the most interesting map of all.
 
rocket88 said:
Rasmussen: Romney 261, Obama 253 | The Weekly Standard

Now this is interesting. Note that 261 is not enough to be elected (neither is 253, obviously).

Constitutional Quiz, what happens next?

The House picks BUT - each rep does not get a vote. Each state delegation gets one vote.

I've heard that the Senate picks the VP - Romney/Biden?
Click to expand...

That'd be fun a Romney/Biden administration. I really don't like the state delegations getting one vote each with the way the states are gerrymandered.
 
Anagram said:
That'd be fun a Romney/Biden administration. I really don't like the state delegations getting one vote each with the way the states are gerrymandered.
Click to expand...

Not sure I like that setup either, but it's a little late to amend the Constitution for this year.

And the Senate does pick the VP - 12th Amendment
 
That article doesn't make clear that they are not assigning Ohio or Iowa, which explains why nobody is up to 270.

There are a total of 538 electoral votes.

The article only dispenses 514.

Ohio and Iowa make the difference.
 
haymarket said:
Rasmusen :lamo:mrgreen::lamo - subtract at least 10% from the Republican and add at least 10% to the Democrat. Then you have something approaching reality.
Click to expand...
Interesting. The last Rasmussen poll I saw had it 50-47 Romney. By your math that makes it 57-40 Obama... or, in other words a blowout the likes of Reagan over Mondale.

Must be due to that impeccable record Obama has to lean on.
 
Jack Fabulous said:
Interesting. The last Rasmussen poll I saw had it 50-47 Romney. By your math that makes it 57-40 Obama... or, in other words a blowout the likes of Reagan over Mondale.

Must be due to that impeccable record Obama has to lean on.
Click to expand...

I said 10% - not 10 points. I was adjusting for the greater Electoral College numbers.
 
rocket88 said:
Rasmussen: Romney 261, Obama 253 | The Weekly Standard

Now this is interesting. Note that 261 is not enough to be elected (neither is 253, obviously).

Constitutional Quiz, what happens next?

The House picks BUT - each rep does not get a vote. Each state delegation gets one vote.

I've heard that the Senate picks the VP - Romney/Biden?
Click to expand...


Mark Levin went over this last night.. it was interesting..
 
For the tally to be 261/253, wouldn't both Ohio and Iowa have to be exactly tied? That seems very unlikely. I doubt even those polls were exactly tied, just the percentages ended up being even.
 
tessaesque said:
That article doesn't make clear that they are not assigning Ohio or Iowa, which explains why nobody is up to 270.

There are a total of 538 electoral votes.

The article only dispenses 514.

Ohio and Iowa make the difference.
Click to expand...

It didn't really say that.

Read further in the links and you get here:

From the Midwest to the West Wing | The Weekly Standard

With a very interesting paragraph here:

And the 9 very competitive states? Three of these lean Republican: Florida (29 electoral votes), Ohio (18), and Virginia (13). Three lean Democratic: Pennsylvania (20), Wisconsin (10), and Nevada (6). And three are essentially toss-ups: Colorado (9), Iowa (6), and New Hampshire (4). If each party holds all of the states that lean its way, the electoral tally will be Republicans 266, Democrats 253, with Colorado, Iowa, and New Hampshire hanging in the balance. To prevail, the Republican nominee will have to win one of these three remaining states. Obama will have to sweep them.
Click to expand...

This gives Romey Ohio, but does not give him Colorado and NH. Imagine this: Romney wins Ohio, Obama gets Colorado and Iowa, so it's now Obama 268, Romney 266. New Hampshire hangs in the balance. If it goes to Obama, he wins, if it goes to Romney, the election goes to the House.

Or, if we let Rasmussen's stick and still don't have OH or IA. Romney and Obama both need to get both states.
 
rocket88 said:
It didn't really say that.

Read further in the links and you get here:

From the Midwest to the West Wing | The Weekly Standard

With a very interesting paragraph here:



This gives Romey Ohio, but does not give him Colorado and NH. Imagine this: Romney wins Ohio, Obama gets Colorado and Iowa, so it's now Obama 268, Romney 266. New Hampshire hangs in the balance. If it goes to Obama, he wins, if it goes to Romney, the election goes to the House.

Or, if we let Rasmussen's stick and still don't have OH or IA. Romney and Obama both need to get both states.
Click to expand...

When I said "Ohio and Iowa make the difference" I was referring to the math of the electoral college, not the strategy or likely outcome. Just pointing out where the discrepancy came from in the total EC votes doled out.
 
Krhazy said:
For the tally to be 261/253, wouldn't both Ohio and Iowa have to be exactly tied? That seems very unlikely. I doubt even those polls were exactly tied, just the percentages ended up being even.
Click to expand...


Proabaly too close to say for sure right now.
 
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