Wheels Fall Off for Romney as Obama Leads with NASCAR Fans, 48%-41%

Somerville · Sep 24, 2012

This Zogby poll may or may not have much validity but it does separate voters into some 'interesting' groups

Wheels Fall Off for Romney as Obama Leads with NASCAR Fans, 48%-41%

The Zogby poll revealed that President Obama has a seven point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 48%-41%, and even larger nine point lead when all candidates are included, 49%-40%. The real shocker is that the poll found the president doing very well with some traditionally thought of Republican voting blocs.

Obama leads in almost every region of the country, and only trailed Romney by six points in the South, 41%-47%. Among voters who shop at Wal-Mart on a weekly basis, Romney’s lead is within the poll’s 3.4% margin of error, 45%-42%. Obama leads with voters who are or who have a family member in the military, 54%-39%. Most surprisingly, Obama only trails Romney by seven points with those who consider themselves born again Christians, 40%-47%. The president also leads with NASCAR fans, 48%-41%.

Why did I write that "this Zogby poll may or may not have much validity?

Nate Silver, statistician of FiveThirtyEight.com, called Zogby International's online polling division, Zogby Interactive, "The worst pollster in the world." ranking it last in his Pollster Rankings.

Nate Silver noted that Zogby tends to use questions phrased so as to produce a bias toward certain answers, reducing the validity of the polls in which such questions are common.

Wheels Fall Off for Romney as Obama Leads with NASCAR Fans, 48%-41%

Somerville