Flyersfan314
Member
- Joined
- Jul 25, 2011
- Messages
- 232
- Reaction score
- 47
- Location
- South Florida
- Gender
- Male
- Political Leaning
- Slightly Liberal
Also thank you Winston. Everyone pays FICA now. Was that the same during Reagan?
Also thank you Winston. Everyone pays FICA now. Was that the same during Reagan?
Simply amazing if one doesn't want to work they don't pay the FICA tax:roll:
So handouts? Would that be charity?Maybe some cake to eat:roll:
Just keep ignoring the fact that you were wrong about Reagan Conservative. You live in a fantasy world.
Nate Silver smashes the GOP's hilarious "skewed polls" fantasy here:
Poll Averages Have No History of Consistent Partisan Bias - NYTimes.com
That is a final poll issue. There are approximately 4 to 5 polls that are essentially liberal push polls and those are CBS/NYT, ABC, NBC, Ipsos and Marist.
Quinnipiac is pretty decent, Gallup as well. Rasmussen is accused of being left leaning but his model is just different from everyone elses and uses likely voters rather than plain voters.
Anytime you sample higher by 5% then current party ID or current year registration numbers, you arent polling, youre pushing.
So you didn't read or the article, or you just didn't get it?
I get it. You didnt. The difference in final polling and during the race is there, but you have to look for it. Nate Silver did not. As the election moves closer, polling always moves closer to the final result. But, in between now and say 3 weeks including the last 6 months, you will see a lot of push polling.
Ill ask you, why vary from a model that shows epected turnout (registration data and party ID numbers) to sample at as high as +11 Dem if you are trying to get an honest poll?
No, you didn't get it. The way people self identify is tied in the the results of the poll. It's not something that you can or should correct for, because you would be skewing the results if you did.
Silver has previously looked at the results of polls taken 45 days out, and those polls successfully called the winner of presidential elections 17 out of 19 times.
This is wonderfully good news. Since Obama has clearly already won I hope 5-10% of the possible Obama voters will stay home, secure in the victory of serfdom-socialism over liberty and free market capitalism.Nate Silver smashes the GOP's hilarious "skewed polls" fantasy here:
Poll Averages Have No History of Consistent Partisan Bias - NYTimes.com
Say what?? Who is accusing Rasmussen of leaning left?Rasmussen is accused of being left leaning ...
Say what?? Who is accusing Rasmussen of leaning left?
Thanks for clearing that up.yeah....meant lean right. Mea Culpa. Tired posting for the lose.