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CBS/NYT/QN Today

Dwight said:
It is the same site. You misread the page I linked, you made a mistaken assumption. YOUR mistake, because it doesn’t talk about exist polls at all. You fabricated out of thin air something to try justify what you wish was true. So I provide another link to a page you could have easily reached from there via the links.

To recap the bottom line.

You.

Are.

Wrong.

… and lack the class and/or mental capacity to admit it.

Buh-bye.
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LMFAO... I didn't misread it... YOU EVEN QUOTED IT IN THE WRONG SPOT IN YOUR POST!!!

http://www.debatepolitics.com/2012-...n/137650-cbs-nyt-qn-today.html#post1060959136
"6:11 P.M. Historically, Florida Is a Blowout
If FiveThirtyEight’s Florida projection is in the ballpark, Mitt Romney will win the state by about 15 percentage points. That’s a sizable victory. But historically, it’s relatively close. "


So now, not only have you consistently been wrong, but you've been proven a liar...

Again... your post, your quote... 6PM on the day of the primary... then you added another quote from the same source from 745AM... from still on the day of the primary...

Yet you keep skipping past the graphic on that very site, which showed the progression of the polls in FL, which were 10pts in Newts favor 1 week before the vote...

fivethirtyeight-florida2-blog480.jpg


Again, you still fail to grasp the larger point, about fluctuations in advanced public opinion polling... and how public opinion is susceptible to frequent changes on trigger events...

The FL case is still valid, as in 1 week Romney went from 10 pts down to Newt... to beating Newt by 15 pts that's a 25 pt swing in 1 week... which not to mention was also a 35 point swing from polls 2 weeks ahead of the primary which had Romney up by 25 pts over Newt to then going down 10 pts to Newt to then beating Newt by 15....

That's called fluctuation... you can read about these topics and more at your local liberry...

ReadingRainbow.jpg
 
cpwill said:
I"m sorry, but the notion that Democrats advantage in 2012 will be larger than their advantage in 2008 is ridiculous.
Click to expand...

If you mean by counting D's and R's you are right. But if you take into account the nature of those D's... in 2008 there were just a slew of blue-dogs that might as well have been R's. Which is why even when the Dems had a supermajority for all intents-and-purposes, they were still successfully filibustered over and over back then.
 
Grim17 said:
Romney will crush Obama in the debates, as long as the liberal media moderators ask questions of substance.
Click to expand...

My prediction is already coming true in part...

From this thread...


I'll use the rest of this post to make a debate prediction about Romney...

He will attack the moderator and the media, then spend the bulk of the time in the debate acting as if he is offended or outraged in attempt to put the moderators in a defensive mode AND also to have the added bonus of his side, after the debate, complain that there was clearly a massive bias against him the entire time... because he was so outraged.​


I guess some aren't waiting to lodge their "bias in the media/moderator" complaint before the debates even occur.
 
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